Ambitions Personnel Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:10

Ambitions Personnel Handicap

Date 2023-08-20

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (3)	Powerful Response Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	131	—	-99112	68	85	23	29d	—	—	+5	28.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
In fine form lately with two wins and a close second; ought to go close once again
3 (4)	Yeoman Bay J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	136	—	-61517	73	83	71	12d	—	—	0	22.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Two wins at Wolverhampton this year and may just be best on Tapeta; shortlisted
8 (1)	Panning For Gold Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	133	—	091114	70	82	20	16d	—	—	+12	23.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Completed a hat-trick on turf this summer before held at Newmarket; can't be dismissed
5 (7)	Silk Bird Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd Okeeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd Okeeffe	134	p	2-4551	71	80	27	21d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Off the mark at Pontefract last time and each-way claims if the headgear continues to work
NR (8)	Dagmar Run Bay J:TBC T:David Simcock	J: T:David Simcock	133	—	265843	70	85	64	15d	—	—	0	11	1.75/1	8 13%
Kempton winner last autumn, but failed to beat a rival over C&D in January; bit to prove
9 (10)	Tamaluk Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	132	b	9-4275	69	83	50	20d	—	—	-2	7.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
0-7; second at Leicester in May but twice well held since; blinkers on
13 (5)	Eagle Prince Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	125	v	-16866	62	82	68	10d	—	—	0	6.7	2.75/1	12 8%
1lb lower than when making a successful return at Newcastle in May; interesting
1 (12)	Ibiza Love Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Alice Haynes	137	—	88-546	74	80	-	22d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Closely related to a few AW winners so could improve for the new surface
2 (11)	Mr Squires Chestnut J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	136	—	1-5550	73	83	50	22d	—	—	+10	14	4.25/1	18 6%
Won a 7f novice here late last year, but shown little since returning
4 (13)	Eagle Day Bay J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	134	—	6-354	71	78	46	79d	—	—	+2	6.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Has run well here before; makes stable debut after 79 days off
11 (2)	Onemorenomore Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	128	—	554205	65	83	27	22d	—	—	+3	7.5	5.25/1	22 5%
Form of Brighton second in June not worked out; needs a step up
7 (6)	Habooba Chestnut J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	133	—	5-527	70	71	61	184d	—	—	+3	5.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Four starts on UAE last winter; market may guide on stable debut
12 (9)	Finn Russell Brown J:Paddy Mathers T:Ian Williams	J:Paddy Mathers T:Ian Williams	127	h	6-0897	64	82	-	11d	—	—	+2	4.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Beaten upwards of 10l in four starts since returning for this yard; best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Powerful Response	3	3	11/4	11/4	11/4
Yeoman	3	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Panning For Gold	11/2	13/2	11/2	6	6
Silk Bird	8	10	10	10	10
Dagmar Run	8	8	8	8	8
Tamaluk	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Eagle Prince	12	12	11	12	11
Ibiza Love	14	14	11	12	12
Mr Squires	16	18	16	18	18
Eagle Day	25	18	16	16	18
Onemorenomore	22	20	16	18	18
Habooba	25	40	28	25	33
Finn Russell	33	40	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Powerful Response

28.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 17 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Panning For Gold

23.3

OR: 5 Form: 15 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Yeoman

22.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Mr Squires

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

Silk Bird

11.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

Dagmar Run

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 3

Ibiza Love

7.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Onemorenomore

7.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

Tamaluk

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Eagle Prince

6.7

OR: 3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

Eagle Day

6.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Habooba

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Finn Russell

4.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ibiza Love	74	80	—
Yeoman	73	83	71
Mr Squires	73	83	50
Silk Bird	71	80	27
Eagle Day	71	78	46
Panning For Gold	70	82	20
Dagmar Run	70	85	64
Habooba	70	71	61
Tamaluk	69	83	50
Powerful Response	68	85	23
Onemorenomore	65	83	27
Finn Russell	64	82	—
Eagle Prince	62	82	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Eagle Prince	10d ago	Quick return
Finn Russell	11d ago	Quick return
Yeoman	12d ago	Quick return
Dagmar Run	15d ago	Fit
Panning For Gold	16d ago	Fit
Tamaluk	20d ago	Fit
Silk Bird	21d ago	Fit
Ibiza Love	22d ago	Fit
Mr Squires	22d ago	Fit
Onemorenomore	22d ago	Fit
Powerful Response	29d ago	Fit
Eagle Day	79d ago	Fresh
Habooba	184d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.