Network Productions Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

15:25

Network Productions Handicap

Date 2023-08-24

Distance 7f16y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (13)	Diamondsinthesand Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	136	h	600032	56	71	58	24d	—	—	-4	13.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two good placed efforts since joining this yard; in the mix once again
6 (4)	Ticket To Alaska Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Clive Cox	J:Hollie Doyle T:Clive Cox	128	p	324464	53	70	52	28d	—	—	-11	7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
13-race maiden but he's often threatened, including in a much better race last time
5 (7)	Letter Of The Law Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:John Oshea	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:John Oshea	132	b	224254	52	69	57	27d	—	—	-7	8.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1m winner in May; solid in defeat since, including C&D latest; each-way claims at least
3 (8)	Fact Or Fable Grey J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:J S Moore	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:J S Moore	134	p	117813	54	65	60	27d	—	—	+5	16.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Four wins this summer, two of them over C&D; should be involved once again
1 (12)	Gilt Edge Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	137	p	6-7655	57	69	40	67d	—	—	-7	5.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-9 over 7f but she does stay this far; down in grade but others stronger for the win
10 (11)	Latent Heat Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	126	p	594545	46	62	48	27d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Below par over 1m here last time; cheekpieces need to spark something extra from him
7 (3)	Silver Diva Grey J:Joshua Bryan T:John Gallagher	J:Joshua Bryan T:John Gallagher	128	b	044563	48	65	48	14d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Exposed maiden; ran well in a classified event last time but not sure to back it up
13 (10)	Barleybrown Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	125	p	79-730	50	68	46	35d	—	—	-5	1.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Flopped last time but his earlier 3rd here (6f) brings him into the reckoning
NR (6)	Gonzaga Bay J:TBC T:James Bennett	J: T:James Bennett	126	p	669473	46	61	56	3d	—	—	-8	7.3	4.25/1	18 6%
47-race maiden; placed at Lingfield on Monday but easy enough to swerve for the win
11 (14)	Runner Bean Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed De Giles	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed De Giles	126	—	847680	46	61	33	35d	—	—	-3	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Well short of her best on last four starts; she's had a wind op but remains opposable
4 (9)	Flagman Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Dougie Costello T:Deborah Faulkner	134	—	-19699	54	59	22	27d	—	—	+1	3.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Capable at this level but he virtually refused to race over C&D four weeks ago
9 (2)	Wiff Waff Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Adrian Wintle	126	p	7-8030	46	65	45	60d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
On losing run and, although he went close over C&D in June, he was well held last time
8 (5)	Tilt At Windmills Chestnut J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	127	—	3-7897	52	58	29	79d	—	—	+2	3	24.75/1	100 1%
Didn't progress for Karl Burke & sold for 1,000gns last month; down in weights but risky
14 (1)	Spanish Storm Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Patrick Chamings	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Patrick Chamings	121	—	94-88	46	57	-	72d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.00/1	125 1%
No better for handicapping when last seen in June; still early days but lots to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Diamondsinthesand	7/2	4	4	7/2	7/2
Ticket To Alaska	7/2	7/2	9/2	7/2	7/2
Letter Of The Law	5	5	9/2	5	5
Fact Or Fable	6	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Gilt Edge	13/2	13/2	5	6	6
Latent Heat	12	10	9	10	10
Silver Diva	9	9	9	9	17/2
Barleybrown	18	16	11	10	16
Gonzaga	18	14	12	16	16
Runner Bean	33	25	20	25	25
Flagman	33	33	33	33	33
Wiff Waff	66	50	50	50	50
Tilt At Windmills	100	80	80	80	80
Spanish Storm	125	100	80	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fact Or Fable

16.1

OR: 1 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

13/2

2nd

Diamondsinthesand

13.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Letter Of The Law

8.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Gonzaga

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.3

Ticket To Alaska

OR: 0.8 Form: 1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Silver Diva

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Gilt Edge

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Flagman

3.8

OR: 1 Form: 2 Odds: 0.8

Tilt At Windmills

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

100

Latent Heat

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Barleybrown

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Runner Bean

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Wiff Waff

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Spanish Storm

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gilt Edge	57	69	40
Diamondsinthesand	56	71	58
Fact Or Fable	54	65	60
Flagman	54	59	22
Ticket To Alaska	53	70	52
Letter Of The Law	52	69	57
Tilt At Windmills	52	58	29
Barleybrown	50	68	46
Silver Diva	48	65	48
Latent Heat	46	62	48
Gonzaga	46	61	56
Runner Bean	46	61	33
Wiff Waff	46	65	45
Spanish Storm	46	57	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gonzaga	3d ago	Quick return
Silver Diva	14d ago	Fit
Diamondsinthesand	24d ago	Fit
Letter Of The Law	27d ago	Fit
Fact Or Fable	27d ago	Fit
Latent Heat	27d ago	Fit
Flagman	27d ago	Fit
Ticket To Alaska	28d ago	Fit
Barleybrown	35d ago	Fit
Runner Bean	35d ago	Fit
Wiff Waff	60d ago	Fresh
Gilt Edge	67d ago	Fresh
Spanish Storm	72d ago	Fresh
Tilt At Windmills	79d ago	Fresh