Weatherbys Global Stallions Winter Hill Stakes (Group 3)

Windsor

18:50

Date 2023-08-26

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £34,026

Winning Time 2m 3.94s (fast by 1.36s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Passenger (USA) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	3/1	Won
2nd	West Wind Blows (IRE) Jamie Spencer · Simon & Ed Crisford	10/11F	0.1
3rd	Burdett Road (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Michael Bell	14/1	4.5
4th	State Occasion (GB) Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	7/2	.75
5th	Youthful King (GB) Aidan Keeley · Luke Dace	20/1	11
6th	Fox Tal (GB) William Carver · Andrew Balding	28/1	7.5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	West Wind Blows Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jamie Spencer T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	—	3-3123	111	120	109	49d	—	—	-4	26.8	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Three quality runs since being gelded and this is much easier than the Eclipse last time
7 (4)	Passenger Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	126	—	130	111	125	106	84d	—	—	+5	29.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Unlucky not to win the Dante and had any number of excuses in the Derby
5 (5)	State Occasion Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	148-41	108	123	101	10d	—	—	-2	21.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Needs ground good or ideally faster; very impressive in Listed race for her own sex latest
6 (1)	Burdett Road Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Bell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Bell	126	—	165115	101	111	102	23d	—	—	+18	27.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Progressive handicapper before coming up well short in a Group 3 (soft a feasible excuse)
4 (3)	Youthful King Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Luke Dace	J:Aidan Keeley T:Luke Dace	133	—	-91313	90	105	89	14d	—	—	+20	26.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Improving 4yo but these terms are persuasively unfavourable
NR (2)	Savvy Victory Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:S Woods	J:Billy Loughnane T:S Woods	133	—	520016	111	123	111	14d	—	—	+10	28.9	5.25/1	22 5%
Has his off-days but dangerous to dismiss on these terms and any rain would be welcomed
2 (6)	Fox Tal Bay J:William Carver T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver T:Andrew Balding	133	h	/13-42	103	116	71	14d	—	—	+10	14.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Carries his head high and his only win in his last 20 starts came in a three-runner race

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
West Wind Blows	15/8	15/8	2	15/8	15/8
Passenger	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
State Occasion	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Burdett Road	8	9	10	9	10
Youthful King	16	14/1	18	16	14/1
Savvy Victory	14	22	22	22	22
Fox Tal	25	22/1	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Passenger

29.6

OR: 15.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Savvy Victory

28.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 8 Odds: 5.6

3rd

Burdett Road

27.3

OR: 12.8 Form: 12 Odds: 2.5

West Wind Blows

26.8

OR: 15.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 9.4

15/8

Youthful King

26.2

OR: 10 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.7

State Occasion

21.8

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Fox Tal

14.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
West Wind Blows	111	120	109
Passenger	111	125	106
Savvy Victory	111	123	111
State Occasion	108	123	101
Fox Tal	103	116	71
Burdett Road	101	111	102
Youthful King	90	105	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
State Occasion	10d ago	Quick return
Youthful King	14d ago	Fit
Savvy Victory	14d ago	Fit
Fox Tal	14d ago	Fit
Burdett Road	23d ago	Fit
West Wind Blows	49d ago	Fresh
Passenger	84d ago	Fresh