Bowness Bay Brewing Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Cartmel

17:06

Date 2023-08-26

Distance 2m1f46y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,040

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Nadim Bay J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Milton Harris	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Milton Harris	167	tp	-22111	99	97	90	30d	—	—	+14	47.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Has improved for cheekpieces, winning last three; 3lb rise for last win; strong chance
NR	Ambassador Bay J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	168	v	74-511	97	101	95	29d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	16.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
In good form having won his last two races (stable debut last time); up 2lb; a possible
6	Fathers Advice Bay J:Bruce Lynn T:R Mike Smith	J:Bruce Lynn T:R Mike Smith	157	—	226-45	86	104	72	24d	—	—	0	12.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-16 over hurdles; runner-up twice in March, but not as good since; bit to prove now
7	Mr Rumbalicious Bay J:Theo Gillard T:James Moffatt	J:Theo Gillard T:James Moffatt	153	h	525-	85	99	22	—	—	—	+4	15.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual 2m AW winner; modest efforts over hurdles; possible improver on handicap/stable debut
4	Chancer Dancer Bay J:Dylan Johnston(3) T:Noel C Kelly	J:Dylan Johnston(3) T:Noel C Kelly	163	t	P-4260	92	94	95	44d	—	—	+3	13.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-9; good 2nd over 2m4f in June; lesser efforts since; drop to 2m1f no concern
5	Bentham Bay J:Joe Williamson T:Sara Ender	J:Joe Williamson T:Sara Ender	161	tp	7-7834	90	95	79	29d	—	—	0	14	1.50/1	7 14%
Ex-Irish; fair efforts behind Ambassador at Uttoxeter on last two starts; more needed
3	Iolani Bay J:William Maggs(7) T:Miss A M Slack	J:William Maggs(7) T:Miss A M Slack	164	p	925-03	93	100	89	—	—	—	+5	13	2.25/1	10 10%
Six-time hurdle winner; fair 3rd over C&D last time; poor on Flat since; each-way chance
NR	Dee Day Landing Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Mark Weatherer	J:NON-RUNNER T:Mark Weatherer	145	—	P-P57P	74	93	-	39d	—	—	-44	26	—	—
8	Torbellino Bay J:Caoilin Quinn T:Karen Jewell	J:Caoilin Quinn T:Karen Jewell	147	—	425P/8	76	98	40	27d	—	—	+2	8.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Three Flat wins at up to 1m4f; poor form in both handicap hurdles; others appeal more
NR	African Sun Bay J:Cillin Leonard T:Joanne Thomason-Murphy	J:Cillin Leonard T:Joanne Thomason-Murphy	142	p	3-P855	71	92	87	29d	—	—	-3	11.7	8.00/1	33 3%
40-1 Uttoxeter winner last summer; fair runs there last twice; wouldn't rule out
9	Solway Staree Bay J:Patrick Wadge T:Lisa Harrison	J:Patrick Wadge T:Lisa Harrison	145	—	8-4733	74	93	39	25d	—	—	+3	7	5.25/1	22 5%
Modest form in bumpers and when third in two novice hurdles; may improve on h'cap debut

Horse	bet365	Coral
Nadim	6/4	6/4
Ambassador	7/2	4
Fathers Advice	11/2	6
Mr Rumbalicious	7	15/2
Chancer Dancer	7/1	7
Bentham	7	6
Iolani	10	9
Dee Day Landing	SP	SP
Torbellino	11	12
African Sun	33	25
Solway Staree	20/1	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nadim

47.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 24.5 Odds: 10.6

6/4

2nd

Dee Day Landing

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Ambassador

16.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Mr Rumbalicious

15.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Bentham

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Chancer Dancer

13.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Iolani

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Fathers Advice

12.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

African Sun

11.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.3

Torbellino

8.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Solway Staree

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nadim	99	97	90
Ambassador	97	101	95
Iolani	93	100	89
Chancer Dancer	92	94	95
Bentham	90	95	79
Fathers Advice	86	104	72
Mr Rumbalicious	85	99	22
Torbellino	76	98	40
Dee Day Landing	74	93	—
Solway Staree	74	93	39
African Sun	71	92	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fathers Advice	24d ago	Fit
Solway Staree	25d ago	Fit
Torbellino	27d ago	Fit
Ambassador	29d ago	Fit
Bentham	29d ago	Fit
African Sun	29d ago	Fit
Nadim	30d ago	Fit
Dee Day Landing	39d ago	Fit
Chancer Dancer	44d ago	Fit
Mr Rumbalicious	—	—
Iolani	—	—