Cubby Construction Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

15:00

Cubby Construction Handicap

Date 2023-09-01

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Show Me Show Me Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	137	v	098611	74	87	70	15d	—	—	+7	29.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2-2 since visor went on; has won off a higher mark in the past; chance
2 (2)	Sound Reason Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	139	b	762104	76	86	76	18d	—	—	+3	17	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Best at 5f; won at Beverley in July (good to firm), and fair effort next time; a possible
5 (4)	Ramon Di Loria Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	136	—	620744	73	85	66	26d	—	—	-3	10.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Winner from 5f-7f, latest over C&D in May; not quite as good recently; wouldn't rule out
1 (11)	Mersea Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	141	—	3-0451	79	82	59	9d	—	—	+1	12.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two wins over 5f last term and off the mark for 2023 over 6f last week; should go well
6 (8)	Borough Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Iain Jardine	135	—	461212	73	84	64	11d	—	—	+17	25.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two wins and two seconds from last four starts (5f, good/good to soft); stiffer task here
8 (5)	Thornaby Pearl Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	134	p	7-6159	71	85	76	13d	—	—	-2	7.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
All wins over 6f including at Ripon in July; not so good since; cheekpieces tried again
9 (7)	Jordan Electrics Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	—	100060	71	82	52	13d	—	—	+1	7	3.25/1	14 7%
Two wins in May; has rather lost his form recently and others look stronger
3 (3)	Papa Dont Preach Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Kevin Frost	J:Clifford Lee T:Kevin Frost	138	—	625707	75	83	76	26d	—	—	+3	9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Both wins over 5f on the AW; not in best of form recently but has dropped to a good mark
11 (10)	Lord Abama Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	130	p	223867	67	86	69	12d	—	—	+1	8.1	2.75/1	12 8%
0-15; in fair form earlier in the season but not running well at present; others stronger
10 (6)	The Dunkirk Lads Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	131	—	130487	68	85	76	15d	—	—	+1	6.5	4.75/1	20 5%
5f Beverley winner in April (good to soft) but plenty to find on recent form
7 (9)	Refuge Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	135	t	132193	72	85	70	18d	—	—	+13	16.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Won for this rider in July; not as good since; a bit to find with Borough on recent form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Show Me Show Me	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	9/2
Sound Reason	5	9/2	5/1	5	5
Ramon Di Loria	5	9/2	5	5	5
Mersea	6	13/2	11/2	11/2	7/1
Borough	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
Thornaby Pearl	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Jordan Electrics	14	12	12	12	12
Papa Dont Preach	14	14	14/1	12	12
Lord Abama	12	11	12	12	11/1
The Dunkirk Lads	20	16	16	16	14/1
Refuge	33	28	28	28	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Show Me Show Me

29.7

OR: 6 Form: 17 Odds: 6.7

9/2

2nd

Borough

25.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 17.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

3rd

Sound Reason

OR: 6.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Refuge

16.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 0.9

Mersea

12.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Ramon Di Loria

10.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 1 Odds: 4

9/2

Papa Dont Preach

OR: 6.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Lord Abama

8.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.9

Thornaby Pearl

7.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Jordan Electrics

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

The Dunkirk Lads

6.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mersea	79	82	59
Sound Reason	76	86	76
Papa Dont Preach	75	83	76
Show Me Show Me	74	87	70
Ramon Di Loria	73	85	66
Borough	73	84	64
Refuge	72	85	70
Thornaby Pearl	71	85	76
Jordan Electrics	71	82	52
The Dunkirk Lads	68	85	76
Lord Abama	67	86	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mersea	9d ago	Quick return
Borough	11d ago	Quick return
Lord Abama	12d ago	Quick return
Thornaby Pearl	13d ago	Quick return
Jordan Electrics	13d ago	Quick return
Show Me Show Me	15d ago	Fit
The Dunkirk Lads	15d ago	Fit
Sound Reason	18d ago	Fit
Refuge	18d ago	Fit
Ramon Di Loria	26d ago	Fit
Papa Dont Preach	26d ago	Fit