Virgin Bet Handicap – Sandown

Sandown

15:00

Virgin Bet Handicap

Date 2023-09-02

Distance 1m1f209y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £25,575

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (11)	Lord Protector Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	135	—	798216	98	111	97	32d	—	—	+9	26.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Two wins and a second from his three outings at Sandown; below form at Goodwood latest
11 (10)	Dual Identity Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	124	—	-74500	87	114	87	29d	—	—	-3	14.3	0.75/1	4 25%
2nd in this race last year; the recent recommendations aren't so strong this time round
3 (8)	Gaassee Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	136	t	0-7044	99	110	69	36d	—	—	+2	16.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
1m4f/1m6f in all of his eight handicaps but this drop back in trip is well worth a shot
9 (12)	Educator Brown J:Ryan Moore T:William Haggas	J:Ryan Moore T:William Haggas	128	b	-83237	91	110	97	8d	—	—	+9	18.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
No win since handicap debut in April 2022; went down narrowly on AW three starts back
2 (14)	Eagles Way Chestnut J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	136	—	111-27	99	108	89	32d	—	—	+6	14.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Lesser show when favourite at Goodwood; drawn wide; probably needs to resume improvement
7 (7)	Stay Well Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	130	h	-83004	93	110	96	16d	—	—	+7	13.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Travelled well long way when close fourth of 11 at Windsor (11.4f) on latest start
5 (2)	Groundbreaker Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	134	t	234-48	97	109	101	86d	—	—	+8	13.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Ran creditably on reappearance; disappointing next time and given wind surgery soon after
6 (1)	Andaleep Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	130	t	342140	93	110	90	21d	—	—	+13	18.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran poorly last time but overall record over the last two seasons needs great respect
14 (13)	Baltic Voyage Bay J:J F Egan T:Ralph Beckett	J:J F Egan T:Ralph Beckett	117	—	4-8419	86	109	89	30d	—	—	+5	10.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Ripon win; 11-1 at Glorious Goodwood (again 1m2f on soft) but well beaten, hanging right
1 (6)	Certain Lad Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	138	—	-73006	101	113	106	37d	—	—	+10	14.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
None too consistent nowadays; down the weights but has not won for three years
10 (4)	Kitsune Power Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	127	b	0-9307	90	110	68	21d	—	—	+7	11.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Not nearly so productive this year; 7lb lower than on reappearance, but others preferred
13 (9)	Skysail Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Trevor Whelan T:Marcus Tregoning	119	p	0-1527	88	108	99	30d	—	—	+7	10.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Best efforts as 3yo in first-time blinkers/cheekpieces; didn't shout that 1m2f is needed
12 (5)	Dashing Roger Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:William Stone	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:William Stone	122	—	00-537	85	109	67	49d	—	—	+6	9.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Close third at Chester showed significant ability remains but well beaten either side
8 (3)	Great Max Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	129	—	9-4006	92	112	71	27d	—	—	+9	11.2	9.75/1	40 3%
0-14 since 2021 win on debut; back to M Bell from Alice Haynes; heavy defeats beyond 1m

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lord Protector	4	4	4	4	4
Dual Identity	4	4	4	4	4
Gaassee	5/1	5	5	5	9/2
Educator	8	8	17/2	8	8
Eagles Way	9	17/2	9	9	9
Stay Well	14/1	12	12	14/1	14/1
Groundbreaker	20	16	14	18	18
Andaleep	16	16/1	14	16/1	16/1
Baltic Voyage	14	14	14	14	14
Certain Lad	20	20/1	18	18	18
Kitsune Power	28	25	18	25	28/1
Skysail	28	25	22	25	28/1
Dashing Roger	33/1	28/1	25	28/1	28/1
Great Max	40	33	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lord Protector

26.5

OR: 12 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5

2nd

Andaleep

18.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Educator

18.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Gaassee

16.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Certain Lad

14.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Eagles Way

14.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Dual Identity

14.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Stay Well

13.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Groundbreaker

13.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Great Max

11.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Kitsune Power

11.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Baltic Voyage

10.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Skysail

10.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Dashing Roger

9.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Certain Lad	101	113	106
Gaassee	99	110	69
Eagles Way	99	108	89
Lord Protector	98	111	97
Groundbreaker	97	109	101
Stay Well	93	110	96
Andaleep	93	110	90
Great Max	92	112	71
Educator	91	110	97
Kitsune Power	90	110	68
Skysail	88	108	99
Dual Identity	87	114	87
Baltic Voyage	86	109	89
Dashing Roger	85	109	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Educator	8d ago	Quick return
Stay Well	16d ago	Fit
Andaleep	21d ago	Fit
Kitsune Power	21d ago	Fit
Great Max	27d ago	Fit
Dual Identity	29d ago	Fit
Baltic Voyage	30d ago	Fit
Skysail	30d ago	Fit
Lord Protector	32d ago	Fit
Eagles Way	32d ago	Fit
Gaassee	36d ago	Fit
Certain Lad	37d ago	Fit
Dashing Roger	49d ago	Fresh
Groundbreaker	86d ago	Fresh