Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

16:10

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-09-03

Distance 5f215y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Society Lion Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	139	t	723519	81	93	82	24d	—	—	+1	23.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Two 6f wins this year; this is easier than last time; more appealing than many
5 (6)	Tolstoy Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	132	—	853288	74	89	76	23d	—	—	-4	15.1	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Down in the weights but he's proving frustrating; often slowly away; vulnerable again
6 (1)	Snuggle Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	131	b	212345	75	91	72	16d	—	—	-3	17	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Return to 6f could help and he's on a dangerous mark on this season's best
7 (7)	Holbache Bay J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	127	—	151-70	69	92	66	15d	—	—	-6	9.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner; ended 2022 in fine form on AW; not at best last time; dangerous with easy lead
NR (4)	Kit Gabriel Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	134	p	2904-4	76	91	65	25d	—	—	-25	22.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Shaped with some promise on his stable debut/reappearance last month; slower than good a ?
2 (3)	Ormolulu Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	136	h	214371	80	89	56	21d	—	—	+13	24.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Finished off her race well tried in a hood latest (6f, good to firm); 3lb rise manageable
3 (2)	Mamillius Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:George Baker	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:George Baker	135	—	883155	77	89	49	68d	—	—	+9	14	3.75/1	16 6%
Veteran with a good record at Brighton; fair mark and top apprentice booked; contender

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Society Lion	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2
Tolstoy	3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Snuggle	3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Holbache	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Kit Gabriel	6	11/2	5	5	SP
Ormolulu	7	6	13/2	13/2	7
Mamillius	16	14	14	14	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ormolulu

24.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

2nd

Society Lion

23.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.9 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Kit Gabriel

22.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 15.9

11/2

Snuggle

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Tolstoy

15.1

OR: 6 Form: 3.4 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Mamillius

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.4

Holbache

9.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Society Lion	81	93	82
Ormolulu	80	89	56
Mamillius	77	89	49
Kit Gabriel	76	91	65
Snuggle	75	91	72
Tolstoy	74	89	76
Holbache	69	92	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Holbache	15d ago	Fit
Snuggle	16d ago	Fit
Ormolulu	21d ago	Fit
Tolstoy	23d ago	Fit
Society Lion	24d ago	Fit
Kit Gabriel	25d ago	Fit
Mamillius	68d ago	Fresh