St Leger Form Study On attheraces.com Handicap (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Bath

5:09

Date 2023-09-06

Distance 1m3f137y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (8)	Asense b J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	133	p	2-6531	50	65	52	22d	—	—	-16	11.9	9/4 31%
Made all in Lingfield classified three weeks ago & this in-form filly has to be respected
2 (9)	Uther Pendragon b J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:J S Moore	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:J S Moore	133	p	541647	50	63	56	6d	—	—	-9	8	7/2 22%
Inconsistent but won over C&D in July; can be involved if in the right mood
4 (6)	Kindgirl b J:Dougie Costello T:Alastair Ralph	J:Dougie Costello T:Alastair Ralph	132	tp	50-374	49	62	42	18d	—	—	-12	5	4 25%
0-9 but has made the frame on two of her three starts for this yard; might not be far away
8 (2)	Highland Flyer ch J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Jonathan Portman	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Jonathan Portman	126	—	-56538	51	59	50	49d	—	—	-9	7.1	9/2 18%
Fair third over 11.4f two starts ago and 1m6f appeared to stretch him most recently
9 (3)	Queen Of Steel b J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Mark Usher	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Mark Usher	121	—	253658	46	60	46	27d	—	—	-8	4.2	17/2 11%
No better than fifth across her last three starts and she's now 0-9; others preferred
NR (7)	Irezumi b J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	127	b	-40557	52	60	26	23d	—	—	-5	2.6	16 6%
3yo who has been unable to threaten this year on his first five handicap starts
5 (1)	Pyrrhic Dancer b J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Gary Brown	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Gary Brown	129	t	0-5687	46	54	-	21d	—	—	-4	1.4	18/1 5%
12-race maiden who has regressed and finished down the field on his two starts last month
NR (5)	Baileys Warrior b J:NON-RUNNER T:Deborah Faulkner	J:NON-RUNNER T:Deborah Faulkner	135	h	4/450-	52	64	-	303d	—	—	-11	5	33 3%
Well beaten in November 2022 following an absence and this is her first run since; 0-17
6 (4)	Many Words b J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	129	—	070-06	46	55	26	16d	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
The step back up in trip may help but he's made the first 3 only once in 23-race career

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Asense	15/8	9/4	2	2	2
Uther Pendragon	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Kindgirl	4	4	4	4	4
Highland Flyer	9/2	4	4	4	4
Queen Of Steel	17/2	8	8	8	8/1
Irezumi	16	14	12	12	12
Pyrrhic Dancer	16	18/1	16	16	16/1
Baileys Warrior	20	33	SP	33	33
Many Words	25	33/1	33	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Asense

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Uther Pendragon

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Highland Flyer

7.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Kindgirl

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Baileys Warrior

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.5

Queen Of Steel

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Irezumi

2.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Pyrrhic Dancer

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Many Words

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Irezumi Top Rated	52	60	26
Baileys Warrior	52	64	—
Highland Flyer	51	59	50
Asense	50	65	52
Uther Pendragon	50	63	56
Kindgirl	49	62	42
Queen Of Steel	46	60	46
Pyrrhic Dancer	46	54	—
Many Words	46	55	26

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Uther Pendragon	6d ago	Quick return
Many Words	16d ago	Fit
Kindgirl	18d ago	Fit
Pyrrhic Dancer	21d ago	Fit
Asense	22d ago	Fit
Irezumi	23d ago	Fit
Queen Of Steel	27d ago	Fit
Highland Flyer	49d ago	Fresh
Baileys Warrior	303d ago	Long break