Irish Stallion Farms EBF "Petingo" Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Leopardstown

17:05

Date 2023-09-09

Distance 1m4f180y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €88,500

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (1)	Merlin Giant Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Emmet Mullins	J:Chris Hayes T:Emmet Mullins	119	p	44/2-1	83	110	88	—	—	—	+8	27.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well below his best in the Galway Hurdle but potentially well-handicapped back to the Flat
8 (12)	Nusret Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	127	t	2160-1	91	105	90	94d	—	—	+11	23.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Curragh winner; back to 1m4f will be fine and he is unlikely to be far away here
1 (9)	Jackfinbar Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:W P Mullins	J:Frankie Dettori T:W P Mullins	140	—	/5/340	104	102	93	14d	—	—	+6	16.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Raced a bit keenly in the Ebor last time; giving away plenty of weight here but respected
5 (6)	Etna Rosso Chestnut J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	127	—	1254	99	107	88	16d	—	—	+11	20.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Interesting in his first handicap; the likely strong gallop should suit; could be a factor
11 (3)	Comfort Zone Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	122	—	2/413-	86	105	80	—	—	—	+4	15.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Not seen since January and difficult to know what to expect; market check is advisable
4 (2)	Dartan Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Matthew J Smith	J:Oisin Murphy T:Matthew J Smith	128	tb	1-7101	92	105	95	—	—	—	+11	20	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won on consecutive days at Bellewstown last week; could not be coming here in better form
NR (14)	Imaginarium Bay J:TBC T:G M Lyons	J: T:G M Lyons	127	—	21-86	91	109	89	36d	—	—	+5	12.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Ran okay in a Roscommon Listed and a Galway premier handicap this year; others preferred
6 (16)	Golden Twilight Bay J:W J Lee T:M Halford & T Collins	J:W J Lee T:M Halford & T Collins	127	tp	-03534	91	110	88	25d	—	—	+9	14.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Tongue-tie and cheekpieces persevered with and every chance of getting into the frame
2 (5)	Ceallach Chestnut J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	129	—	211-82	93	101	59	25d	—	—	+6	12.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Back to 1m4f will suit and has to be a contender if able to transfer his AW form to turf
12 (13)	Satin Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	121	p	-16415	93	109	70	28d	—	—	+16	21.4	3.75/1	16 6%
6lb higher here than Killarney and a career best needed in first-time cheekpieces
16 (10)	No Niki No Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:E J Oneill	J:Hollie Doyle T:E J Oneill	119	b	515326	83	109	101	21d	—	—	+12	16.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Consistent but her most recent effort over this trip unconvincing; others preferred
3 (11)	Enfranchise Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Gavin Ryan T:John Joseph Hanlon	129	—	312-14	93	111	70	13d	—	—	+8	11.8	6.00/1	25 4%
Won over this trip for the Johnstons and one of a number in the race with each-way claims
10 (8)	Burren Song Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	124	—	111306	88	106	74	25d	—	—	+13	17	8.00/1	33 3%
Didn't run badly at Dundalk last month but the handicapper might just have the upper hand
NR (4)	La Hacienda Bay J:TBC T:Matthew J Smith	J: T:Matthew J Smith	126	b	08-310	90	110	87	36d	—	—	-43	30	8.00/1	33 3%
Northumberland Vase winner at his best over further and others look much more likely
14 (15)	Nibiru Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:A J Martin	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:A J Martin	119	tp	03-206	83	108	53	13d	—	—	+6	9.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Better effort in a Naas handicap last time but plenty more needed here; 2lb wrong
15 (7)	Bold Approach Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	119	p	53/0-0	83	82	32	104d	—	—	+7	8.7	19.75/1	80 1%
Poor effort in a Curragh handicap in May when last seen and makes little appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Merlin Giant	7/2	10/3	3	7/2	10/3
Nusret	11/2	5	6	11/2	11/2
Jackfinbar	7	13/2	7	7	13/2
Etna Rosso	8	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
Comfort Zone	6	6	13/2	6	11/2
Dartan	8	15/2	8	8	8
Imaginarium	14	12	11	10	11
Golden Twilight	14	12	12/1	12	12
Ceallach	12	12	11	12	11
Satin	14	12	14	14	16
No Niki No	25	20	16	20	22
Enfranchise	25	18	18	20	22
Burren Song	33	25	25	25	28
La Hacienda	33	33	33	33	33
Nibiru	33	22	28	28	28
Bold Approach	80	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

La Hacienda

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Merlin Giant

27.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Nusret

23.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Satin

21.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 9 Odds: 1.6

Etna Rosso

20.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Dartan

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Burren Song

OR: 9.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1

No Niki No

16.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

Jackfinbar

16.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Comfort Zone

15.8

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Golden Twilight

14.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Ceallach

12.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Imaginarium

12.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Enfranchise

11.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Nibiru

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Bold Approach

8.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jackfinbar	104	102	93
Etna Rosso	99	107	88
Ceallach	93	101	59
Satin	93	109	70
Enfranchise	93	111	70
Dartan	92	105	95
Nusret	91	105	90
Imaginarium	91	109	89
Golden Twilight	91	110	88
La Hacienda	90	110	87
Burren Song	88	106	74
Comfort Zone	86	105	80
Merlin Giant	83	110	88
No Niki No	83	109	101
Nibiru	83	108	53
Bold Approach	83	82	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enfranchise	13d ago	Quick return
Nibiru	13d ago	Quick return
Jackfinbar	14d ago	Fit
Etna Rosso	16d ago	Fit
No Niki No	21d ago	Fit
Golden Twilight	25d ago	Fit
Ceallach	25d ago	Fit
Burren Song	25d ago	Fit
Satin	28d ago	Fit
Imaginarium	36d ago	Fit
La Hacienda	36d ago	Fit
Nusret	94d ago	Long break
Bold Approach	104d ago	Long break
Merlin Giant	—	—
Comfort Zone	—	—
Dartan	—	—