British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Leicester

14:15

Date 2023-09-12

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,860

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (1)	Soft Winds Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Closely related to the useful Soft Whisper (RPR 111); one of two newcomers for C Appleby
1 (9)	Elegant Friend Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Dam a 7f winner in France (Listed placed; RPR 101); one of two newcomers for top yard
11 (14)	Surveyor Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	128	—	4	-	88	22	31d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Promising 4th at Newmarket on last month's debut (7f, good); sets the standard; big chance
8 (2)	Saratoga Star Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	128	—	5	-	80	57	25d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Clear promise when looking to find 6f inadequate on last month's Newbury debut; contender
10 (6)	Spiritual Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Good middle-distance pedigree; represents a top yard; interesting newcomer
14 (12)	Word Play Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	5	-	75	33	38d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
5th of 6 in strong Newmarket novice on debut; should improve & yard does well in this race
13 (7)	Warda Jamila Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Calyx half-sister to yard's high-class stayer Coltrane (RPR 119); market instructive
4 (10)	Lokana Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	128	—	63	-	84	49	46d	—	—	0	4.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Two promising runs over 6f in July; any progress for 7f would bring her right into it
2 (11)	Lakota Spirit Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Well-related newcomer but she's not bred to need 7f at this early stage
6 (8)	My Desert Queen Grey J:Tom Marquand T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Marquand T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Unraced dam from a useful family; yard has winning newcomers; betting to guide
3 (3)	Lia Rose Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	128	—	6	-	76	42	31d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Green on last month's debut but kept on quite nicely; looks one for the longer term
12 (13)	Tuneful Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	—	8	-	46	-	45d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Dropped away in the closing stages at Newcastle in July (7f); big step forward required
5 (4)	Mamalouka Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	128	t	89	-	49	29	10d	—	—	-1	0.2	99.75/1	400 0%
Well beaten in two 7f runs recently; new tongue tie not enough to tempt
7 (5)	Parrsicoe Chestnut J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	99.75/1	400 0%
66-1 and offered little on her Beverley debut 16 days ago (7.5f, good)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Soft Winds	11/4	5/2	3/1	11/4	11/4
Elegant Friend	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Surveyor	9/2	4	7/2	4	4
Saratoga Star	7	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Spiritual	8	17/2	17/2	17/2	9
Word Play	16	14	12	14	14
Warda Jamila	16	16	16	16	16
Lokana	16	18	18	18	18
Lakota Spirit	18	20	22	22	22
My Desert Queen	18	18	20	20	20
Lia Rose	40	40	40	40	40
Tuneful	66	50	50	50	50
Mamalouka	400	200	200	200	200
Parrsicoe	400	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Soft Winds

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Elegant Friend

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Surveyor

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Lokana

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Saratoga Star

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Spiritual

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Word Play

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Warda Jamila

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Lakota Spirit

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

My Desert Queen

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Lia Rose

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Tuneful

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Parrsicoe

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

400

Mamalouka

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Soft Winds	—	—	—
Elegant Friend	—	—	—
Surveyor	—	88	22
Saratoga Star	—	80	57
Spiritual	—	—	—
Word Play	—	75	33
Warda Jamila	—	—	—
Lokana	—	84	49
Lakota Spirit	—	—	—
My Desert Queen	—	—	—
Lia Rose	—	76	42
Tuneful	—	46	—
Mamalouka	—	49	29
Parrsicoe	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mamalouka	10d ago	Quick return
Parrsicoe	16d ago	Fit
Saratoga Star	25d ago	Fit
Surveyor	31d ago	Fit
Lia Rose	31d ago	Fit
Word Play	38d ago	Fit
Tuneful	45d ago	Fit
Lokana	46d ago	Fresh
Soft Winds	—	—
Elegant Friend	—	—
Spiritual	—	—
Warda Jamila	—	—
Lakota Spirit	—	—
My Desert Queen	—	—