Horseradish Catering & Events Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands A, B, C & D) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Chester

14:10

Date 2023-09-15

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,233

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Berkshire Nugget Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	131	—	4	-	86	54	28d	—	—	-26	12.5	0.34/1	11/8 42%
62,000gns yearling; fourth on Newmarket debut (7f; form franked); top of the list
7 (1)	Our Havana Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	131	—	74	-	80	65	83d	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Ayr fourth (6f) looks solid; pedigree suggests this extra furlong should suit; noteworthy.
5 (3)	Its Not Risky Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Hugo Palmer	J:Andrew Mullen T:Hugo Palmer	131	—	83	-	75	63	13d	—	—	-9	8	1.00/1	5 20%
C&D third (good to soft) a fortnight ago; handily drawn; should be thereabouts.
12 (11)	Terratino Fire Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	127	—	5	-	77	64	13d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Seemingly in need of experience when fifth over C&D (It's Not Risky third) a fortnight ago
1 (4)	Greer Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
105,000euros yearling; sixth foal from a 7f Group 3 winner; half-brother to four winners.
2 (8)	Land Lover Bay J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	133	—	453240	77	84	78	22d	—	—	+6	11.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Plenty of experience; struggled in a valuable sales race at York's Ebor Festival last time
9 (5)	Amancio Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	127	—	65	-	77	19	16d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Shaped better than on Windsor debut when back in action at Kempton (1m, AW); needs better.
3 (10)	State Of Chaos Grey J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	133	—	78	-	53	18	15d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Modest form both starts; this seventh furlong should suit, albeit with others preferred
10 (6)	King For A Day Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Craig Lidster	J:Cam Hardie T:Craig Lidster	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
13,000euros yearling; fifth foal from a 1m2f French winner; will probably need further.
6 (2)	Mister Gan Bay J:Graham Lee T:Craig Lidster	J:Graham Lee T:Craig Lidster	131	—	77	-	64	50	13d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran okay on York debut (6f) but struggled behind a couple of these over C&D.
8 (9)	Anglesey Lad Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	129	—	4977	60	66	45	9d	—	—	+1	2.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
No progress since Bath debut fourth, despite being gelded; best to look elsewhere.
11 (12)	Nicholo Bay J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Lisa Williamson	127	—	9	-	-	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Tailed-off last of nine on recent C&D debut; tough to consider from widest draw (stall 12)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Berkshire Nugget	5/4	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4
Our Havana	5	5/1	11/2	11/2	5
Its Not Risky	5	5	5	5	5
Terratino Fire	8	8	8/1	8/1	8
Greer	15/2	15/2	8	15/2	15/2
Land Lover	14	14	14	14	14
Amancio	14	16	16	16	16
State Of Chaos	40	40/1	40/1	40/1	40
King For A Day	40	40	40	40	50
Mister Gan	40	40/1	40	40	40
Anglesey Lad	100	100	80	100/1	100/1
Nicholo	400	300/1	300/1	250	400/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Berkshire Nugget

12.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

11/8

2nd

Land Lover

11.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Its Not Risky

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

Our Havana

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Greer

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Anglesey Lad

2.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Terratino Fire

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Amancio

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Mister Gan

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

State Of Chaos

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

King For A Day

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Nicholo

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Land Lover	77	84	78
Anglesey Lad	60	66	45
Berkshire Nugget	—	86	54
Our Havana	—	80	65
Its Not Risky	—	75	63
Terratino Fire	—	77	64
Greer	—	—	—
Amancio	—	77	19
State Of Chaos	—	53	18
King For A Day	—	—	—
Mister Gan	—	64	50
Nicholo	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Anglesey Lad	9d ago	Quick return
Its Not Risky	13d ago	Quick return
Terratino Fire	13d ago	Quick return
Mister Gan	13d ago	Quick return
Nicholo	13d ago	Quick return
State Of Chaos	15d ago	Fit
Amancio	16d ago	Fit
Land Lover	22d ago	Fit
Berkshire Nugget	28d ago	Fit
Our Havana	83d ago	Fresh
Greer	—	—
King For A Day	—	—