Carlsberg Danish Pilsner Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2)

Doncaster

14:25

Date 2023-09-15

Distance 5f3y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £65,217

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Big Evs Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	129	—	2110	108	117	115	21d	—	—	+11	35.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Down the field in the Nunthorpe but leading claims judged on earlier Group 3/Listed wins
5 (9)	Kylian Bay J:Ryan Moore T:K R Burke	J:Ryan Moore T:K R Burke	129	—	321136	102	113	100	21d	—	—	+7	31.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
5f Listed winner who failed to stay 6f in the Gimcrack at York; might not be far away
11 (7)	Flora Of Bermuda Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	126	—	42618	102	113	105	22d	—	—	+12	25.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Disappointing in Lowther at York but claims could be boosted if she's back on slow ground
3 (3)	Francis Meynell Bay J:Kevin Stott T:M D Ocallaghan	J:Kevin Stott T:M D Ocallaghan	129	—	1	-	102	90	15d	—	—	+2	13.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Cosy win on recent debut at Navan and this Irish raider is an interesting contender
NR (2)	Inquisitively Bay J:William Buick T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:William Buick T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	129	—	231	104	115	100	20d	—	—	+20	31.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Comfortably won Listed race at York last month and he's a major player on the back of that
NR (5)	Valiant Force Roan J:Rossa Ryan T:Adrian Murray	J:Rossa Ryan T:Adrian Murray	129	—	2515	-	116	108	26d	—	—	+2	10.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Royal Ascot winner; drying ground could aid his cause and he's not written off
6 (8)	Malc Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	129	—	126	104	110	103	64d	—	—	+16	24.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Below par at Newmarket last time but this Royal Ascot runner-up isn't written off
12 (4)	Graceful Thunder Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	126	—	102113	100	110	102	15d	—	—	+24	30.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Close third in Group 3 at Longchamp a fortnight ago and she's not ruled out
NR (1)	Zoulu Chief Chestnut J:Gina Mangan T:Heather Main	J:Gina Mangan T:Heather Main	129	—	710711	95	107	101	23d	—	—	+24	32.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Has made all in 6f nurseries the last twice; this is tougher but on the up & 5f could suit
2 (11)	Fools Gold Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Spencer	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Spencer	129	—	61	-	94	73	11d	—	—	+7	11	5.25/1	22 5%
Won at Windsor on second run; further improvement possible but needs sizeable step forward
NR (6)	Toca Madera Bay J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	129	—	31033	102	109	87	43d	—	—	+18	22.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Third in 6f Group 2s the last twice and this drop back to 5f could be a positive move
7 (12)	Rosario Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Roger Teal	J:George Rooke T:Roger Teal	129	—	1	-	90	78	82d	—	—	+8	10.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Won at Ffos Las in June on his sole start but others have achieved considerably more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Big Evs	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Kylian	5/2	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2
Flora Of Bermuda	5	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Francis Meynell	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Inquisitively	7	7	13/2	6	11/2
Valiant Force	8	17/2	17/2	8	SP
Malc	9	8	8	17/2	17/2
Graceful Thunder	12	11	11	11	11
Zoulu Chief	8	12	11	12	12
Fools Gold	22	22	22	22	22
Toca Madera	28	22	20	16	28
Rosario	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Evs

35.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Zoulu Chief

32.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 19 Odds: 2.4

3rd

Kylian

31.4

OR: 13 Form: 11.1 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Inquisitively

31.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 14.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Graceful Thunder

30.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 16.5 Odds: 1.7

Flora Of Bermuda

25.5

OR: 13 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Malc

24.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Toca Madera

22.9

OR: 13 Form: 8.7 Odds: 1.2

Francis Meynell

13.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Fools Gold

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1

Valiant Force

10.9

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Rosario

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Big Evs	108	117	115
Inquisitively	104	115	100
Malc	104	110	103
Kylian	102	113	100
Flora Of Bermuda	102	113	105
Toca Madera	102	109	87
Graceful Thunder	100	110	102
Zoulu Chief	95	107	101
Francis Meynell	—	102	90
Valiant Force	—	116	108
Fools Gold	—	94	73
Rosario	—	90	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fools Gold	11d ago	Quick return
Francis Meynell	15d ago	Fit
Graceful Thunder	15d ago	Fit
Inquisitively	20d ago	Fit
Big Evs	21d ago	Fit
Kylian	21d ago	Fit
Flora Of Bermuda	22d ago	Fit
Zoulu Chief	23d ago	Fit
Valiant Force	26d ago	Fit
Toca Madera	43d ago	Fit
Malc	64d ago	Fresh
Rosario	82d ago	Fresh