M B McGrady & Co. Accountants Handicap Hurdle – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

15:25

M B McGrady & Co. Accountants Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-09-15

Distance 2m1f165y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12	Morricone Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	155	—	00S/02	82	101	-	26d	—	—	-7	14.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Left all previous form behind when 2nd last month and only nudged up 1lb; unexposed
6	Ask Bob Chestnut J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	163	—	700-7F	90	96	64	20d	—	—	-5	16.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Showed more before coming down at Cartmel on h'cap debut; could have a say
11	Chancer Dancer Bay J:Mr D McGill(7) T:Noel C Kelly	J:Mr D McGill(7) T:Noel C Kelly	155	t	-42604	82	106	103	20d	—	—	-5	15.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
0-10 but has run well in h'cap hurdles in Britain from higher marks this summer
NR	Resilient Front Chestnut J:TBC T:Noel Meade	J: T:Noel Meade	166	t	00800-	93	94	73	228d	—	—	-3	16.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Promising debut but poor form since; tailed off in 2 starts at the beginning of the year
7	No Show Chestnut J:Phillip Enright T:James Joseph Mangan	J:Phillip Enright T:James Joseph Mangan	162	p	-70041	89	97	26	14d	—	—	+12	22.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Built on some promise at Tramore with Wexford win since; 6lb rise justified
1	Downthecellar Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:E J Ogrady	J:Rachael Blackmore T:E J Ogrady	168	tp	-P80PP	95	93	67	14d	—	—	+6	13.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Failed to finish in 4 of his last 6 and pulled up last twice; won't want rain
13	Wee Jerry Bay J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	153	—	P50P80	80	98	60	18d	—	—	+5	8.5	6.75/1	28 4%
Really struggling for form of late, including over 2m2f here last time out; hard to fancy
3	Toucan Do Bay J:Niall Moore(7) T:John M Burke	J:Niall Moore(7) T:John M Burke	165	—	000-97	92	92	87	102d	—	—	+6	12.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Minor promise so far; would need to improve on h'cap debut; off 102 days
NR	Crabtrees Rebel Chestnut J:TBC T:James Andrew Fahey	J: T:James Andrew Fahey	158	—	/40P8-	85	93	63	351d	—	—	+1	11.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Either tailed off or failed to complete in six starts so far and has been off 351 days
4	Im For Home Chestnut J:A P Heskin T:R K Watson	J:A P Heskin T:R K Watson	164	h	95700-	91	95	52	160d	—	—	+8	11.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Poor form so far and tailed off in each of his three maiden hurdle starts; off 160 days
10	Cullenwaine Chestnut J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	157	p	00-885	84	89	65	16d	—	—	+1	11.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Never built on minor promise in bumpers and well held since switching to h'caps of late
5	Across The Ocean Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	163	—	0000FU	92	59	42	18d	—	—	+8	11.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Tailed off in 4 maiden hurdles and failed to complete in both handicap starts here lately
8	Mille Miglia Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:C A Mcbratney	J:Kevin Sexton T:C A Mcbratney	160	p	0-08	87	91	50	—	—	—	+7	10	7.00/1	28/1 3%
3-time winner on the level in Britain up to 1m4f; struggled for new yard though

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Morricone	7/2	3/1	10/3	7/2	10/3
Ask Bob	7/2	3/1	3	10/3	10/3
Chancer Dancer	10/3	10/3	3	3	11/4
Resilient Front	10	9	13/2	9	9
No Show	13/2	7/1	13/2	6	13/2
Downthecellar	12	14/1	10	14	14
Wee Jerry	28	22/1	20	25	25/1
Toucan Do	16	16/1	16/1	16	16
Crabtrees Rebel	20	12	10	14	14
Im For Home	28	25/1	22	28	28/1
Cullenwaine	15/2	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Across The Ocean	33/1	33	22	28	28/1
Mille Miglia	25	28/1	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

No Show

22.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Resilient Front

16.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.9

3rd

Ask Bob

16.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Chancer Dancer

15.7

OR: 8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Morricone

14.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Downthecellar

13.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Toucan Do

12.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Crabtrees Rebel

11.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Cullenwaine

11.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Across The Ocean

11.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Im For Home

11.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Mille Miglia

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Wee Jerry

8.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Downthecellar	95	93	67
Resilient Front	93	94	73
Toucan Do	92	92	87
Across The Ocean	92	59	42
Im For Home	91	95	52
Ask Bob	90	96	64
No Show	89	97	26
Mille Miglia	87	91	50
Crabtrees Rebel	85	93	63
Cullenwaine	84	89	65
Morricone	82	101	—
Chancer Dancer	82	106	103
Wee Jerry	80	98	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
No Show	14d ago	Fit
Downthecellar	14d ago	Fit
Cullenwaine	16d ago	Fit
Wee Jerry	18d ago	Fit
Across The Ocean	18d ago	Fit
Ask Bob	20d ago	Fit
Chancer Dancer	20d ago	Fit
Morricone	26d ago	Fit
Toucan Do	102d ago	Long break
Im For Home	160d ago	Long break
Resilient Front	228d ago	Long break
Crabtrees Rebel	351d ago	Long break
Mille Miglia	—	—