Kerry Group Irish EBF Mares Hurdle – Listowel

Listowel

14:35

Kerry Group Irish EBF Mares Hurdle

Date 2023-09-17

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,505

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Space Tourist Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	154	—	13-118	-	145	99	47d	—	—	-44	20	0.08/1	3/10 77%
Jumped poorly at Galway; should be much better suited going left-handed; major contender
5	Miss Fourie Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Peter Fahey	J:Sean Flanagan T:Peter Fahey	150	—	24-219	111	131	119	23d	—	—	+3	20.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Ran no race in a Listed handicap at Killarney last time; more needed here but respected
2	Popova Chestnut J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	155	—	2P38-5	118	143	99	18d	—	—	+10	19.7	2.00/1	9 11%
Well beaten at Bellewstown latest; rated to go close and respected but has to bounce back
NR	Say Goodbye Brown J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	155	t	2P/11-	-	143	-	478d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Off 16 months; best mare in the race on form and will take beating if close to her best
NR	Boxcar Molly Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	J:NON-RUNNER T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	141	—	97-9	-	94	-	134d	—	—	-14	5.9	24.75/1	100 1%
Showed a little more ability when reverting to bumper at Cork in May; hard to fancy here
1	Light Parade Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:W J Burke	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:W J Burke	155	—	46-403	94	111	82	34d	—	—	+10	11.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Plenty to find at the weights here but likely to run her race and could sneak into it
6	Cest Rien Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Thomas Mullins	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Thomas Mullins	144	—	5-0006	92	125	73	2d	—	—	+9	10.9	19.75/1	80 1%
Well beaten in four hurdle outings since May and hard to make a case for

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Space Tourist	2/7	2/7	2/7	3/10	2/7
Miss Fourie	4	4	7/2	4	4
Popova	9	15/2	8	15/2	8
Say Goodbye	7/2	3	10/3	11/4	10/3
Boxcar Molly	100	SP	SP	SP	SP
Light Parade	50	50/1	40	40	50
Cest Rien	80	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miss Fourie

20.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Space Tourist

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3/10

3rd

Popova

19.7

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Light Parade

11.5

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Cest Rien

10.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Say Goodbye

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Boxcar Molly

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.9

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Popova	118	143	99
Miss Fourie	111	131	119
Light Parade	94	111	82
Cest Rien	92	125	73
Space Tourist	—	145	99
Say Goodbye	—	143	—
Boxcar Molly	—	94	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cest Rien	2d ago	Quick return
Popova	18d ago	Fit
Miss Fourie	23d ago	Fit
Light Parade	34d ago	Fit
Space Tourist	47d ago	Fresh
Boxcar Molly	134d ago	Long break
Say Goodbye	478d ago	Long break