Virgin Bet Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

15:25

Virgin Bet Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap

Date 2023-09-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £18,039

Runners (25)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (23)	Rock Melody Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	138	—	133672	79	89	80	5d	—	—	+5	17.4	11/2 15%
Two wins this year and has also posted an eyecatching 3rd of 16 over C&D; respected
2 (11)	Music Society Grey J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	138	—	342050	79	91	83	34d	—	—	+2	11.4	15/2 12%
Won this in 2019 and he's one to consider judged on his close second over C&D this July
11 (7)	Cold Stare Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	132	tp	252643	73	91	80	48d	—	—	+3	12.9	15/2 12%
Winless since October 2021 but went very close at Doncaster latest and he likes it here
4 (9)	Yaaser Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jim Goldie	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jim Goldie	137	—	314241	78	84	76	9d	—	—	+16	23.6	10 10%
Wins at 7f-plus but a fast-run race in a big field over 6f could play to his strengths
8 (24)	Little Muddy Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	134	—	146282	75	88	80	43d	—	—	+7	16.3	17/2 11%
Two wins this spring & some good form this summer, also; every chance she'll be in the mix
3 (6)	Ascot Adventure Chestnut J:Ben Curtis T:David Omeara	J:Ben Curtis T:David Omeara	137	p	432334	78	89	82	6d	—	—	+6	15.2	8 13%
Races over 7f in the main but a strong pace in this big field can see him to good effect
NR (25)	American Affair Bay J:TBC T:Jim Goldie	J: T:Jim Goldie	129	—	402213	72	89	61	1d	—	—	+13	22	17/2 11%
Denied clear run before keeping on for third of 20 here yesterday; could have a major say
21 (18)	Kats Bob Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	p	291234	69	88	73	4d	—	—	+7	14.3	12 8%
Two big runs over C&D in the summer and could give a good account now back here
24 (19)	Sir Maxi Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	126	—	213620	67	89	80	1d	—	—	+6	12.4	14 7%
Outpaced when mid-division over 5f here yesterday; not written off now back up in trip
NR (21)	Harrys Halo Chestnut J:TBC T:Kevin Frost	J: T:Kevin Frost	135	t	1-9225	78	89	69	44d	—	—	+9	15.9	16 6%
Lightly raced 3yo who could resume his progressive ways when back on a slow surface
18 (13)	Asadjumeirah Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	129	tv	262564	70	90	75	17d	—	—	+3	7.9	14 7%
On a long losing run and will need everything to drop right, but often runs well in defeat
5 (20)	Novak Grey J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	136	—	111457	77	88	81	6d	—	—	+9	12.8	25 4%
Won three in a row in May/June but unplaced on last three starts
7 (16)	Jordan Electrics Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	135	—	006013	76	86	78	9d	—	—	+14	17.6	22 5%
Creditable fifth last season and has won three times this year; might not be far away
9 (4)	Ghathanfar Brown J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	134	p	785086	75	91	66	13d	—	—	+3	7.6	18 6%
Continues to drop down weights but has to produce more than he's managed on last few runs
14 (17)	B Associates Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jim Goldie	J:Hector Crouch T:Jim Goldie	130	—	199713	73	86	60	9d	—	—	+13	16.6	28/1 3%
3yo who has won five times this year, mainly at 7f but once over 6f; has a chance
15 (1)	Trabajo Detecho Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	129	p	321264	72	86	78	9d	—	—	+9	13	25 4%
This is more competitive than he's used to but not ruled out each-way now back down to 6f
NR (15)	Water Of Leith Bay J:TBC T:Jim Goldie	J: T:Jim Goldie	129	—	345704	70	89	67	5d	—	—	-45	25	40 3%
Four wins last season and is below last winning mark, but underwhelming campaign this year
22 (5)	After John Bay J:Sam James T:Iain Jardine	J:Sam James T:Iain Jardine	127	—	207449	68	83	70	27d	—	—	+2	5.4	28 4%
A couple of fair efforts on turf this summer but now 2-31 on grass; others more compelling
20 (14)	Bellagio Man Bay J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	128	p	508358	69	86	69	48d	—	—	+4	7	40 3%
On a reduced mark but needs something extra to return to winning ways in this warm contest
10 (2)	Show Me Show Me Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Richard Fahey	133	v	861190	74	89	74	9d	—	—	+12	14.7	40 3%
Won two in a row last month but has finished down the field the last twice
NR (22)	Phoenix Beach Bay J:TBC T:Richard Fahey	J: T:Richard Fahey	129	—	17-660	70	89	52	20d	—	—	-45	25	50 2%
Lightly raced 4yo who won AW novice last August but has failed to shine this season
12 (8)	Catch Cunningham Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	131	p	987040	72	87	66	5d	—	—	+4	6.2	33 3%
Well handicapped but back to having something to prove following Doncaster last Sunday
23 (12)	Shallow Hal Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	127	v	015690	68	87	82	1d	—	—	+5	7.1	40 3%
Won at Carlisle in July but well beaten on next four starts, the latest here yesterday
25 (3)	Claim The Stars Bay J:Jason Hart T:Tim Easterby	J:Jason Hart T:Tim Easterby	123	t	701680	64	88	78	3d	—	—	+5	7.1	50 2%
Off the mark at the 20th attempt at Thirsk in June but has failed to kick on from that
13 (10)	Borough Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Iain Jardine	130	—	121200	73	88	67	1d	—	—	+11	12.7	50 2%
Won twice this summer but below par the last twice, most recently here yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rock Melody	5	5	11/2	5	5
Music Society	15/2	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
Cold Stare	7	7	15/2	7	7
Yaaser	9	10	10	10	10
Little Muddy	15/2	17/2	17/2	8	8
Ascot Adventure	8	8	8	8	8
American Affair	9	17/2	9	9	9
Kats Bob	12	12	12	12	12
Sir Maxi	12	14	12/1	12	14
Harrys Halo	14	16	12	14	16
Asadjumeirah	14	14	14	14	14
Novak	25	22	22	22	22
Jordan Electrics	22	22	22	22	22
Ghathanfar	18	16	16	16	16
B Associates	28	25	25	28/1	25
Trabajo Detecho	25	22	22	22	22
Water Of Leith	40	—	33	33	33
After John	28	25	25	25	25
Bellagio Man	40	40	40	40	40
Show Me Show Me	40	40	40	40	40
Phoenix Beach	33	40	40	50	50
Catch Cunningham	33	33	33	33	33
Shallow Hal	40	33	40	40	40
Claim The Stars	50	50	50	50	50
Borough	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Water Of Leith

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Phoenix Beach

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3rd

Yaaser

23.6

OR: 7 Form: 14.5 Odds: 2.1

American Affair

OR: 5.5 Form: 14 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Jordan Electrics

17.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

Rock Melody

17.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

B Associates

16.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Little Muddy

16.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Harrys Halo

15.9

OR: 7 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Ascot Adventure

15.2

OR: 7 Form: 5.7 Odds: 2.5

Show Me Show Me

14.7

OR: 6 Form: 8 Odds: 0.7

Kats Bob

14.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.9

Trabajo Detecho

OR: 5.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1

Cold Stare

12.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Novak

12.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

Borough

12.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.5

Sir Maxi

12.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.4 Odds: 1.7

Music Society

11.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Asadjumeirah

7.9

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Ghathanfar

7.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Shallow Hal

7.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.6

Claim The Stars

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

Bellagio Man

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

Catch Cunningham

6.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

After John

5.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rock Melody	79	89	80
Music Society	79	91	83
Yaaser	78	84	76
Ascot Adventure	78	89	82
Harrys Halo	78	89	69
Novak	77	88	81
Jordan Electrics	76	86	78
Little Muddy	75	88	80
Ghathanfar	75	91	66
Show Me Show Me	74	89	74
Cold Stare	73	91	80
B Associates	73	86	60
Borough	73	88	67
American Affair	72	89	61
Trabajo Detecho	72	86	78
Catch Cunningham	72	87	66
Asadjumeirah	70	90	75
Water Of Leith	70	89	67
Phoenix Beach	70	89	52
Kats Bob	69	88	73
Bellagio Man	69	86	69
After John	68	83	70
Shallow Hal	68	87	82
Sir Maxi	67	89	80
Claim The Stars	64	88	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
American Affair	1d ago	Quick return
Sir Maxi	1d ago	Quick return
Shallow Hal	1d ago	Quick return
Borough	1d ago	Quick return
Claim The Stars	3d ago	Quick return
Kats Bob	4d ago	Quick return
Rock Melody	5d ago	Quick return
Water Of Leith	5d ago	Quick return
Catch Cunningham	5d ago	Quick return
Ascot Adventure	6d ago	Quick return
Novak	6d ago	Quick return
Yaaser	9d ago	Quick return
Jordan Electrics	9d ago	Quick return
B Associates	9d ago	Quick return
Trabajo Detecho	9d ago	Quick return
Show Me Show Me	9d ago	Quick return
Ghathanfar	13d ago	Quick return
Asadjumeirah	17d ago	Fit
Phoenix Beach	20d ago	Fit
After John	27d ago	Fit
Music Society	34d ago	Fit
Little Muddy	43d ago	Fit
Harrys Halo	44d ago	Fit
Cold Stare	48d ago	Fresh
Bellagio Man	48d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Borough	Front Runner
Yaaser	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 25 runners classified.