Goffs Million – Curragh · The Final Fence

Curragh

15:40

Goffs Million

Date 2023-09-23

Distance 7f

Class

Going Yielding To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €610,000

Runners (23)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
17 (18)	Cherry Blossom Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:A P Obrien	J:Frankie Dettori T:A P Obrien	126	—	412	101	116	96	30d	—	—	-4	39	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Course 6f winner, sets a good standard by virtue of second in the Lowther Stakes at York
11 (3)	My Mate Alfie Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	131	—	2312	96	103	94	32d	—	—	+20	29	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Useful 96-rated colt, no surprise that he is the selected of a Ger Lyons-trained quartet
19 (17)	One Look Bay J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Comes from a strong source of juvenile talent, capable of a big run on debut
10 (12)	Mission To Moon Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Roger Varian	J:Ronan Whelan T:Roger Varian	131	—	4221	90	102	80	51d	—	—	+18	29.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Promoted 9lb to 90 for a 7f nursery win, will need another big step forward to win here
9 (16)	Havanagreattime Grey J:Neil Callan T:Richard Hughes	J:Neil Callan T:Richard Hughes	131	—	3421	85	94	80	19d	—	—	+19	24.9	3.25/1	14 7%
6f maiden winner at Windsor, should stay 7f but this opposition looks far too demanding
8 (6)	Guildenstern Chestnut J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	131	—	2	-	91	54	42d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Noteworthy recruit for Donnacha O'Brien after second to Diego Velazquez at Leopardstown
18 (23)	Do It With Style Brown J:Killian Leonard T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Killian Leonard T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	126	—	10435	97	105	88	28d	—	—	+13	16.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Course 6f maiden winner has obtained useful experience in Pattern races, could go well
16 (13)	Western Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	131	—	53	-	88	85	15d	—	—	0	4.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Fair recent run but chance not obvious despite respect for stable in races of this type
22 (19)	Storm Miami Bay J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	126	—	1243	96	105	77	21d	—	—	+17	21.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Same official rating as stablemate My Mate Alfie, may find that rival too strong over 7f
5 (1)	Chaturanga Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Archie Watson	J:Declan McDonogh T:Archie Watson	131	p	117	88	97	58	56d	—	—	+19	22.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won his first two starts at Redcar and Haydock; limitations exposed in Ascot Listed event
12 (21)	Pianoforte Bay J:Jamie Powell T:Andrew Balding	J:Jamie Powell T:Andrew Balding	131	—	52	-	94	33	15d	—	—	+3	5.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Faces a massive rise in class after neck second in a 6f novice race at Newcastle
14 (11)	Thors Hammer Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	131	p	022	-	92	70	32d	—	—	+7	9.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Likely future winner judged on two seconds, will get better opportunities than this
3 (9)	Beauty Thunder Bay J:Jack Kearney T:G M Lyons	J:Jack Kearney T:G M Lyons	131	—	641	-	93	72	32d	—	—	+8	10.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Stayed well when winning a maiden over a bit further at Roscommon, Colin Keane deserts him
13 (15)	Soldiers Empire Chestnut J:Leigh Roche T:G M Lyons	J:Leigh Roche T:G M Lyons	131	—	3	-	85	71	37d	—	—	+1	3.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Shaped well when third behind an odds-on chance on debut, Colin Keane on My Mate Alfie
2 (10)	Aratayvo Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	131	—	82	-	89	24	9d	—	—	+4	5.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Mid-field on debut in a good maiden, chased home an odds-on chance at Naas last week
1 (22)	Akkadian Emperor Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	131	—	77	-	81	56	93d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Two mid-field finishes in maidens at Leopardstown, unlikely to feature in this company
4 (5)	Cathal Bay J:Scott McCullagh T:P Twomey	J:Scott McCullagh T:P Twomey	131	b	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Solid American pedigree, apparent second-string for stable, blinkered for debut
23 (8)	What A Squeeze Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	126	—	4842	78	92	70	28d	—	—	+11	12.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Likely future winner judged on her second in a C&D nursery but not a strong contender here
21 (4)	Riviera Queen Grey J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Sister to 1m4f winner Sugaree, dam Listed-placed Flat winner and useful 2m hurdle winner
20 (2)	Raknah Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Andrew Slattery T:Mrs John Harrington	126	—	563	-	95	58	17d	—	—	+2	3.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Placed over 1m on AW on the most recent of three starts for Andrew Balding, huge task now
6 (20)	Chicago Fireball Bay J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	131	—	4339	89	94	82	42d	—	—	+12	13.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Third of four in a Group 3, moderate run in blinkers in 6f maiden won by Cherry Blossom
7 (7)	Count Palatine Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Brian Meehan	J:Luke McAteer T:Brian Meehan	131	—	503926	76	88	81	22d	—	—	+10	11.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Placed twice, would receive plenty of weight from a good many of these in a nursery
15 (14)	Tsunami Speed Bay J:Gary Halpin T:Adrian Murray	J:Gary Halpin T:Adrian Murray	131	t	6	-	76	47	9d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Big price when finishing with only one behind him in a seven-runner 6f maiden at Naas

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cherry Blossom	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10
My Mate Alfie	15/2	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
One Look	6	15/2	7/1	8	8
Mission To Moon	11/2	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Havanagreattime	11	14	12	14	14
Guildenstern	9	10/1	10	10/1	10/1
Do It With Style	20	20	22	22	22/1
Western	20	22/1	20	20	20
Storm Miami	16	18	18	18	18/1
Chaturanga	25	28/1	25	25/1	25/1
Pianoforte	40/1	33/1	28	33	33
Thors Hammer	50	40/1	40	40	40
Beauty Thunder	40	33	40	40	40
Soldiers Empire	33/1	33/1	28	33/1	33
Aratayvo	66	50	50	50	50
Akkadian Emperor	50	40	40	50/1	50/1
Cathal	80/1	50	50	50	50
What A Squeeze	80	50/1	40	40	40
Riviera Queen	100/1	66/1	50	50	50
Raknah	100	66	66/1	66	66
Chicago Fireball	150/1	80/1	66	66	66
Count Palatine	100/1	80/1	66/1	66	66
Tsunami Speed	150	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cherry Blossom

OR: 12.8 Form: 12 Odds: 14.3

11/10

2nd

Mission To Moon

29.3

OR: 10 Form: 16 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

My Mate Alfie

OR: 11.5 Form: 15 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Havanagreattime

24.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 14.4 Odds: 1.7

Chaturanga

22.3

OR: 9.5 Form: 12 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Storm Miami

21.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Do It With Style

16.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Chicago Fireball

13.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.4

150/1

What A Squeeze

12.5

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

Count Palatine

11.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Beauty Thunder

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

Thors Hammer

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.6

Guildenstern

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Pianoforte

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Aratayvo

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

Western

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Soldiers Empire

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Raknah

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

100

One Look

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Akkadian Emperor

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Cathal

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Riviera Queen

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Tsunami Speed

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cherry Blossom	101	116	96
Do It With Style	97	105	88
My Mate Alfie	96	103	94
Storm Miami	96	105	77
Mission To Moon	90	102	80
Chicago Fireball	89	94	82
Chaturanga	88	97	58
Havanagreattime	85	94	80
What A Squeeze	78	92	70
Count Palatine	76	88	81
One Look	—	—	—
Guildenstern	—	91	54
Western	—	88	85
Pianoforte	—	94	33
Thors Hammer	—	92	70
Beauty Thunder	—	93	72
Soldiers Empire	—	85	71
Aratayvo	—	89	24
Akkadian Emperor	—	81	56
Cathal	—	—	—
Riviera Queen	—	—	—
Raknah	—	95	58
Tsunami Speed	—	76	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aratayvo	9d ago	Quick return
Tsunami Speed	9d ago	Quick return
Western	15d ago	Fit
Pianoforte	15d ago	Fit
Raknah	17d ago	Fit
Havanagreattime	19d ago	Fit
Storm Miami	21d ago	Fit
Count Palatine	22d ago	Fit
Do It With Style	28d ago	Fit
What A Squeeze	28d ago	Fit
Cherry Blossom	30d ago	Fit
My Mate Alfie	32d ago	Fit
Thors Hammer	32d ago	Fit
Beauty Thunder	32d ago	Fit
Soldiers Empire	37d ago	Fit
Guildenstern	42d ago	Fit
Chicago Fireball	42d ago	Fit
Mission To Moon	51d ago	Fresh
Chaturanga	56d ago	Fresh
Akkadian Emperor	93d ago	Long break
One Look	—	—
Cathal	—	—
Riviera Queen	—	—