At The Races App Market Movers Selling Stakes – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

At The Races App Market Movers Selling Stakes

Date 2023-09-23

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,348

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Cotai Vision Chestnut J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	131	—	40164	74	81	56	17d	—	—	-12	21.6	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Made all in Bath maiden in July and could be hard to catch in this grade
5 (4)	States Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	130	b	368846	60	71	62	17d	—	—	-12	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Fourth in 5f nursery here last month but safely held over 6f since; needs to up his game
7 (1)	Naturalia Bay J:Luke Morris T:Rae Guest	J:Luke Morris T:Rae Guest	125	—	6584	62	72	54	5d	—	—	-11	8.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Kept on for fourth in 7f Kempton nursery on Monday; likely contender at this level
8 (7)	Peace Wall Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	125	—	37344	59	74	68	19d	—	—	-7	8.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Below form on latest outing but has possibilities if this step up in trip suits
1 (6)	Professor Tickle Bay J:John Fahy T:David Loughnane	J:John Fahy T:David Loughnane	136	b	514548	65	71	-	10d	—	—	-1	8.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Looked good when winning turf maiden in June but hasn't fired lately; makes AW debut today
NR (3)	Lady Showcasing Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	125	—	258660	59	76	70	5d	—	—	-8	6.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Went close in 5f course maiden in May but seems to have lost her way
2 (5)	Search Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	136	b	915044	53	46	32	15d	—	—	-1	4.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Game winner of soft-ground maiden in June but has underwhelmed in nurseries; blinkers on
NR (8)	Rock Lodge Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Phillip Makin	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Phillip Makin	130	b	400045	48	59	-	16d	—	—	-10	4	8.00/1	33 3%
Ran quite well off lowly marks in two recent 5f nurseries; not favoured by today's weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cotai Vision	6/4	13/8	13/8	11/8	6/4
States	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Naturalia	9/2	7/2	9/2	7/2	9/2
Peace Wall	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Professor Tickle	8	15/2	8	15/2	15/2
Lady Showcasing	28	28	28	28	28
Search	20	18	18	18	18
Rock Lodge	33	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cotai Vision

21.6

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Peace Wall

8.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

States

8.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Naturalia

8.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Professor Tickle

8.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 2 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Lady Showcasing

6.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.3

4.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

Rock Lodge

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cotai Vision	74	81	56
Professor Tickle	65	71	—
Naturalia	62	72	54
States	60	71	62
Peace Wall	59	74	68
Lady Showcasing	59	76	70
Search	53	46	32
Rock Lodge	48	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Naturalia	5d ago	Quick return
Lady Showcasing	5d ago	Quick return
Professor Tickle	10d ago	Quick return
Search	15d ago	Fit
Rock Lodge	16d ago	Fit
Cotai Vision	17d ago	Fit
States	17d ago	Fit
Peace Wall	19d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.