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Hamilton

17:40

Date 2023-09-24

Distance 1m4f15y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (2)	Kells Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	123	tp	689461	48	81	62	6d	—	—	-15	21.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Longstanding maiden prior to wide-margin win at Thirsk; great chance off same mark
2 (1)	Tafsir Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	136	p	311210	61	71	63	24d	—	—	+5	22.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Last three turf appearances have resulted in Scottish wins, including here
5 (3)	Ask Peter Bay J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	564719	55	71	51	31d	—	—	-1	11.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Opened her account in C&D handicap on most recent turf start; one to consider
6 (6)	Aighear Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	123	—	482242	48	72	55	11d	—	—	+2	11.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Threatening to regain the winning thread; scored over C&D last term; solid chance
4 (5)	Black Smoke Bay J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	133	t	970012	58	72	50	24d	—	—	+8	16.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has made a promising start to his British career and may improve further; respected
3 (7)	Ebony Maw Bay J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	135	—	-00765	60	68	37	5d	—	—	-4	4.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Signs of a revival in AW contest five days ago; sole win came in 2020
1 (4)	Heatherdown Hero Bay J:Graham Lee T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Graham Lee T:Rebecca Menzies	136	h	2-5554	61	71	54	19d	—	—	+2	8	3.25/1	14 7%
Signs of a return to form here (1m1f) last time; step back up in distance is a positive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kells	11/8	5/4	6/5	5/4	5/4
Tafsir	9/2	4	4	4	4
Ask Peter	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Aighear	7	15/2	15/2	7	15/2
Black Smoke	8	8	17/2	8	17/2
Ebony Maw	16	14	14	14	16
Heatherdown Hero	14	14	14	14	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tafsir

22.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Kells

21.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.8

11/8

3rd

Black Smoke

16.5

OR: 2 Form: 12 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ask Peter

11.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Aighear

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Heatherdown Hero

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

Ebony Maw

4.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tafsir	61	71	63
Heatherdown Hero	61	71	54
Ebony Maw	60	68	37
Black Smoke	58	72	50
Ask Peter	55	71	51
Kells	48	81	62
Aighear	48	72	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ebony Maw	5d ago	Quick return
Kells	6d ago	Quick return
Aighear	11d ago	Quick return
Heatherdown Hero	19d ago	Fit
Tafsir	24d ago	Fit
Black Smoke	24d ago	Fit
Ask Peter	31d ago	Fit