Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (Premier Handicap)

Curragh

16:10

Date 2023-09-24

Distance 2m165y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €324,000

Runners (33)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (13)	Tower Of London Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	137	—	-61124	110	109	97	8d	—	—	+14	31.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Brings Classic form into a handicap after finishing fourth in last week's St Leger
26 (31)	My Mate Mozzie Bay J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	129	—	242-71	92	109	89	—	—	—	+2	13.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has form in similar races and last time ran an excellent third in the Galway Hurdle
32 (19)	Brazil Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Padraig Roche	J:Jamie Spencer T:Padraig Roche	126	t	06/081	89	99	93	51d	—	—	+3	12.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Reserve; beat a few of these over 1m4f at Galway; 7lb higher should he get a run
2 (30)	Echoes In Rain Bay J:Colin Keane T:W P Mullins	J:Colin Keane T:W P Mullins	140	t	212-83	103	106	75	12d	—	—	+6	16.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Just missed out in this 12 months ago and she looks to be in as good form now
8 (2)	Dawn Rising Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	138	—	2/3123	101	110	89	14d	—	—	+10	18.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2m5f Royal Ascot winner; excellent third in the Leger here when he needs further
6 (8)	Chally Chute Chestnut J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	139	—	11-313	102	102	94	51d	—	—	+8	14.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Third in a 1m4f premier handicap at Galway; this race looks a better fit
13 (1)	The Very Man Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	136	p	10-421	99	108	93	43d	—	—	+9	13.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Might not be the best in here but this sort of test will be right up his street
4 (32)	Novel Legend Bay J:Chris Hayes T:James Fanshawe	J:Chris Hayes T:James Fanshawe	140	—	112721	103	106	74	19d	—	—	+27	31.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Developing into a very solid staying handicapper and he should love the ground
11 (28)	Teed Up Bay J:Conor Clarke(7) T:Emmet Mullins	J:Conor Clarke(7) T:Emmet Mullins	137	tp	92-212	100	101	94	—	—	—	+9	13.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Earning legendary status at Galway but only once has he won away from that venue
27 (25)	Nusret Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	129	t	160-16	92	103	85	15d	—	—	+8	11.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Classy juvenile hurdler through the winter; should improve on latest 6th over 1m5f
10 (27)	Final Gesture Bay J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	137	p	4-1646	100	109	97	12d	—	—	+9	13.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Unlucky not to be closer at Galway and could have untapped potential lurking over this far
30 (16)	St Vincents Garden Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	126	p	36163	99	105	86	31d	—	—	+16	22.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Lightly raced 3yo who might well improve plenty for going further this afternoon
17 (20)	Jesse Evans Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	133	—	30-211	96	103	77	31d	—	—	+9	12.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Admirable 7yo but picked up a penalty at Killarney; wouldn't want it really deep
3 (9)	Falcon Eight Bay J:Jake Coen(5) T:D K Weld	J:Jake Coen(5) T:D K Weld	140	b	518-06	103	109	62	92d	—	—	+11	14	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Fifth in this last year and probably playing for further place money
23 (17)	Drop The Anchor Bay J:N G McCullagh T:P A Fahy	J:N G McCullagh T:P A Fahy	130	—	6751-4	93	106	53	21d	—	—	+7	12.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
2m winner on the Flat and a useful hurdler; shaped okay over 7.5f last time
14 (29)	Hms Seahorse Chestnut J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Paul Nolan	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Paul Nolan	135	—	/10-24	98	105	100	55d	—	—	+9	13	6.00/1	25 4%
Not far away in Teed Up's Flat handicap at Galway; has each-way claims
NR (5)	Whiskey Sour Bay J:TBC T:W P Mullins	J: T:W P Mullins	123	t	/800-5	86	104	99	—	—	—	+7	9.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Reserve; encouraging runs under both codes since back from a break but opposable
19 (3)	Lot Of Joy Bay J:Ben Coen T:W P Mullins	J:Ben Coen T:W P Mullins	132	—	/43-68	95	109	93	12d	—	—	+9	12.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Beaten only 1l last year off 2lb lower; questionable whether she returns in the same form
28 (4)	Legendary Day Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:James Ryan(5) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	128	tp	564831	91	107	85	9d	—	—	+20	23.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Tough 5yo holding his form well and won over 1m6f last week; tougher here with a penalty
NR (10)	Powerful Aggie Bay J:TBC T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J: T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	133	b	3-5160	96	108	83	55d	—	—	+12	14.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Wouldn't be the obvious answer after finishing behind a few of these at Galway
22 (23)	Dartan Grey J:Leigh Roche T:Matthew J Smith	J:Leigh Roche T:Matthew J Smith	130	tp	-71015	93	103	93	15d	—	—	+19	21.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
This is tougher than he's accustomed to but a strong stayer who could outrun his odds
7 (22)	Stratum Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:W P Mullins	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:W P Mullins	139	p	64-873	102	109	65	—	—	—	+12	13.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Won all sorts down the years but his powers appear to be on the wane
16 (33)	Weston Grey J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Gordon Elliott	134	—	14-850	97	110	75	51d	—	—	+10	12.2	19.75/1	80 1%
This trip on soft ground could trigger something but comes with risks attached
15 (15)	Sionnach Eile Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	135	—	1-9755	98	106	88	51d	—	—	+18	19.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Unraced over this sort of trip and others can see it out stronger
1 (18)	Jackfinbar Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan(3) T:W P Mullins	J:Michael O'Sullivan(3) T:W P Mullins	142	—	5/3400	105	100	91	15d	—	—	+13	14.1	19.75/1	80 1%
Started well for this yard but ran poorly at Leopardstown only two weeks ago
9 (24)	Mt Leinster Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:W P Mullins	J:Rachael Blackmore T:W P Mullins	138	t	1/02/2	101	105	44	—	—	—	+21	23.2	19.75/1	80 1%
Another durable dual-purpose horse from the Mullins yard; rarely seen on Flat these days
20 (14)	M C Muldoon Grey J:Gavin Ryan T:W P Mullins	J:Gavin Ryan T:W P Mullins	132	—	0/20/4	95	100	46	51d	—	—	+9	12.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Fourth of six runners over 1m6f at Galway on his return from a mammoth absence
29 (26)	Mon Coeur Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Robbie Colgan T:Joseph G Murphy	127	—	222217	90	102	97	31d	—	—	+21	22.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Galway winner for whom a 10lb rise anchored him when behind Jessie Evans at Killarney
5 (7)	Sunchart Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	140	—	-24450	103	107	84	29d	—	—	+13	14.6	24.75/1	100 1%
Ground was too fast in the Ebor; better expected back in the mud but stamina queries
31 (11)	La Hacienda Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Matthew J Smith	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Matthew J Smith	127	p	08-310	90	109	86	51d	—	—	+9	10.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Reserve; Northumberland Vase winner who needs a career best to take this
NR (12)	The Shunter Bay J:TBC T:Emmet Mullins	J: T:Emmet Mullins	132	ht	1374-4	95	107	47	39d	—	—	+8	12.3	9.75/1	40 3%
He'll need more than when fourth of six on his return to Flat action at Galway
25 (6)	Joupe Bay J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Peter Lawlor	J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Peter Lawlor	129	t	768287	92	106	94	6d	—	—	+12	13.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Much lower in the weights when winning here last year; no joy since
24 (21)	Magellan Strait Chestnut J:Hugh Horgan(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Hugh Horgan(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	130	b	0-8030	93	109	69	55d	—	—	+10	11.1	37.25/1	150 1%
Dual winner but his handicap form is none too encouraging

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tower Of London	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
My Mate Mozzie	13/2	7/1	7	7	7
Brazil	8	17/2	9	17/2	9
Echoes In Rain	8	17/2	8	8	8
Dawn Rising	9	8	17/2	17/2	17/2
Chally Chute	11	11	11	11	11/1
The Very Man	18/1	18	20	20	20
Novel Legend	20	16	16	20/1	18
Teed Up	20	16	18	20	20
Nusret	20	20/1	22	20	20/1
Final Gesture	16	18	18	18	20
St Vincents Garden	14	14	14	14	14/1
Jesse Evans	25	20/1	25/1	25	28/1
Falcon Eight	28	28/1	25	28/1	28/1
Drop The Anchor	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Hms Seahorse	22	22	25	22	22/1
Whiskey Sour	33	50	50	50	50
Lot Of Joy	28	25	28	28	28
Legendary Day	50	40	40	50	50
Powerful Aggie	33	50	50	50	50
Dartan	40	40	40	40	40/1
Stratum	50	50	50	50	50
Weston	80	50	66	66	66
Sionnach Eile	100	66	80	80	80
Jackfinbar	80	50	80	80	80
Mt Leinster	80	50	50	50	50/1
M C Muldoon	33	33/1	33	33	40
Mon Coeur	100	66	80	80	80
Sunchart	100	80/1	80/1	80/1	80
La Hacienda	150	66/1	80	80	80
The Shunter	33	40	40	40	40
Joupe	100	100	100	100	100
Magellan Strait	150	100	125	125/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tower Of London

31.7

OR: 15 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Novel Legend

31.5

OR: 13.3 Form: 17 Odds: 1.2

20/1

3rd

Mt Leinster

23.2

OR: 12.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.5

Legendary Day

23.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0.8

St Vincents Garden

22.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Mon Coeur

22.4

OR: 10 Form: 12 Odds: 0.4

100

Dartan

21.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Sionnach Eile

19.4

OR: 12 Form: 7 Odds: 0.4

100

Dawn Rising

18.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Echoes In Rain

16.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Chally Chute

14.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Sunchart

14.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.4

100

Powerful Aggie

14.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

Jackfinbar

14.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Falcon Eight

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

My Mate Mozzie

13.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Teed Up

13.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Final Gesture

13.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

The Very Man

13.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Stratum

13.5

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Joupe

13.3

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.3

100

Hms Seahorse

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Jesse Evans

12.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Brazil

12.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

The Shunter

12.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Weston

12.2

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Drop The Anchor

12.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Lot Of Joy

12.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

M C Muldoon

12.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Nusret

11.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Magellan Strait

11.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

La Hacienda

10.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Whiskey Sour

9.8

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tower Of London	110	109	97
Jackfinbar	105	100	91
Echoes In Rain	103	106	75
Novel Legend	103	106	74
Falcon Eight	103	109	62
Sunchart	103	107	84
Chally Chute	102	102	94
Stratum	102	109	65
Dawn Rising	101	110	89
Mt Leinster	101	105	44
Teed Up	100	101	94
Final Gesture	100	109	97
The Very Man	99	108	93
St Vincents Garden	99	105	86
Hms Seahorse	98	105	100
Sionnach Eile	98	106	88
Weston	97	110	75
Jesse Evans	96	103	77
Powerful Aggie	96	108	83
Lot Of Joy	95	109	93
M C Muldoon	95	100	46
The Shunter	95	107	47
Drop The Anchor	93	106	53
Dartan	93	103	93
Magellan Strait	93	109	69
My Mate Mozzie	92	109	89
Nusret	92	103	85
Joupe	92	106	94
Legendary Day	91	107	85
Mon Coeur	90	102	97
La Hacienda	90	109	86
Brazil	89	99	93
Whiskey Sour	86	104	99

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Joupe	6d ago	Quick return
Tower Of London	8d ago	Quick return
Legendary Day	9d ago	Quick return
Echoes In Rain	12d ago	Quick return
Final Gesture	12d ago	Quick return
Lot Of Joy	12d ago	Quick return
Dawn Rising	14d ago	Fit
Nusret	15d ago	Fit
Dartan	15d ago	Fit
Jackfinbar	15d ago	Fit
Novel Legend	19d ago	Fit
Drop The Anchor	21d ago	Fit
Sunchart	29d ago	Fit
St Vincents Garden	31d ago	Fit
Jesse Evans	31d ago	Fit
Mon Coeur	31d ago	Fit
The Shunter	39d ago	Fit
The Very Man	43d ago	Fit
Brazil	51d ago	Fresh
Chally Chute	51d ago	Fresh
Weston	51d ago	Fresh
Sionnach Eile	51d ago	Fresh
M C Muldoon	51d ago	Fresh
La Hacienda	51d ago	Fresh
Hms Seahorse	55d ago	Fresh
Powerful Aggie	55d ago	Fresh
Magellan Strait	55d ago	Fresh
Falcon Eight	92d ago	Long break
My Mate Mozzie	—	—
Teed Up	—	—
Whiskey Sour	—	—
Stratum	—	—
Mt Leinster	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
My Mate Mozzie	Prominent
Chally Chute	Prominent
Stratum	Prominent
Weston	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 33 runners classified.