Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:55

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-09-25

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Flatley Chestnut J:David Probert T:Adrian Wintle	J:David Probert T:Adrian Wintle	140	—	5-7668	69	82	-	12d	—	—	-11	11.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Convincing C&D winner last autumn; not as effective on turf of late; good pace would suit
4 (6)	Touchwood Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	139	p	459732	68	76	55	19d	—	—	-1	16.6	1.00/1	5 20%
Won over 6f on AW in 2021; versatile trip-wise and fair 1m run on Southwell Tapeta latest
6 (4)	Ravenglass Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Adrian Wintle	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Adrian Wintle	135	p	526466	64	74	-	13d	—	—	-4	7.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Both turf wins at 1m; effective at 7f; 0-2 on AW but ran well both times; fair mark now
5 (7)	Surprise Picture Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Grant Tuer	J:Billy Garritty T:Grant Tuer	139	v	179344	68	78	-	10d	—	—	-2	9.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Course winner at 6f in May; now just 1lb higher than latest success; of interest back here
8 (9)	Chifa Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:Ed De Giles	J:Callum Shepherd T:Ed De Giles	134	—	112368	63	77	68	33d	—	—	+1	10.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won 4 of last 5 starts over C&D, latest in May; 4lb higher but has more to offer back here
7 (10)	From Beyond Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry & Roger Charlton	134	tp	3-2494	66	77	51	19d	—	—	0	8.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Shown ability at 7f on turf; well held in handicaps, including on AW debut latest
2 (12)	Culcor Bay J:Neil Callan T:David Omeara	J:Neil Callan T:David Omeara	140	v	-79560	69	71	-	8d	—	—	0	6.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Won 7f maiden in Ireland; modest form in 7f and 1m handicaps in Britain; AW debut
10 (1)	Decipher Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	55609	62	73	-	29d	—	—	0	4.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Has ability but moderate form in two handicaps; lots to prove on AW debut
1 (3)	Beauzon Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Ian Williams	J:Kevin Stott T:Ian Williams	140	h	-19324	69	76	70	208d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+9	13	4.25/1	18 6%
Ex-D O'Meara; 6f winner here; now having first run beyond that trip; off since March
11 (2)	Vortigan Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Michael Dods	J:Cam Hardie T:Michael Dods	129	p	063335	61	75	-	13d	—	—	+4	8.3	6.75/1	28 4%
Maiden; front-runs; three good 7f efforts before soft-ground defeat latest; bold bid
9 (8)	Mudlahhim Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	133	—	481326	62	76	68	16d	—	—	+8	12.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Bit to find with Chifa on C&D form in May; reliable on AW at 7f since; solid show likely
12 (11)	Diamond Cottage Chestnut J:Charlie Bennett T:Malcolm Saunders	J:Charlie Bennett T:Malcolm Saunders	128	h	150600	57	75	-	9d	—	—	+1	2.1	37.25/1	150 1%
0-10 on AW but has C&D form; three 7f turf wins this year but has gone off the boil

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Flatley	5/2	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2
Touchwood	5	7/2	4	4	4
Ravenglass	6	6	6	6	13/2
Surprise Picture	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Chifa	7	8	15/2	8	8
From Beyond	15/2	10	9	10	9
Culcor	12	12	12	12	12
Decipher	16	18	18	18	20
Beauzon	16	18	18	18	18
Vortigan	28	25	25	25	28
Mudlahhim	22	28	25	28	28
Diamond Cottage	150	125	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Touchwood

16.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5

2nd

Beauzon

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

3rd

Mudlahhim

12.1

OR: 3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.1

Flatley

11.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Chifa

10.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Surprise Picture

9.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

From Beyond

8.6

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

Vortigan

8.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

Ravenglass

7.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Culcor

6.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Decipher

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Diamond Cottage

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flatley	69	82	—
Culcor	69	71	—
Beauzon	69	76	70
Touchwood	68	76	55
Surprise Picture	68	78	—
From Beyond	66	77	51
Ravenglass	64	74	—
Chifa	63	77	68
Decipher	62	73	—
Mudlahhim	62	76	68
Vortigan	61	75	—
Diamond Cottage	57	75	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Culcor	8d ago	Quick return
Diamond Cottage	9d ago	Quick return
Surprise Picture	10d ago	Quick return
Flatley	12d ago	Quick return
Ravenglass	13d ago	Quick return
Vortigan	13d ago	Quick return
Mudlahhim	16d ago	Fit
Touchwood	19d ago	Fit
From Beyond	19d ago	Fit
Decipher	29d ago	Fit
Chifa	33d ago	Fit
Beauzon	208d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.