Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (Run No More Than Twice) (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-09-25

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Nezeeh Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	137	—	1	-	89	-	38d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-18	23.5	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Won 6f Thirsk maiden easily on debut; drawn wide under the penalty but entitled to improve
11 (1)	Pen Portrait Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	3	-	83	-	38d	—	—	-17	11.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Clear of the remainder behind a subsequent winner on debut; goes on the shortlist
4 (6)	Biographer Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	—	3	-	81	50	33d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Satisfactory debut (7f) on Polytrack a month ago and is entitled to improve; player
NR (12)	High Violet Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	125	—	44	-	87	-	12d	—	—	-7	2.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Needs to improve for the switch to the AW for a yard having a quiet season with 2yos
5 (10)	City House Bay J:Robert Havlin T:James Fanshawe	J:Robert Havlin T:James Fanshawe	130	t	40	-	78	-	72d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Pulled hard in two 7f starts, latterly when a remote last; needs to settle from stall 10
7 (5)	High Dreams Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:James Tate	J:Callum Shepherd T:James Tate	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Yard's strike-rate with 2yos down this year but going well of late; watch the market
3 (8)	Ben Y Bryn Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Charles Hills	J:Kevin Stott T:Charles Hills	130	—	4	-	63	-	93d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Tough task on Newmarket debut, when inclined to pull hard; returns from three months off
6 (3)	Giorgio M Bay J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Half-brother to six winners; handy draw on debut and the market will show what's expected
10 (7)	Magic Fluke Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	130	t	48	-	75	52	62d	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Interesting to see how he goes in the market for a new yard in a first-time tongue-tie
2 (9)	East Bank Bay J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	134	—	15	74	81	-	148d	—	—	+11	13.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Been off for five months since and looks vulnerable under the penalty
8 (4)	Jussonemor Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Adam West	J:Marco Ghiani T:Adam West	130	—	9	-	32	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Rather in at the deep end on his Ascot debut; remains best watched
NR (2)	City Waters Bay J:William Cox T:Mitchell Hunt	J:William Cox T:Mitchell Hunt	125	—	4	-	44	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	24.75/1	100 1%
Achieved little when a remote last of four on her debut recently; will do well to feature
9 (13)	Law Of Average Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	130	—	75	-	65	51	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
This again looks beyond him; is likely to find life easier once entering nurseries

Horse	bet365	Coral
Nezeeh	11/8	11/8
Pen Portrait	7/4	7/4
Biographer	13/2	13/2
High Violet	16	22
City House	10	11/1
High Dreams	20	25/1
Ben Y Bryn	22	25/1
Giorgio M	28	28/1
Magic Fluke	25	22
East Bank	40	50
Jussonemor	100	66
City Waters	100	100
Law Of Average	150	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nezeeh

23.5

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 13.5

11/8

2nd

East Bank

13.6

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

3rd

Pen Portrait

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.9

7/4

Biographer

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

High Violet

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.6

City House

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

High Dreams

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Magic Fluke

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ben Y Bryn

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Giorgio M

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Jussonemor

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

City Waters

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100

Law Of Average

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
East Bank	74	81	—
Nezeeh	—	89	—
Pen Portrait	—	83	—
Biographer	—	81	50
High Violet	—	87	—
City House	—	78	—
High Dreams	—	—	—
Ben Y Bryn	—	63	—
Giorgio M	—	—	—
Magic Fluke	—	75	52
Jussonemor	—	32	—
City Waters	—	44	—
Law Of Average	—	65	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
High Violet	12d ago	Quick return
City Waters	12d ago	Quick return
Law Of Average	16d ago	Fit
Jussonemor	17d ago	Fit
Biographer	33d ago	Fit
Nezeeh	38d ago	Fit
Pen Portrait	38d ago	Fit
Magic Fluke	62d ago	Fresh
City House	72d ago	Fresh
Ben Y Bryn	93d ago	Long break
East Bank	148d ago	Long break
High Dreams	—	—
Giorgio M	—	—