At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap (Div II) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:00

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-09-25

Distance 1m1f104y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Casa Luna Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Philip Kirby	J:Oisin Murphy T:Philip Kirby	131	—	699477	48	64	40	14d	—	—	-12	5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Ex-Roger Varian maiden who's regressed sharply this year; others look stronger
NR (8)	Opticality Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Mitchell Hunt	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mitchell Hunt	133	v	07-035	50	68	-	12d	—	—	-12	5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Unlucky in a couple of runs back from wind surgery; one of the more interesting contenders
10 (2)	All Inclusive Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	124	eb	4-004	46	56	16	42d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Best effort yet on his C&D handicap debut six weeks ago gave something to build on
NR (6)	Wallaroo Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	136	—	786159	53	67	51	11d	—	—	-3	9.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two best efforts in handicaps have come here; still to convince on the stamina front
2 (3)	Tawtheef Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Patrick Chamings	J:Hector Crouch T:Patrick Chamings	133	—	30-277	50	66	17	38d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Short break looks in his favour; is a previous C&D winner too, so reasons for optimism
6 (10)	Captain St Lucifer Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Suzzanne France	J:Jack Mitchell T:Suzzanne France	129	t	262868	46	68	49	68d	—	—	-8	5.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Record over C&D reads 33652222; resumes from a ten-week break on a fair mark
12 (1)	Someones Wish Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Robert Eddery	J:Dylan Hogan T:Robert Eddery	124	—	698	46	49	-	42d	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Can only be considered if the market speaks his way going right up in trip
11 (9)	Zakram Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:David Omeara	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Omeara	124	p	470570	46	67	30	14d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Much lower in the weights than when not beaten far over C&D in the spring; possibilities
7 (13)	Darker Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	p	674403	46	64	43	11d	—	—	-4	5.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Hasn't seen it out in two starts at beyond 1m and stall 13 won't help conserve stamina
5 (12)	Zalicia Fire Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Robyn Brisland	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Robyn Brisland	130	—	966-46	52	62	-	32d	—	—	-3	1.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Yard in fair nick but she needs to do better for the return to further on her Tapeta debut
9 (5)	Winnaretta Grey J:Laura Pearson T:Grace Harris	J:Laura Pearson T:Grace Harris	127	p	754300	49	61	-	32d	—	—	0	2.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Again inclined to pull hard down to 1m last time and needs to be more amenable
8 (4)	Ballet Blanc Chestnut J:David Probert T:Richard Price	J:David Probert T:Richard Price	129	—	020808	46	63	-	24d	—	—	-1	1.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Four poor efforts since almost springing a surprise and is hard to enthuse about
13 (11)	Y B Sober Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	124	tp	007-78	46	56	-	27d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Related to winners but isn't up to much herself, finishing tailed off all five starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Casa Luna	4/1	4	7/2	4	4
Opticality	4	4	7/2	4	4
All Inclusive	11/2	5	11/2	11/2	5
Wallaroo	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Tawtheef	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Captain St Lucifer	7	6	5	6/1	6
Someones Wish	9/2	5	11/2	5	11/2
Zakram	7	13/2	6	13/2	7
Darker	13/2	7	13/2	7	15/2
Zalicia Fire	20	20	22/1	20/1	22
Winnaretta	33	33	33	33/1	28
Ballet Blanc	28	33	33	33/1	33
Y B Sober	33	33	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wallaroo

9.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Darker

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Captain St Lucifer

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

Casa Luna

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Opticality

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Tawtheef

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

All Inclusive

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Someones Wish

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Zakram

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Winnaretta

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Zalicia Fire

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Ballet Blanc

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Y B Sober

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wallaroo	53	67	51
Zalicia Fire	52	62	—
Opticality	50	68	—
Tawtheef	50	66	17
Winnaretta	49	61	—
Casa Luna	48	64	40
All Inclusive	46	56	16
Captain St Lucifer	46	68	49
Someones Wish	46	49	—
Zakram	46	67	30
Darker	46	64	43
Ballet Blanc	46	63	—
Y B Sober	46	56	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wallaroo	11d ago	Quick return
Darker	11d ago	Quick return
Opticality	12d ago	Quick return
Casa Luna	14d ago	Fit
Zakram	14d ago	Fit
Ballet Blanc	24d ago	Fit
Y B Sober	27d ago	Fit
Zalicia Fire	32d ago	Fit
Winnaretta	32d ago	Fit
Tawtheef	38d ago	Fit
All Inclusive	42d ago	Fit
Someones Wish	42d ago	Fit
Captain St Lucifer	68d ago	Fresh