Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

8:30

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-09-28

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 2m 38.81s (slow by 6.21s)

Result

Pos	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	SP	Btn
1st	Dance Time (GB) J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	Laura Pearson / David Loughnane	—	33/1	0
2nd	Turner Girl (IRE) J:Morgan Cole T:Ed Dunlop	Morgan Cole / Ed Dunlop	—	7/1	.75
3rd	Eloped (FR) J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	David Probert / Hugo Palmer	—	11/5	2
4th	Folk Star (GB) J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	Jamie Spencer / David Simcock	—	7/2	3.5
5th	Paradise Row (IRE) J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	Marco Ghiani / William Knight	—	2/1F	.5
6th	Movie Star Looks (GB) J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	John Fahy / Clive Cox	—	10/1	.5

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (4)	Eloped b J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	134	t	-02521	68	72	53	19d	—	—	-1	28.4	2 50%
Raised 6lb for a recent Wolverhampton win (1m4f, Cl6); should remain competitive into Cl5.
7 (7)	Paradise Row b J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	129	—	421V84	63	71	56	45d	—	—	-12	15.7	9/4 31%
Beat Eloped when winning a Chelmsford maiden (1m2f); back to that form at Kempton latest.
2 (1)	Folk Star ch J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	135	—	737331	69	73	61	15d	—	—	+6	24.2	7/2 22%
Willing Kempton winner (1m3f; form franked); 6lb higher; further improvement is possible.
1 (6)	Turner Girl b J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	142	p	321842	69	75	58	12d	—	—	+6	16.8	13/2 13%
Newcastle winner (12.5f) who again went mightily close for Morgan Cole at Lingfield (1m5f)
5 (3)	Movie Star Looks br J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	134	—	-86314	68	73	-	21d	—	—	+8	14.9	12 8%
Made all at Leicester (1m4f); failed to repeat those tactics at Haydock; AW prowess?
NR (5)	Glencalvie b J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	135	—	2-0644	69	66	-	7d	—	—	+4	9.8	22 5%
Wasn't totally discredited on handicap debut at Yarmouth (1m); stamina is a risk over 1m4f
6 (2)	Dance Time b J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	129	—	4-43	63	68	-	27d	—	—	0	4.3	22 5%
Didn't show her best in tough conditions at Ffos Las (1m4f); best watched on AW debut.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Eloped	2	2	2	2	2
Paradise Row	9/4	2	9/4	2	9/4
Folk Star	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Turner Girl	6	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
Movie Star Looks	12	11	12	11	12
Glencalvie	20	22	20	20	20
Dance Time	20	22	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eloped

28.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 15 Odds: 8.9

2nd

Folk Star

24.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 14.2 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Turner Girl

16.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 9 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Paradise Row

15.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 4 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Movie Star Looks

14.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

Glencalvie

9.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.5

Dance Time

4.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Folk Star Top Rated	69	73	61
Turner Girl	69	75	58
Glencalvie	69	66	—
Eloped	68	72	53
Movie Star Looks	68	73	—
Paradise Row	63	71	56
Dance Time	63	68	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Glencalvie	7d ago	Quick return
Turner Girl	12d ago	Quick return
Folk Star	15d ago	Fit
Eloped	19d ago	Fit
Movie Star Looks	21d ago	Fit
Dance Time	27d ago	Fit
Paradise Row	45d ago	Fit

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