Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies)

Newmarket

15:00

Date 2023-09-29

Distance 7f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £60,680

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Shuwari Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Ollie Sangster	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	11	100	112	91	64d	—	—	+6	40.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
2-2 and her last-time-out Listed win at Sandown has received firm boosts; leading claims
7 (2)	Ylang Ylang Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	128	—	119	106	115	96	19d	—	—	+9	33.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Flopped in the Moyglare but 2-2 previously (including Group 3) and could bounce back
2 (1)	Carlas Way Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	t	182	98	109	102	34d	—	—	+8	27.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Runner-up in Group 3 Prestige at Goodwood and the form has been franked by the winner
6 (5)	Spiritual Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	h	1	-	99	84	17d	—	—	+2	13.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won on recent debut at Leicester despite pulling hard and should have a very bright future
8 (7)	Zenjabeela Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	311	90	102	74	27d	—	—	+24	30.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Maiden/novice wins the last twice; something to find here but could have more left in tank
3 (4)	Carolina Reaper Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	46151	97	105	91	30d	—	—	+24	27.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Won German Group 3 last time; this race is likely to take a lot more winning
NR (8)	Alshinfarah Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	113	100	110	76	22d	—	—	+20	30.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Close third in French Group 3 latest and further improvement is possible; not ruled out
NR (3)	Marcella Bay J:William Buick T:Andrew Balding	J:William Buick T:Andrew Balding	128	—	015	85	96	76	20d	—	—	+13	16.9	12.25/1	50 2%
Soundly beaten in Haydock Listed race three weeks ago and hard to fancy on back of that

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Shuwari	7/4	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8
Ylang Ylang	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Carlas Way	4	7/2	7/2	4	10/3
Spiritual	12	12/1	12	11/2	12
Zenjabeela	16	14	14	14	14
Carolina Reaper	22	20	20	18	18
Alshinfarah	12	12	12	12	11
Marcella	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shuwari

40.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 17 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Ylang Ylang

33.3

OR: 14 Form: 12 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Alshinfarah

30.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 15 Odds: 3

Zenjabeela

30.1

OR: 10 Form: 18.5 Odds: 1.6

Carolina Reaper

27.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 15 Odds: 1.1

Carlas Way

27.7

OR: 12 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Marcella

16.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

Spiritual

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ylang Ylang	106	115	96
Shuwari	100	112	91
Alshinfarah	100	110	76
Carlas Way	98	109	102
Carolina Reaper	97	105	91
Zenjabeela	90	102	74
Marcella	85	96	76
Spiritual	—	99	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spiritual	17d ago	Fit
Ylang Ylang	19d ago	Fit
Marcella	20d ago	Fit
Alshinfarah	22d ago	Fit
Zenjabeela	27d ago	Fit
Carolina Reaper	30d ago	Fit
Carlas Way	34d ago	Fit
Shuwari	64d ago	Fresh