Join The Vickers.Bet Racing Club Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Join The Vickers.Bet Racing Club Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-09-29

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Angel Amadea Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	135	t	318880	55	68	58	91d	—	—	-7	7.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Sole win came in a weak Wolverhampton novice (6f); struggled thereafter; back from a break
6 (7)	Merry Secret Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	128	t	602735	48	69	61	22d	—	—	-7	8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Versatile (6f-1m); 4lb below last winning mark; a possible on first run for new stable
8 (4)	Final Frontier Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	126	—	805547	46	73	48	32d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
No win since summer of 2021; fourth over 6f here on penultimate start; others preferred.
7 (3)	Highland Queen Bay J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	128	—	095026	48	70	32	30d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.00/1	5 20%
Maiden (0-15); chance of reversing Carlisle placings with Elettaria on these better terms.
5 (9)	Elettaria Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:John Wainwright	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:John Wainwright	130	p	649410	50	68	-	22d	—	—	-2	10.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won a maiden handicap at Carlisle (7f) on her penultimate start; less effective next time.
3 (2)	Coral Reef Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	132	p	726240	55	70	42	15d	—	—	-3	7.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Yet to win (0-11; runner-up on three occasions); cheekpieces back on; first Newcastle run.
9 (6)	Pink Sky At Night Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	126	—	70-979	46	58	-	24d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
12-race maiden; hasn't offered much in three starts for this trainer; swiftly dismissed.
1 (8)	Blame The Farrier Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	136	—	863690	56	66	-	34d	—	—	-1	3.8	4.25/1	18 6%
Maiden (0-14); has shown a modest level of form in each of his last three starts (6f-1m).
4 (5)	Sea Girt Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	132	h	584	55	65	-	98d	—	—	-2	2.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Didn't achieve much in three attempts in maidens; goes handicapping after a 98-day absence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Angel Amadea	5	5	9/2	5	5
Merry Secret	5	5	9/2	5	9/2
Final Frontier	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Highland Queen	5	5	4/1	5	5
Elettaria	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Coral Reef	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	7
Pink Sky At Night	11	10	9	10	10
Blame The Farrier	18	16	16	16	16
Sea Girt	20	20/1	18/1	20/1	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Elettaria

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Merry Secret

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Highland Queen

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

Coral Reef

7.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Angel Amadea

7.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 2 Odds: 4

9/2

Final Frontier

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Blame The Farrier

3.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

Sea Girt

2.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Pink Sky At Night

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blame The Farrier	56	66	—
Angel Amadea	55	68	58
Coral Reef	55	70	42
Sea Girt	55	65	—
Elettaria	50	68	—
Merry Secret	48	69	61
Highland Queen	48	70	32
Final Frontier	46	73	48
Pink Sky At Night	46	58	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Coral Reef	15d ago	Fit
Merry Secret	22d ago	Fit
Elettaria	22d ago	Fit
Pink Sky At Night	24d ago	Fit
Highland Queen	30d ago	Fit
Final Frontier	32d ago	Fit
Blame The Farrier	34d ago	Fit
Angel Amadea	91d ago	Long break
Sea Girt	98d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.