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Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Join The Vickers.Bet Racing Club Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-09-29
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,245

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
7 (9)
Bernie The Bear
Chestnut
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
 127 — 223421
50
67
58
 46d — — -11
27.9
0.34/1
11/8
42%
Reliable since gelded; off the mark at Wolverhampton (7f) last time; player off 2lb higher
3 (3)
Malinheadsearovers
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:John Wainwright
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:John Wainwright
 132 p -35644
55
67
49
 45d — — -14
8.5
0.83/1
10/3
23%
Still seeking his first win (0-7); ran well for a long way (fourth) over C&D last month.
4 (8)
Tees George
Bay
J:Connor Murtagh
T:Adrian Nicholls
J:Connor Murtagh
T:Adrian Nicholls
 130 — 030405
53
70
41
 21d — — -8
5
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Placed in a Doncaster novice (6f) in April; eased in the weights since sent handicapping.
2 (4)
Makalu
Bay
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
 132 — 484606
52
69
-
 16d — — -6
3
2.25/1
9/1
10%
3-22; 5lb lower than when winning at Redcar (1m) in May; less convincing of late; Tapeta?
6 (5)
Climate Change
Bay
J:Ryan Sexton(3)
T:Julie Camacho
J:Ryan Sexton(3)
T:Julie Camacho
 128 p 04-539
51
67
38
 50d — — -4
1.9
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Placed on handicap debut at Southwell (7f) in February; low-key return; cheekpieces go on.
9 (2)
Secret Joy
Bay
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
 123 b -83747
46
63
42
 24d — — -3
2.5
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Seven-race maiden; fared okay (fourth) at Musselburgh penultimate; blinkers replace visor.
1 (1)
See My Baby Jive
Chestnut
J:Harry Russell
T:Donald Whillans
J:Harry Russell
T:Donald Whillans
 135 b 111304
55
68
-
 24d — — +4
9.1
4.50/1
18/1
5%
Notched a hat-trick at Ayr (6f) in July; AW fine and just 2lb above last winning mark; 7f?
5 (7)
Rum Runner
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Geoffrey Harker
J:Shane Gray
T:Geoffrey Harker
 129 — 221500
49
66
23
 11d — — +1
5.1
6.00/1
25
4%
Finally snapped a barren sequence at Catterick (7f classified stakes); lost his way since.
8 (6)
Galton
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Antony Brittain
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Antony Brittain
 126 p 320000
46
63
55
 27d — — -2
2.1
6.25/1
25/1
4%
0-16; solid earlier in year, but hasn't beaten a rival in last four starts; headgear tweak
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Bernie The Bear
 11/8 5/4 5/4 5/4 5/4
Malinheadsearovers
 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3
Tees George
 13/2 6 6 6 11/2
Makalu
 9 9 9/1 9 17/2
Climate Change
 12 14 14 14 16/1
Secret Joy
 14 14 14/1 14/1 14
See My Baby Jive
 18 18 18/1 18/1 16/1
Rum Runner
 22 25 25 25 25
Galton
 20 22 22 22 25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Bernie The Bear
27.9
OR: 0 Form: 15.4 Odds: 12.5
11/8
2nd See My Baby Jive
9.1
OR: 1.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.4
18/1
3rd Malinheadsearovers
8.5
OR: 1.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 6.7
10/3
4 Rum Runner
5.1
OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 1.1
25
5 Tees George
5
OR: 0.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.6
13/2
6 Makalu
3
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
9/1
7 Secret Joy
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6
14/1
8 Galton
2.1
OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1
25/1
9 Climate Change
1.9
OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Malinheadsearovers
55
67
49
See My Baby Jive
55
68
 —
Tees George
53
70
41
Makalu
52
69
 —
Climate Change
51
67
38
Bernie The Bear
50
67
58
Rum Runner
49
66
23
Secret Joy
46
63
42
Galton
46
63
55

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Rum Runner 11d ago Quick return
Makalu 16d ago Fit
Tees George 21d ago Fit
Secret Joy 24d ago Fit
See My Baby Jive 24d ago Fit
Galton 27d ago Fit
Malinheadsearovers 45d ago Fit
Bernie The Bear 46d ago Fresh
Climate Change 50d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.