John Burke Mares' Handicap Hurdle – Worcester

Worcester

16:30

John Burke Mares' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-09-29

Distance 2m7f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Jolie Baie Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jo Davis	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jo Davis	143	h	3-4421	88	114	-	31d	—	—	-38	31.6	—	—
Much-improved performer over 2m4f here in recent months; tries a new trip today
3	Ma Belle Noire Brown J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	163	tb	3-2131	103	109	100	26d	—	—	-10	27.1	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Scored by 8l over C&D when moved back up in trip this month; ought to make presence felt
NR	Blue Sans Bay J:Mr Tom Broughton(7) T:Fergal Obrien	J:Mr Tom Broughton(7) T:Fergal Obrien	168	—	2-4111	108	112	87	22d	—	—	+1	25.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Back in prime form this season, winning three in a row at Southwell; obvious contender
NR	Maroochi Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Keiran Burke	J:Harry Cobden T:Keiran Burke	147	—	F-54P3	87	110	68	38d	—	—	-3	14.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Posted sound effort when third over C&D last month but has modest strike-rate over hurdles
8	Stamina Chope Chestnut J:Lee Edwards T:Dave Roberts	J:Lee Edwards T:Dave Roberts	143	—	35-442	83	114	86	11d	—	—	-6	14.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Clear second over C&D 11 days ago but her overall profile remains unappealing
2	Artemis Angel Bay J:Ben Bromley(5) T:C Okeeffe	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:C Okeeffe	167	h	456352	107	106	88	30d	—	—	+12	24.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Creditable second to a handicap blot at Bellewstown last month; shortlisted
4	Sheila Nash Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Richard Phillips	J:Adam Wedge T:Richard Phillips	152	—	4P-P37	92	112	94	59d	—	—	+3	13.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Well suited by this C&D but soundly beaten here last month and has become hard to predict
5	Pennsylvanie Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Nick Scholfield T:Alexandra Dunn	149	—	45-5P2	94	109	85	19d	—	—	+3	14.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ran big race in defeat when second on recent handicap debut; might have more to offer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Jolie Baie	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Ma Belle Noire	5/4	5/4	6/5	5/4	6/5
Blue Sans	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Maroochi	4	10/3	4	4	SP
Stamina Chope	3	3/1	10/3	3/1	3
Artemis Angel	13/2	11/2	6	6/1	6
Sheila Nash	15/2	7	7/1	7/1	15/2
Pennsylvanie	7	6/1	6/1	13/2	13/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jolie Baie

31.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Ma Belle Noire

27.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 11.8

5/4

3rd

Blue Sans

25.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Artemis Angel

24.1

OR: 14.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Maroochi

14.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Stamina Chope

14.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Pennsylvanie

14.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Sheila Nash

13.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Sans	108	112	87
Artemis Angel	107	106	88
Ma Belle Noire	103	109	100
Pennsylvanie	94	109	85
Sheila Nash	92	112	94
Jolie Baie	88	114	—
Maroochi	87	110	68
Stamina Chope	83	114	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stamina Chope	11d ago	Quick return
Pennsylvanie	19d ago	Fit
Blue Sans	22d ago	Fit
Ma Belle Noire	26d ago	Fit
Artemis Angel	30d ago	Fit
Jolie Baie	31d ago	Fit
Maroochi	38d ago	Fit
Sheila Nash	59d ago	Fresh