Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings)

Newmarket

13:50

Date 2023-09-30

Distance 1m

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £70,888

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Capulet Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	128	—	12	-	115	92	21d	—	—	-10	22	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Ballydoyle colt who brings Group 2 form and should have more to offer; strong claims
7 (8)	Ghostwriter Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	11	98	111	108	21d	—	—	+14	35.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Promising colt who is two from two; clocked a good time at Ascot latest; very appealing
1 (6)	Aablan Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	11	103	115	87	28d	—	—	+20	34.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Only workmanlike in winning both starts (latest the Solario) but should progress further
2 (1)	Al Musmak Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	121	103	112	85	21d	—	—	+25	34.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Tidily beat Macduff in Listed event at Haydock last time; one of the main players
8 (4)	Macduff Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	12	98	109	75	21d	—	—	+19	25.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Beaten by Al Musmak at Haydock but ran well on the figures and may do better still
5 (7)	Caviar Heights Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	421	87	100	86	25d	—	—	+19	24.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Gamely made all at Goodwood on latest maiden start; this is a harder task
6 (3)	Defiance Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Roger Varian	J:Tom Marquand T:Roger Varian	128	—	1	-	101	77	51d	—	—	+6	11.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Needed every yard of the trip at Sandown and may be tapped for toe kept to 1m
3 (2)	At Vimeiro b/br J:Christophe Soumillon T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Christophe Soumillon T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	5	-	89	78	14d	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Showed promise at Doncaster two weeks ago but this is a stiff task on second start
9 (5)	Son Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	128	—	31553	98	107	85	45d	—	—	+17	19.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Has useful form but his limitations are somewhat exposed now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Capulet	7/4	7/4	15/8	7/4	7/4
Ghostwriter	11/4	3	3	3	3/1
Aablan	6/1	5	5/1	5	5/1
Al Musmak	17/2	15/2	8	8	15/2
Macduff	14	12	12	12	12
Caviar Heights	18/1	14	16/1	14	16
Defiance	18	16/1	16	16	16
At Vimeiro	28/1	25	28/1	25	25/1
Son	50	40	33	40	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ghostwriter

35.2

OR: 12 Form: 17 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Aablan

34.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 17 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Al Musmak

34.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Macduff

25.7

OR: 12 Form: 12 Odds: 1.7

Caviar Heights

24.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Capulet

OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 10

15/8

Son

19.3

OR: 12 Form: 6.6 Odds: 0.7

Defiance

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

At Vimeiro

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aablan	103	115	87
Al Musmak	103	112	85
Ghostwriter	98	111	108
Macduff	98	109	75
Son	98	107	85
Caviar Heights	87	100	86
Capulet	—	115	92
Defiance	—	101	77
At Vimeiro	—	89	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
At Vimeiro	14d ago	Fit
Capulet	21d ago	Fit
Ghostwriter	21d ago	Fit
Al Musmak	21d ago	Fit
Macduff	21d ago	Fit
Caviar Heights	25d ago	Fit
Aablan	28d ago	Fit
Son	45d ago	Fit
Defiance	51d ago	Fresh