Betfred 'Passionate About Sport' Nursery Handicap

Epsom

14:15

Date 2023-10-01

Distance 7f3y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,281

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Mercian Warrior Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	134	—	352	79	92	81	21d	—	—	-6	22.6	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Second to a smart prospect in a sales race at the Curragh; might be well handicapped
3 (1)	Ebts Guard Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	135	—	65232	80	86	52	9d	—	—	+8	20.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Only headed late on by a Hannon improver last week at Newbury; up 2lb
1 (9)	Rednblue Sovereign Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Tom Dascombe	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Tom Dascombe	137	—	562310	82	83	84	38d	—	—	+9	21.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner on a challenging mark but this is easier than York last time
9 (2)	Mr Baloo Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	130	—	340391	75	86	80	16d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+10	20.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Made all at Salisbury (first run at 7f) and well drawn to adopt similar tactics
NR (8)	Crimson Spirit Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:NON-RUNNER T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	135	—	6418	80	89	-	18d	—	—	-36	34.5	2.25/1	10 10%
C&D maiden winner; slow start did for him when fav for nursery debut on the AW
2 (6)	Pink Satin Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	137	t	1324	82	83	68	26d	—	—	+10	18.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
On a dangerous mark and the tongue-tie could make a difference to her
6 (4)	Barg Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	134	—	31480	79	87	85	38d	—	—	+4	13.4	2.25/1	10 10%
This easier than York last time but hasn't progressed from his Ripon win in June
5 (5)	The Smiling Wolf Chestnut J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	135	—	676219	80	87	75	24d	—	—	+12	18.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Won easily at Ffos Las (8lb lower) and perhaps the AW didn't suit him next time
8 (7)	Rating Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	131	—	630052	76	86	74	29d	—	—	+8	13.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Second in a Class 4 nursery at Sandown, her best effort yet; just 2lb higher
10 (10)	Sennockian Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	23265	74	86	73	21d	—	—	+8	11.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Started well but now has a bit to prove and he's drawn wide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mercian Warrior	7/4	2	15/8	15/8	15/8
Ebts Guard	6	11/2	6	6	11/2
Rednblue Sovereign	6	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mr Baloo	15/2	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
Crimson Spirit	10	SP	SP	SP	SP
Pink Satin	15/2	8/1	8	8	8
Barg	10	9/1	10	10	8/1
The Smiling Wolf	14	12	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rating	12	12/1	11	11	12/1
Sennockian	28	25	25	25	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crimson Spirit

34.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 20

2nd

Mercian Warrior

22.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

Rednblue Sovereign

21.6

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Ebts Guard

20.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Mr Baloo

20.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

The Smiling Wolf

18.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.7

Pink Satin

18.5

OR: 8 Form: 8 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Rating

13.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Barg

13.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.5

Sennockian

11.5

OR: 6 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rednblue Sovereign	82	83	84
Pink Satin	82	83	68
Ebts Guard	80	86	52
Crimson Spirit	80	89	—
The Smiling Wolf	80	87	75
Mercian Warrior	79	92	81
Barg	79	87	85
Rating	76	86	74
Mr Baloo	75	86	80
Sennockian	74	86	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ebts Guard	9d ago	Quick return
Mr Baloo	16d ago	Fit
Crimson Spirit	18d ago	Fit
Mercian Warrior	21d ago	Fit
Sennockian	21d ago	Fit
The Smiling Wolf	24d ago	Fit
Pink Satin	26d ago	Fit
Rating	29d ago	Fit
Rednblue Sovereign	38d ago	Fit
Barg	38d ago	Fit