Vickers.Bet Weekly Free Bet Club Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Vickers.Bet Weekly Free Bet Club Handicap

Date 2023-10-02

Distance 1m4f99y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,956

Winning Time 2m 38.37s (slow by 0.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Vaguely Royal (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	11/8F	Won
2nd	La Pulga (IRE) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	11/1	.75
3rd	Concorde (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	9/2	0.2
4th	Royal Scandal (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	13/2	2
5th	Savvy Knight (IRE) Darragh Keenan · S Woods	7/1	1.25
6th	Chillhi (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	4/1	.5
7th	Achnamara (GB) Graham Lee · Philip Kirby	125/1	9

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Vaguely Royal Brown J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	132	—	-22174	86	92	-	18d	—	—	-9	28.3	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Inclined to pull since gelded/handicapping; this mark should be within range if amenable
4 (6)	Concorde Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	137	—	121171	91	97	39	10d	—	—	+15	35.4	0.50/1	3 33%
Progressed sharply since handicapping; holds leading claims again upped from 1m2f
7 (5)	Chillhi Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	128	—	753540	82	95	60	37d	—	—	-4	14.1	0.75/1	4 25%
Ordinary run at York (some way behind Vaguely Royal); needs deal more if he's to take this
2 (3)	Royal Scandal Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	141	—	3186-8	89	95	-	36d	—	—	+3	12.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Is 2-3 on the AW, so the reutun to Tapeta should help, but she has it to prove
1 (1)	Savvy Knight Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:S Woods	J:Darragh Keenan T:S Woods	142	—	481420	90	95	74	38d	—	—	+10	18.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Very patchy since winning his first three last year; hard to know what to expect in truth
5 (7)	La Pulga Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	235000	83	94	-	23d	—	—	+4	10.6	3.25/1	14 7%
AW debut; the surface switch needs to do the trick over a trip that's a minimum now
3 (2)	Achnamara Bay J:Graham Lee T:Philip Kirby	J:Graham Lee T:Philip Kirby	141	p	241-00	89	95	39	25d	—	—	+9	10	37.25/1	150 1%
Pulled hard and offered little for his new yard early last month; outsider

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vaguely Royal	6/4	11/8	11/8	5/4	11/8
Concorde	3	3	3	3	3
Chillhi	4	4	4	4	4
Royal Scandal	8	15/2	8	8	8
Savvy Knight	9	17/2	17/2	9	9
La Pulga	14	14	12	14	14
Achnamara	150	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Concorde

35.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 19 Odds: 6.2

2nd

Vaguely Royal

28.3

OR: 9 Form: 7.5 Odds: 11.8

6/4

3rd

Savvy Knight

18.9

OR: 10 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Chillhi

14.1

OR: 8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5.2

Royal Scandal

12.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

La Pulga

10.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

Achnamara

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Concorde	91	97	39
Savvy Knight	90	95	74
Royal Scandal	89	95	—
Achnamara	89	95	39
Vaguely Royal	86	92	—
La Pulga	83	94	—
Chillhi	82	95	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Concorde	10d ago	Quick return
Vaguely Royal	18d ago	Fit
La Pulga	23d ago	Fit
Achnamara	25d ago	Fit
Royal Scandal	36d ago	Fit
Chillhi	37d ago	Fit
Savvy Knight	38d ago	Fit