At The Races App Form Study EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Lingfield (AW)

14:45

Date 2023-10-05

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (12)	Keady Town Bay J:William Buick T:Richard Hughes	J:William Buick T:Richard Hughes	133	—	85	-	69	34	35d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improvement needed but he showed some promise last time and William Buick rides today
8 (11)	Bernese Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	5	-	77	-	82d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Fifth of seven in Newmarket maiden; form has worked out pretty well; leading player here
5 (9)	Veiled Illusion Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:James Tate	J:Hollie Doyle T:James Tate	133	—	35	-	73	-	38d	—	—	-8	6.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Took backward step on second start but it's still early days and he's not written off
12 (4)	Sweet Sister Bay J:Neil Callan T:Denis Coakley	J:Neil Callan T:Denis Coakley	128	—	7	-	74	-	28d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
50-1 and down the field on debut, but wasn't without promise in that warm race
10 (1)	Milliterries Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:James Fanshawe	J:Callum Shepherd T:James Fanshawe	128	—	45	-	76	-	39d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Likely to come into her own over further but entitled to respect given what she's shown
3 (3)	Papagei Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	133	—	76	-	68	32	35d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Has shown ability but this Masar colt may be of greater interest when upped in trip
7 (5)	Noble Galahad Chestnut J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Half-brother to useful 1m4f/1m6f winner; in good hands and makes debut in a modest contest
4 (8)	Pitney Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Hugo Palmer	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Makes debut with trainer in good form and against rivals who don't set a daunting standard
11 (10)	Overture Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Plenty to like on paper; one to be interested in, especially if attracting market support
9 (7)	Lovely Masar Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:George Boughey	J:Jim Crowley T:George Boughey	128	—	8	-	44	-	15d	—	—	-2	0.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Could be much better than she showed on recent debut at Beverley; watch the betting
6 (6)	Medician Star Bay J:Franny Norton T:Michael Bell	J:Franny Norton T:Michael Bell	131	—	58	-	61	-	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Soundly beaten on first two starts and needs a sizeable step forward today
2 (2)	King Of France Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	133	—	—	-	-	-	31d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Well beaten at Windsor on debut and may need a longer trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Keady Town	7/2	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3
Bernese	9/2	4	4	4	9/2
Veiled Illusion	5	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sweet Sister	11/2	13/2	6	13/2	7
Milliterries	8	15/2	7	15/2	8
Papagei	10	10	10	10	10
Noble Galahad	11	11	11	11	11
Pitney	14	14	14/1	14	14
Overture	16	16	16	16	16
Lovely Masar	25	28	28	28	28
Medician Star	33	28	28	28	28
King Of France	150	100	100	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Veiled Illusion

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Keady Town

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Bernese

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Sweet Sister

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Milliterries

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Papagei

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Noble Galahad

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Pitney

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Overture

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Lovely Masar

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Medician Star

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

King Of France

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Keady Town	—	69	34
Bernese	—	77	—
Veiled Illusion	—	73	—
Sweet Sister	—	74	—
Milliterries	—	76	—
Papagei	—	68	32
Noble Galahad	—	—	—
Pitney	—	—	—
Overture	—	—	—
Lovely Masar	—	44	—
Medician Star	—	61	—
King Of France	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Medician Star	12d ago	Quick return
Lovely Masar	15d ago	Fit
Sweet Sister	28d ago	Fit
King Of France	31d ago	Fit
Keady Town	35d ago	Fit
Papagei	35d ago	Fit
Veiled Illusion	38d ago	Fit
Milliterries	39d ago	Fit
Bernese	82d ago	Fresh
Noble Galahad	—	—
Pitney	—	—
Overture	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.