Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap – Thurles

Thurles

15:50

Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap

Date 2023-10-05

Distance 1m4f108y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Pale Moonlight Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:D K Weld	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:D K Weld	138	b	0-8468	59	71	48	35d	—	—	-10	7.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Former nursery winner, has come down in the ratings, interesting with good apprentice up
NR (13)	Golden Sandbanks Brown J:TBC T:Paul W Flynn	J: T:Paul W Flynn	138	t	01-412	59	62	-	6d	—	—	-8	6.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Versatile sort, second at Dundalk last week, only 3lb higher than for Galway win
6 (7)	Walnut Beach Bay J:Alan Persse(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	J:Alan Persse(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	137	b	0-6322	58	69	5	22d	—	—	-10	6.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins over hurdles, has been running well in staying handicaps on the Flat, good chance
10 (2)	Contrapposto Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:R Donohoe	J:Mikey Sheehy T:R Donohoe	126	p	042843	47	73	50	7d	—	—	-6	8.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Flat strike-rate is an off-putting 1-45 but deserves respect on recent Flat/hurdles form
NR (5)	Fair Damsel Chestnut J:TBC T:Richard Brabazon	J: T:Richard Brabazon	133	—	00528-	54	68	56	—	—	—	-5	8.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Second reserve, second in this race last year, fit from a charity race spin at the Curragh
13 (17)	Rock Ya Boy Ya Bay J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Francis Casey	J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Francis Casey	126	—	055-00	47	67	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Fit from hurdling, encouraging Kilbeggan second on penultimate start, modest Flat form
1 (3)	Alfalfa Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Timothy Doyle	140	—	-00422	61	69	43	22d	—	—	-4	17.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Third in this race last year, has not always looked suited by 1m4f, good form over shorter
NR (10)	Fox Leicester Grey J:TBC T:John M Burke	J: T:John M Burke	133	p	63-840	54	69	32	—	—	—	-9	5	4.25/1	18 6%
Third reserve, six-time Flat winner, best known for AW exploits, hurdling lately
NR (14)	Edge Of My Seat Grey J:TBC T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J: T:Aidan Anthony Howard	126	ht	/44-90	47	61	-	—	—	—	-11	4.5	5.25/1	22 5%
Placed over hurdles, probably has a better chance of making a breakthrough in that sphere
12 (11)	Joven De Corazon Bay J:Conor Maxwell T:Paul Stafford	J:Conor Maxwell T:Paul Stafford	126	p	6-0403	47	69	56	27d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Inconsistent but has shown ability on occasion including last month's Down Royal third
7 (6)	Fire Coral Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:C W J Farrell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:C W J Farrell	134	p	0-0200	55	69	47	53d	—	—	-5	3.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Bellewstown second affords her a place chance, two moderate runs since, cheekpieces now
2 (15)	Dark Miss Grey J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Luke Comer	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Luke Comer	140	—	0003	61	74	8	44d	—	—	+3	6.8	5.25/1	22 5%
200-1 when third behind identically-priced stablemate in a Roscommon maiden, interesting
5 (8)	Champagne Terri Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Thomas Cooper	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Thomas Cooper	137	—	257-00	58	58	18	32d	—	—	-1	3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Last of her four wins was in July 2020, not much encouragement from two runs this season
NR (16)	Big Challenge Chestnut J:TBC T:R Donohoe	J: T:R Donohoe	135	—	/0000-	56	66	-	434d	—	—	-1	2.5	9.75/1	40 3%
First reserve, useful form in claimers two seasons ago, poor form last year, long absence
8 (1)	Cannes Do Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Philip M Byrne	J:James Ryan(5) T:Philip M Byrne	128	p	0-7000	49	72	53	44d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Best run was in a 7f maiden in June, nothing to recommend from three handicap attempts
14 (12)	Saddle In The Rain Bay J:Kyanna Van Buuren(10) T:D J Barry	J:Kyanna Van Buuren(10) T:D J Barry	126	—	990-00	47	59	-	28d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Weak form on the Flat and over hurdles, impossible to make a case for him
9 (4)	Destined To Rock Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C Mcconnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C Mcconnell	127	p	0700-0	48	49	38	13d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Never in the first six, no apparent chance following poor run at Dundalk on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Pale Moonlight	4	4	7/2	4	7/2
Golden Sandbanks	5	5	11/2	5	11/2
Walnut Beach	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Contrapposto	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Fair Damsel	13/2	6	13/2	6	6
Rock Ya Boy Ya	8	8	8	8	17/2
Alfalfa	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Fox Leicester	18	18	18	18	18
Edge Of My Seat	18	20	22	20	22
Joven De Corazon	16	14	14	16	14
Fire Coral	8	9	17/2	9	9
Dark Miss	20	22	18	22	22
Champagne Terri	20	22	22/1	20	22
Big Challenge	33	40	40	40	40
Cannes Do	66	50	50	50	50
Saddle In The Rain	66	50	50	50	50
Destined To Rock	66	80	80	80	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alfalfa

17.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Contrapposto

8.5

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Fair Damsel

8.5

OR: 1 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

13/2

Pale Moonlight

7.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Dark Miss

6.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Walnut Beach

6.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Golden Sandbanks

6.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.2

11/2

Fox Leicester

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Edge Of My Seat

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.5

Fire Coral

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Champagne Terri

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Rock Ya Boy Ya

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Big Challenge

2.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Joven De Corazon

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Cannes Do

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Saddle In The Rain

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Destined To Rock

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alfalfa	61	69	43
Dark Miss	61	74	8
Pale Moonlight	59	71	48
Golden Sandbanks	59	62	—
Walnut Beach	58	69	5
Champagne Terri	58	58	18
Big Challenge	56	66	—
Fire Coral	55	69	47
Fair Damsel	54	68	56
Fox Leicester	54	69	32
Cannes Do	49	72	53
Destined To Rock	48	49	38
Contrapposto	47	73	50
Rock Ya Boy Ya	47	67	—
Edge Of My Seat	47	61	—
Joven De Corazon	47	69	56
Saddle In The Rain	47	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Sandbanks	6d ago	Quick return
Contrapposto	7d ago	Quick return
Destined To Rock	13d ago	Quick return
Walnut Beach	22d ago	Fit
Alfalfa	22d ago	Fit
Joven De Corazon	27d ago	Fit
Saddle In The Rain	28d ago	Fit
Champagne Terri	32d ago	Fit
Pale Moonlight	35d ago	Fit
Dark Miss	44d ago	Fit
Cannes Do	44d ago	Fit
Fire Coral	53d ago	Fresh
Big Challenge	434d ago	Long break
Fair Damsel	—	—
Rock Ya Boy Ya	—	—
Fox Leicester	—	—
Edge Of My Seat	—	—