www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap – Thurles

Thurles

16:50

www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap

Date 2023-10-05

Distance 2m

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14 (9)	Charlie Luciano Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	130	—	76-067	58	77	41	—	—	—	-9	6.4	0.75/1	4 25%
Winner of three of his five races over hurdles since his last Flat run, should go close
12 (11)	Weather Alert Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Thomas Mullins	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Thomas Mullins	133	—	2/9064	61	70	50	14d	—	—	-3	9.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fair placed form in 2021, missed all of last year, recent Listowel fourth provides hope
3 (12)	Sir Allen Chestnut J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	139	v	3798-0	67	72	57	14d	—	—	-2	6.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Talented juvenile hurdler last season, potentially well handicapped, struggled at Listowel
9 (6)	Make Good Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Shane Crawley	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Shane Crawley	134	t	541/3-	62	79	49	344d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good hurdler in 2020, excellent 1m6f run last October after long layoff, can go well fresh
11 (15)	Master Dunraven Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	133	—	055394	70	69	46	16d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has failed to build on a promising third at Roscommon in May but premature to dismiss
5 (17)	Nostra Casa Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Paul W Flynn	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Paul W Flynn	138	tp	40/143	66	80	63	53d	—	—	-6	8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Off the mark at Sligo in April on testing ground, solid form on good going in the summer
10 (1)	Barometer Bay J:Colin Keane T:John Joseph Murphy	J:Colin Keane T:John Joseph Murphy	133	—	625333	61	77	57	42d	—	—	+4	12.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
One win and nine places from 20 Flat starts, quite consistent but needs to find extra
7 (4)	Kings Prince Bay J:W J Lee T:Eamonn Oconnell	J:W J Lee T:Eamonn Oconnell	137	—	-07722	65	74	60	32d	—	—	+7	14.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Two wins in Britain early in his career, clear chance on the strength of last two starts
NR (14)	Folly Beach Bay J:TBC T:M A Molloy	J: T:M A Molloy	129	—	-02619	57	76	52	57d	—	—	+2	13.4	3.75/1	16 6%
First reserve, below her best at Sligo in August, won over 1m7f at Leopardstown in July
NR (5)	Jake Peter Bay J:TBC T:M A Cahill	J: T:M A Cahill	138	t	-05751	66	70	40	42d	—	—	0	20	5.25/1	22 5%
1m6f winner at Killarney six weeks ago, closely matched with third-placed Barometer
1 (7)	Zileo Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	142	tp	665293	70	76	67	14d	—	—	+6	12.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Only win came in France at three but boasts solid placed form this season, each-way chance
13 (16)	Annecherie Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Leigh Roche T:Ms Sheila Lavery	131	—	070041	59	70	48	22d	—	—	+10	13.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Two AW wins, opened her account on turf over 2m at Tramore, should go well again
2 (3)	Killeemore Lad Bay J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Andrew Slattery	139	—	06830	67	75	20	13d	—	—	+4	7.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Two wins over hurdles, overall form suggests a likely preference for better ground
8 (8)	Crystal Caves Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Gibney	J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Gibney	134	—	-40740	62	76	64	14d	—	—	+1	3.8	9.75/1	40 3%
AW winner for William Haggas last year, best run this term was over 2m2f at Down Royal
NR (10)	Sea The Sunset Bay J:TBC T:J Morrison	J: T:J Morrison	128	—	376-00	56	70	43	—	—	—	-6	4.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Second reserve, placed for Richard Hannon, struggling on Flat and over hurdles this year
6 (13)	Harvest Bow Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:H D Mcguigan	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:H D Mcguigan	137	—	/8-008	65	79	48	10d	—	—	+2	4.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Just over two years since 1m7f Leopardstown win. no apparent chance on recent form
NR (2)	Make The Switch Bay J:TBC T:G A Kingston	J: T:G A Kingston	125	p	-31908	53	68	33	—	—	—	-46	24.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Third reserve, ordinary handicap form after winning a claiming race at Dundalk in March

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Charlie Luciano	4	4	4	4	4
Weather Alert	7	6	6/1	13/2	6/1
Sir Allen	8	8/1	8	8	17/2
Make Good	13/2	11/2	11/2	6	6/1
Master Dunraven	7	13/2	13/2	7	7
Nostra Casa	9/2	9/2	9/2	5	5/1
Barometer	8	10/1	9	9	10/1
Kings Prince	12	12	12	12	12
Folly Beach	14	16	16	16	16
Jake Peter	22	18	20	20	20
Zileo	12	11	11	12	12
Annecherie	28	25	22	25	25
Killeemore Lad	28/1	28	28	28	28/1
Crystal Caves	40	33	28	33	28/1
Sea The Sunset	33	66	66	66	66
Harvest Bow	50	40	33	33	33
Make The Switch	SP	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Make The Switch

24.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 20

100

2nd

Jake Peter

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 6

3rd

Kings Prince

14.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

Folly Beach

13.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.1

Annecherie

13.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1

Barometer

12.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Zileo

12.4

OR: 5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.9

Weather Alert

9.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Make Good

9.6

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Master Dunraven

9.6

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Nostra Casa

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Killeemore Lad

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Sir Allen

6.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Charlie Luciano

6.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Sea The Sunset

4.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Harvest Bow

4.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Crystal Caves

3.8

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Master Dunraven	70	69	46
Zileo	70	76	67
Sir Allen	67	72	57
Killeemore Lad	67	75	20
Nostra Casa	66	80	63
Jake Peter	66	70	40
Kings Prince	65	74	60
Harvest Bow	65	79	48
Make Good	62	79	49
Crystal Caves	62	76	64
Weather Alert	61	70	50
Barometer	61	77	57
Annecherie	59	70	48
Charlie Luciano	58	77	41
Folly Beach	57	76	52
Sea The Sunset	56	70	43
Make The Switch	53	68	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Harvest Bow	10d ago	Quick return
Killeemore Lad	13d ago	Quick return
Weather Alert	14d ago	Fit
Sir Allen	14d ago	Fit
Zileo	14d ago	Fit
Crystal Caves	14d ago	Fit
Master Dunraven	16d ago	Fit
Annecherie	22d ago	Fit
Kings Prince	32d ago	Fit
Barometer	42d ago	Fit
Jake Peter	42d ago	Fit
Nostra Casa	53d ago	Fresh
Folly Beach	57d ago	Fresh
Make Good	344d ago	Long break
Charlie Luciano	—	—
Sea The Sunset	—	—
Make The Switch	—	—