EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) (Div II)

Chelmsford (AW)

16:55

Date 2023-10-05

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,780

Winning Time 1m 26.57s (slow by 3.87s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Machiavellian Lady (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	16/5	Won
2nd	Qatar Moon (GB) Clifford Lee · Hilal Kobeissi	10/1	0.05
3rd	Cerulean Summer (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Dylan Cunha	15/2	1.25
4th	Squeaker (GB) Ben Curtis · Marco Botti	7/4F	0.3
5th	Unico (GB) Adam Farragher · Marco Botti	6/1	1.5
6th	Dancingwithmyself (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Michael Bell	14/1	.5
7th	Iffraaj Queen (GB) Frederick Larson · Amy Murphy	66/1	1.25
8th	Dibble Dabble (GB) Cieren Fallon · James Ferguson	250/1	.5
9th	Sovereign Queen (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	15/2	0.3

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (5)	Squeaker Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Marco Botti	J:Ben Curtis T:Marco Botti	126	—	244	71	83	-	61d	—	—	-13	17.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Yet to build on debut promise and could prove vulnerable once again
3 (2)	Machiavellian Lady Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	3	-	83	-	13d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Shaped promisingly at Newbury on last month's debut (7f, soft); more to come; contender
1 (4)	Unico Grey J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Marco Botti	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Marco Botti	135	—	616	71	77	57	10d	—	—	+3	15.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
6f winner here last month; below par on turf since; longer trip can help but penalty won't
5 (7)	Cerulean Summer Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Dylan Cunha	J:Marco Ghiani T:Dylan Cunha	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
11,000euros 2yo; closely related to a 1m winner in Saudi Arabia; worth a market check
4 (8)	Sovereign Queen Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	92	-	84	-	43d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Picked off late at Leicester six weeks ago (7f, good to firm); leading form claims
8 (1)	Qatar Moon Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:Clifford Lee T:Hilal Kobeissi	126	—	9	-	64	-	31d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Wasn't out of it when stumbling badly over 1f out on debut; open to lots of improvement
2 (6)	Dancingwithmyself Grey J:Saffie Osborne T:Michael Bell	J:Saffie Osborne T:Michael Bell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Half-sister to three winners; bred to have a future and starts out at a modest level
7 (9)	Iffraaj Queen Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	126	—	6	-	69	28	22d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Modest form when midfield in a weak event at Kempton last month (6f); longer trip may help
6 (3)	Dibble Dabble Grey J:Cieren Fallon T:James Ferguson	J:Cieren Fallon T:James Ferguson	126	—	00	-	43	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
No impact in two 7f maidens on Polytrack; handicaps more suitable after this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Squeaker	7/4	7/4	15/8	15/8	15/8
Machiavellian Lady	10/3	10/3	3	3	3
Unico	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Cerulean Summer	8	13/2	7	7	15/2
Sovereign Queen	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Qatar Moon	13/2	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Dancingwithmyself	16	14	14	14	16/1
Iffraaj Queen	66	80/1	66	80/1	66
Dibble Dabble	500	250/1	250	250	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Squeaker

17.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Unico

15.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Machiavellian Lady

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Sovereign Queen

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Cerulean Summer

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Qatar Moon

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Dancingwithmyself

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Iffraaj Queen

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Dibble Dabble

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Squeaker	71	83	—
Unico	71	77	57
Machiavellian Lady	—	83	—
Cerulean Summer	—	—	—
Sovereign Queen	—	84	—
Qatar Moon	—	64	—
Dancingwithmyself	—	—	—
Iffraaj Queen	—	69	28
Dibble Dabble	—	43	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Unico	10d ago	Quick return
Machiavellian Lady	13d ago	Quick return
Iffraaj Queen	22d ago	Fit
Dibble Dabble	22d ago	Fit
Qatar Moon	31d ago	Fit
Sovereign Queen	43d ago	Fit
Squeaker	61d ago	Fresh
Cerulean Summer	—	—
Dancingwithmyself	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Sovereign Queen	Prominent
Iffraaj Queen	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 9 runners classified.