Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap – Redcar

Redcar

17:35

Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2023-10-07

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Ventura Express Chestnut J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	135	—	724069	82	97	90	14d	—	—	-3	14	0.88/1	7/2 22%
On a good mark and conditions won't both him; down in grade; one to take seriously
7 (3)	Nelson Gay Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Dods	J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Dods	131	p	683191	78	96	79	28d	—	—	+10	28.1	0.75/1	4 25%
5 of his 6 wins, including both for this yard, have come on AW; opposable back on turf
8 (14)	Mersea Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	130	—	451345	77	94	87	9d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Comes here in form; easy to strike a line through latest run; may need stiffer test at 5f
5 (9)	Soul Seeker Bay J:David Nolan T:David Omeara	J:David Nolan T:David Omeara	132	tp	312131	79	93	81	29d	—	—	+21	30.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Three wins this year, most recently a narrow defeat of Muker at Haydock; one to consider
3 (4)	Alexi Boy Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Michael Bell	J:Richard Kingscote T:Michael Bell	135	—	614	82	94	56	19d	—	—	+9	17.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Won a bad race (5f) at Lingfield but he did it easily; fair effort latest; unexposed
NR (1)	Match Play Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	131	—	-48130	78	95	72	27d	—	—	-36	34.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Not at his best at York last time but this is less demanding and he's low mileage
15 (5)	Albegone Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	121	b	721515	68	93	85	10d	—	—	+9	18	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two Catterick wins this summer but beaten fair and square in weaker race here ten days ago
1 (15)	Muker Chestnut J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	102120	82	94	81	14d	—	—	+13	19.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Coaxed back to form by N Tinkler; below par latest but in a hot race; this more suitable
11 (12)	Khabib b/br J:Tom Eaves T:Ray Craggs	J:Tom Eaves T:Ray Craggs	126	p	596645	73	95	81	7d	—	—	0	8.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Down in the weights & threatening to come good; perhaps in a weaker race than this though
13 (10)	Paddys Day Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Andrew Mullen T:Nigel Tinkler	123	—	623685	70	95	83	35d	—	—	+3	8.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Ran well over C&D in June but he hasn't built on that close second; others appeal more
4 (8)	One Night Stand Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Scott Dixon	133	—	955000	80	91	78	14d	—	—	+3	9.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Beaten just over one length in the Dash five runs back; 12lb lower now; down in grade
12 (11)	Rose King Bay J:James Sullivan T:Scott Dixon	J:James Sullivan T:Scott Dixon	126	—	1183	73	88	-	183d	—	—	+14	18	6.00/1	25 4%
Unexposed 3yo; h'cap debut 3rd in April represents strong form; absent since; turf debut
10 (2)	Eeh Bah Gum Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	127	—	-91407	74	95	81	29d	—	—	+6	10	6.00/1	25 4%
Theoretically on a fair mark at present but this looks a shade too competitive nowadays
14 (6)	Leodis Dream Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	122	—	580051	69	94	65	35d	—	—	+12	15.8	6.00/1	25 4%
Narrow winner at Beverley five weeks ago; 2lb rise manageable but other pace on show
NR (13)	Flag Flying Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:David Loughnane	J:Stefano Cherchi T:David Loughnane	130	t	958-00	77	76	31	22d	—	—	+5	7.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Made a winning debut but no progress since; struggled for current yard; tongue-tied now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ventura Express	4	4	4	4	7/2
Nelson Gay	4	4	4	4	4
Mersea	8	7	7	15/2	7
Soul Seeker	10	9	9	10	8
Alexi Boy	8	9	9	9	9
Match Play	10	17/2	8	8	15/2
Albegone	8	17/2	17/2	8	9
Muker	12	12	12	12	14
Khabib	10	10	10	10	10
Paddys Day	16	14/1	14	16	14
One Night Stand	16	16	14	16	16
Rose King	22	22	22	22	25
Eeh Bah Gum	25	25	25	25	25
Leodis Dream	22	22	22	22	25
Flag Flying	50	66	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Match Play

34.1

OR: 7 Form: 7.1 Odds: 20

2nd

Soul Seeker

30.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 20.6 Odds: 2.5

3rd

Nelson Gay

28.1

OR: 7 Form: 15.9 Odds: 5.2

Muker

19.7

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

Albegone

OR: 4.5 Form: 11 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Rose King

OR: 5.8 Form: 11 Odds: 1.2

Alexi Boy

17.5

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

Leodis Dream

15.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

Mersea

14.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Ventura Express

OR: 8 Form: 1 Odds: 5

7/2

Eeh Bah Gum

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 1

One Night Stand

9.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Paddys Day

8.5

OR: 5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.6

Khabib

8.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Flag Flying

7.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ventura Express	82	97	90
Alexi Boy	82	94	56
Muker	82	94	81
One Night Stand	80	91	78
Soul Seeker	79	93	81
Nelson Gay	78	96	79
Match Play	78	95	72
Mersea	77	94	87
Flag Flying	77	76	31
Eeh Bah Gum	74	95	81
Khabib	73	95	81
Rose King	73	88	—
Paddys Day	70	95	83
Leodis Dream	69	94	65
Albegone	68	93	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Khabib	7d ago	Quick return
Mersea	9d ago	Quick return
Albegone	10d ago	Quick return
Ventura Express	14d ago	Fit
Muker	14d ago	Fit
One Night Stand	14d ago	Fit
Alexi Boy	19d ago	Fit
Flag Flying	22d ago	Fit
Match Play	27d ago	Fit
Nelson Gay	28d ago	Fit
Soul Seeker	29d ago	Fit
Eeh Bah Gum	29d ago	Fit
Paddys Day	35d ago	Fit
Leodis Dream	35d ago	Fit
Rose King	183d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Leodis Dream	Front Runner
One Night Stand	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 15 runners classified.