Welcome To Family Day Handicap Hurdle (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

Kelso

14:00

Date 2023-10-08

Distance 2m51y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Autumn Return Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Ruth Jefferson	J:Brian Hughes T:Ruth Jefferson	164	—	61241-	115	118	104	165d	—	—	+13	40.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Did well during first season over hurdles and has good claims if fully tuned up for this
5	Faithfulflyer Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	154	t	31322-	105	122	110	198d	—	—	+15	32.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won twice last season; second in series final on latest start; resumes on stiff mark
3	Bois Guillbert Chestnut J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	164	—	6113-	116	114	72	167d	—	—	+19	36.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2-3 against own age group last season; open to improvement in handicaps this term
NR	Hidalgo De Lisle Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Donald Mccain	J:NON-RUNNER T:Donald Mccain	168	—	215-12	119	124	-	120d	—	—	-33	37.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2-4 since switched to handicap hurdles; ought to cope fairly well if ground turns soft
6	Scots Poet Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	153	t	3134-2	104	120	114	143d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+9	22.1	1.00/1	5 20%
Won at Musselburgh in February and remained in good form, last seen in May
7	Darkest Day Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:William Young Jnr	J:Jamie Hamilton T:William Young Jnr	145	tp	294911	96	118	96	18d	—	—	+22	31	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Dual course winner last month; back up in grade now but may have a fitness edge over some
4	Chase A Fortune Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	161	—	32126-	112	122	101	174d	—	—	+20	28.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won an uncompetitive maiden in February but signed off with a lesser effort in April
8	Frightened Rabbit Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Lisa Harrison	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Lisa Harrison	142	—	09-P5P	93	118	34	11d	—	—	+8	11.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran well to a point on latest two outings and continues to slide down the weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Autumn Return	5/2	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2
Faithfulflyer	4	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Bois Guillbert	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Hidalgo De Lisle	10/3	9/2	SP	SP	SP
Scots Poet	5	5	5	5	5
Darkest Day	8	8	17/2	8	17/2
Chase A Fortune	8	17/2	8/1	17/2	17/2
Frightened Rabbit	25	25/1	22	25	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Autumn Return

40.2

OR: 16.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 8.4

11/4

2nd

Hidalgo De Lisle

37.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

9/2

3rd

Bois Guillbert

36.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 15 Odds: 5

7/2

Faithfulflyer

32.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 13.6 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Darkest Day

OR: 11.5 Form: 17 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Chase A Fortune

28.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Scots Poet

22.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

Frightened Rabbit

11.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hidalgo De Lisle	119	124	—
Bois Guillbert	116	114	72
Autumn Return	115	118	104
Chase A Fortune	112	122	101
Faithfulflyer	105	122	110
Scots Poet	104	120	114
Darkest Day	96	118	96
Frightened Rabbit	93	118	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Frightened Rabbit	11d ago	Quick return
Darkest Day	18d ago	Fit
Hidalgo De Lisle	120d ago	Long break
Scots Poet	143d ago	Long break
Autumn Return	165d ago	Long break
Bois Guillbert	167d ago	Long break
Chase A Fortune	174d ago	Long break
Faithfulflyer	198d ago	Long break