Topsham Handicap Hurdle – Exeter

Exeter

16:00

Topsham Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-10-12

Distance 2m161y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Time To Burn Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Nigel Hawke	J:NON-RUNNER T:Nigel Hawke	142	ht	093-66	73	96	-	31d	—	—	-44	25.8	—	—
Non-runner
3	Bahtiyar Bay J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Dan Skelton	J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Dan Skelton	167	—	563-2P	98	105	96	33d	—	—	-1	17.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Went close on stable debut and the saddle slipped last time
6	Pittsburg Bay J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Ryan Potter	J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Ryan Potter	160	t	411222	91	106	79	8d	—	—	+17	29.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In form and considered off this mark, especially with Finn Lambert claiming 5lb
11	Ten Ten Twenty Bay J:Beau Morgan(5) T:D J Jeffreys	J:Beau Morgan(5) T:D J Jeffreys	148	t	-76653	79	108	84	22d	—	—	+2	13.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Attracted some support when going down narrowly in a 2m2f handicap at Kelso
10	Vin Rouge Chestnut J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	155	—	-31553	86	103	94	40d	—	—	+8	18.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Paid the price for winning by 8l at Newton Abbot in June but remains in decent form
2	Ferrybridge Chestnut J:Mr Alex Chadwick(7) T:James Owen	J:Mr Alex Chadwick(7) T:James Owen	168	h	-979P4	99	101	74	9d	—	—	+3	15.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ex-Irish; still lightly raced and ran well for long way at Sedgefield before dropping away
1	Gerard Mentor Bay J:Kai Lenihan(7) T:Kim Bailey	J:Kai Lenihan(7) T:Kim Bailey	168	tv	-06F85	99	104	70	13d	—	—	+7	14.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won four times in 2022 but this season is proving a struggle
15	Cawthorne Cracker Bay J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	142	t	9P5-3	74	97	60	35d	—	—	+3	11.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Fared much better when keeping-on third in Southwell handicap (2m, good) a month ago
8	Lady Valentine Bay J:David Bass T:Jamie Snowden	J:David Bass T:Jamie Snowden	157	p	7629-	89	99	87	204d	—	—	+10	14.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Had wind surgery since poor final run and doesn't look that well in
5	Turpin Gold Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	165	—	84285F	96	102	88	40d	—	—	+8	12.7	4.75/1	20 5%
6l down when falling late on at Newton Abbot the final time
14	Tallys Son Bay J:Thomasina Eyston(7) T:Neil Mulholland	J:Thomasina Eyston(7) T:Neil Mulholland	144	—	726417	75	106	93	35d	—	—	+11	15.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Beat the backed Bahtiyar at Stratford but dropped out very tamely once headed at Southwell
7	Pepsiwithacap Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	158	tb	B03483	90	100	79	31d	—	—	+10	15.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Up and down in ten runs for this yard but was bang there in the latest
4	Happy Company Chestnut J:Adam Wedge T:John Oshea	J:Adam Wedge T:John Oshea	167	b	722-16	98	101	55	49d	—	—	+10	12.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Capable handicapper at this level but recent efforts don't bode well
13	Marley Head Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	145	tp	6-8986	77	100	64	—	—	—	-2	10.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-6 over hurdles and there has been no more than glimmers of promise
12	Grinn Bay J:Jay Tidball(5) T:David Rees	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:David Rees	146	tp	000409	77	103	63	24d	—	—	+5	7.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Longstanding maiden who has finished tailed off in her last two runs
NR	Dolly Bird Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	142	—	00P7-	73	87	59	185d	—	—	+5	6.1	19.75/1	80 1%
Hasn't shown much at all and makes handicap debut from 10lb out of the weights
9	Flamenco De Kerser Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Richenda Ford	J:Richie McLernon T:Richenda Ford	156	—	PPPP5-	87	-	-	199d	—	—	+8	9.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Best form was in 2021 and has completely lost his way since then; plenty of risks attached

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Time To Burn	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Bahtiyar	9/2	4	9/2	4	4
Pittsburg	11/2	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Ten Ten Twenty	6	11/2	13/2	6/1	6
Vin Rouge	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1	13/2
Ferrybridge	6/1	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
Gerard Mentor	9	10	10	11/1	11
Cawthorne Cracker	15/2	9/1	10	9/1	11
Lady Valentine	20	16	16	16	16
Turpin Gold	20	16	16	16	16
Tallys Son	20	18	18	18/1	18
Pepsiwithacap	25	22/1	20	22/1	22
Happy Company	40	28	28	28	33
Marley Head	16/1	11/1	9	11/1	5
Grinn	50	40/1	40	40/1	40
Dolly Bird	80	80	80	80	80
Flamenco De Kerser	66	50/1	50	50/1	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pittsburg

29.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 16 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Time To Burn

25.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Vin Rouge

18.5

OR: 9 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Bahtiyar

17.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Ferrybridge

15.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Tallys Son

15.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.2

Pepsiwithacap

15.3

OR: 10 Form: 3.9 Odds: 1.4

Lady Valentine

14.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

Gerard Mentor

14.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ten Ten Twenty

13.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Happy Company

12.8

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Turpin Gold

12.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Cawthorne Cracker

11.5

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

Marley Head

10.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

16/1

Flamenco De Kerser

9.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Grinn

7.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Dolly Bird

6.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ferrybridge	99	101	74
Gerard Mentor	99	104	70
Bahtiyar	98	105	96
Happy Company	98	101	55
Turpin Gold	96	102	88
Pittsburg	91	106	79
Pepsiwithacap	90	100	79
Lady Valentine	89	99	87
Flamenco De Kerser	87	—	—
Vin Rouge	86	103	94
Ten Ten Twenty	79	108	84
Marley Head	77	100	64
Grinn	77	103	63
Tallys Son	75	106	93
Cawthorne Cracker	74	97	60
Time To Burn	73	96	—
Dolly Bird	73	87	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pittsburg	8d ago	Quick return
Ferrybridge	9d ago	Quick return
Gerard Mentor	13d ago	Quick return
Ten Ten Twenty	22d ago	Fit
Grinn	24d ago	Fit
Time To Burn	31d ago	Fit
Pepsiwithacap	31d ago	Fit
Bahtiyar	33d ago	Fit
Cawthorne Cracker	35d ago	Fit
Tallys Son	35d ago	Fit
Vin Rouge	40d ago	Fit
Turpin Gold	40d ago	Fit
Happy Company	49d ago	Fresh
Dolly Bird	185d ago	Long break
Flamenco De Kerser	199d ago	Long break
Lady Valentine	204d ago	Long break
Marley Head	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Gerard Mentor	Hold Up
Tallys Son	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 17 runners classified.