Brenda Karn-Smith Memorial Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:00

Brenda Karn-Smith Memorial Handicap

Date 2023-10-12

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (9)	Al Tarfa Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	133	—	467822	63	76	58	36d	—	—	0	16.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Maiden but his seconds in 1m AW h'caps the last twice suggest he can put that right soon
6 (2)	Velvet Crush Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	134	b	355	64	75	39	20d	—	—	-8	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Yet to build on debut but early days and has modest mark now handicapping in blinkers
2 (11)	Lunarscape Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Billy Loughnane T:Eve Johnson Houghton	137	t	207092	67	76	68	7d	—	—	-1	13.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Back to form in a tongue-tie when second on Lingfield AW last week; drawn widest; player
3 (7)	Hostelry Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Ruth Carr	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ruth Carr	137	p	342211	64	73	-	29d	—	—	+17	27.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
On a hat-trick after two turf wins; acts on AW; needs considering under Hollie Doyle
5 (5)	Haughty Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	135	p	5-6715	65	71	46	43d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won a 1m Class 6 on turf in August; fair fifth of 13 on AW at Kempton since
9 (8)	Creme Chantilly Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	132	—	1-5095	62	73	35	41d	—	—	+3	12.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D novice win last October but has found life tough in handicaps this time round
1 (1)	Always Fearless Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	138	b	971610	65	73	61	25d	—	—	+8	15.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Well held on turf latest but won on AW at Wolverhampton previously; former course scorer
11 (4)	Got No Dollars Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	130	tp	782985	57	73	50	15d	—	—	0	4.6	3.75/1	16 6%
No win since early 2022 and recent efforts don't point to him snapping his losing run now
4 (6)	Hurricane Kiko Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	135	p	-60620	65	70	48	59d	—	—	+3	8.9	3.25/1	14 7%
C&D winner; also second over C&D in July; poor at Kempton since but can do better here
10 (10)	Dicko The Legend Bay J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Roger Ingram	J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Roger Ingram	132	—	7-676P	62	66	59	10d	—	—	+1	3.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Fair form as 2yo, but disappointing this year; has lots to prove
8 (3)	Brown Mouse Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	133	—	75D6324	60	-	-	32d	—	—	+6	8.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-23, with last 16 runs coming on Jersey; new stable in form but betting the best guide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Al Tarfa	4	4	4	4/1	7/2
Velvet Crush	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Lunarscape	5	5	5	5	11/2
Hostelry	15/2	7	6	13/2	13/2
Haughty	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Creme Chantilly	15/2	15/2	7	15/2	8
Always Fearless	9	10	9	10	11
Got No Dollars	16	16	14	16	16
Hurricane Kiko	14	14	14	14	14
Dicko The Legend	50	50	50	50	50
Brown Mouse	40	50	50	50/1	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hostelry

27.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 21 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

Al Tarfa

16.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Always Fearless

15.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

Lunarscape

13.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Creme Chantilly

12.7

OR: 3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Velvet Crush

10.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Hurricane Kiko

8.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

Brown Mouse

8.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Haughty

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Got No Dollars

4.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Dicko The Legend

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lunarscape	67	76	68
Haughty	65	71	46
Always Fearless	65	73	61
Hurricane Kiko	65	70	48
Velvet Crush	64	75	39
Hostelry	64	73	—
Al Tarfa	63	76	58
Creme Chantilly	62	73	35
Dicko The Legend	62	66	59
Brown Mouse	60	—	—
Got No Dollars	57	73	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lunarscape	7d ago	Quick return
Dicko The Legend	10d ago	Quick return
Got No Dollars	15d ago	Fit
Velvet Crush	20d ago	Fit
Always Fearless	25d ago	Fit
Hostelry	29d ago	Fit
Brown Mouse	32d ago	Fit
Al Tarfa	36d ago	Fit
Creme Chantilly	41d ago	Fit
Haughty	43d ago	Fit
Hurricane Kiko	59d ago	Fresh