Chepstow Construction Equipment EBF Mares' "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (EBF Mares' Series) (GBB)

Chepstow

15:58

Date 2023-10-13

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,901

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Politacus Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal Obrien	J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal Obrien	154	—	45214-	-	-	-	183d	—	—	-7	16.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Very creditable fourth of 20 in Grade 2 at Aintree festival in April; hurdle debut today
6	Florencethemachine Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	154	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	17.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Cost £120,000 after winning soft-ground Irish point on debut in March; likely contender
1	Alfies Princess b/br J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	154	t	1/28-	-	-	-	183d	—	—	-6	12.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Irish point winner; second in Listed bumper last season; good hurdling prospect
13	Jersey Gem b/br J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	152	—	63-	-	-	-	168d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Placed in Southwell bumper in April; should have more to offer over hurdles for new stable
5	Endless Supply Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal Obrien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal Obrien	154	—	362-	-	-	-	184d	—	—	+1	8.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Placed in an Irish point and a Southwell bumper; open to progress now hurdling
2	Bethka Grey J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	154	—	203-	-	-	-	204d	—	—	+1	7.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Placed in two bumpers last season; needs to improve to win this on hurdling debut
4	Elle Est Beau Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	—	5-	-	-	-	197d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
With a top stable but showed only minor promise when fifth in a bumper in March
12	Similar Story Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	154	—	P/2-1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+11	13.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Bought for £32,000 soon after easy Irish point win in March; interesting recruit
8	Lady Corrib Chestnut J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	154	—	F2P2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+5	6.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Close second in 18-runner Irish point in April; changed hands for £16,000 in May
9	Near Dark Bay J:Jamie Moore T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Jamie Moore T:Alexandra Dunn	154	—	FP31/	-	-	-	—	—	—	+10	11.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Bought for £17,000 after dominating Irish point from the front in April 2022; rules debut
11	Shiroccosmagicbaby Brown J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	154	—	4/12-7	-	107	91	9d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Second in Hereford maiden in February but well beaten on recent reappearance
3	Cest Bleu Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	154	—	20-	-	70	37	254d	—	—	+3	3.8	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Second in a point bumper last November; well beaten on hurdling debut in February
7	Kosasiempre Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	154	—	P5-	-	-	-	196d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Travelled well for a long way when fifth in Wetherby bumper in March; others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Politacus	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Florencethemachine	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Alfies Princess	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Jersey Gem	8	17/2	9	17/2	17/2
Endless Supply	10	10	11	10	10
Bethka	10	12	12	12	12
Elle Est Beau	12	16	16	16	16
Similar Story	33	33	40/1	33	33
Lady Corrib	80	80	80	80	80
Near Dark	80	80	100	100	80
Shiroccosmagicbaby	80	100	100	100	100
Cest Bleu	150	125	150/1	125	125
Kosasiempre	100	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Florencethemachine

17.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Politacus

16.8

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 7.3

9/4

3rd

Similar Story

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 12.8 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Alfies Princess

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Near Dark

11.3

OR: 0 Form: 10.9 Odds: 0.4

100

Endless Supply

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.2

Bethka

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.9

Lady Corrib

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 0.4

Jersey Gem

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Cest Bleu

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Elle Est Beau

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Shiroccosmagicbaby

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Kosasiempre

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Politacus	—	—	—
Florencethemachine	—	—	—
Alfies Princess	—	—	—
Jersey Gem	—	—	—
Endless Supply	—	—	—
Bethka	—	—	—
Elle Est Beau	—	—	—
Similar Story	—	—	—
Lady Corrib	—	—	—
Near Dark	—	—	—
Shiroccosmagicbaby	—	107	91
Cest Bleu	—	70	37
Kosasiempre	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shiroccosmagicbaby	9d ago	Quick return
Jersey Gem	168d ago	Long break
Politacus	183d ago	Long break
Alfies Princess	183d ago	Long break
Endless Supply	184d ago	Long break
Kosasiempre	196d ago	Long break
Elle Est Beau	197d ago	Long break
Bethka	204d ago	Long break
Cest Bleu	254d ago	Long break
Florencethemachine	—	—
Similar Story	—	—
Lady Corrib	—	—
Near Dark	—	—