Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Dundalk (AW)

17:15

Date 2023-10-13

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €14,750

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Barnso Chestnut J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	128	—	82	-	82	-	39d	—	—	-20	16.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Left debut behind when 2nd at Roscommon last month; still looked green; more to come
10 (9)	Harry The Rogue Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	128	—	5235	74	87	-	22d	—	—	-3	16.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Disappointed last time but some smart form previously and warrants respect
NR (8)	Sobriety Blue Bay J:TBC T:Andrew Slattery	J: T:Andrew Slattery	130	—	4	-	75	-	35d	—	—	-14	6	1.25/1	6 17%
Only faded late when 4th on debut over this trip at Down Royal last month; should improve
NR (15)	States Evidence Bay J:TBC T:G M Lyons	J: T:G M Lyons	134	t	3468	76	82	-	48d	—	—	-5	12.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Form ties in with Harry The Rogue and warrants respect if he gets a run; reserve
6 (11)	Wackerjack Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Henry De Bromhead	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Knew his job when a close-up 3rd in C&D barrier trial; half-brother a C&D winner
2 (12)	Liamo Chestnut J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	134	p	6	-	57	-	25d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Outpaced before staying on in 6f barrier trial; low-key debut in claimer last month
3 (6)	Admiral Mae Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	132	b	530	68	82	-	8d	—	—	-1	9.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Improved from debut when beaten 1l in a claimer; low-key effort at Thurles last week
4 (5)	Ford Island Bay J:Ben Coen T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Ben Coen T:Daniel James Murphy	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Showed speed in barrier trial here last month; might need further than this
5 (10)	Suilleabhain Bay J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Kieran P Cotter	132	—	06	-	73	-	29d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Improved from low-key debut when beaten 4l last month but needs improvement
13 (14)	Small Fry Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Kieran Purcell	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Kieran Purcell	128	—	93	-	81	-	39d	—	—	0	4.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Low-key debut when beaten half a length behind Barnso; shapes like he needs further
14 (16)	Ateenosix Brown J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
The Irish Rover colt; 5,500eur yearling; stamina on dam's side; worth market check
12 (7)	Maxwell Smart Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:W Mccreery	J:Nathan Crosse T:W Mccreery	128	v	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Half-brother to Ajman Bridge but already gelded and visor on for debut
R15 (13)	Darazeni Bay J:N G McCullagh T:M Halford & T Collins	J:N G McCullagh T:M Halford & T Collins	134	—	9	-	59	29	21d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Low-key debut when 16-1 here last month; up in trip; reserve
1 (3)	Dandy Sands Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	134	tb	00	-	47	-	101d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Shown very little in 2 turf maidens so far; gelded since last seen 101 days ago
7 (2)	Mokotow Glory Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	130	—	00	-	42	-	47d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Shown very little in two turf maidens so far; new yard
11 (1)	Ive Been Dreaming Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Mark Fahey	J:Leigh Roche T:Mark Fahey	128	—	898	-	60	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Shown very little at triple figure odds in trio of starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Barnso	5/4	5/4	6/5	5/4	6/5
Harry The Rogue	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	3
Sobriety Blue	4	9/2	6	9/2	SP
States Evidence	11/2	7/2	10/3	4	4
Wackerjack	10/1	11	9	10	10/1
Liamo	18	16	16	18	18
Admiral Mae	10	17/2	9	9	9/1
Ford Island	15/2	9/1	9	9	9
Suilleabhain	18	18	18	18	18
Small Fry	20	18	18	20	20
Ateenosix	14	14	14	14	14/1
Maxwell Smart	28	33	33	33	33
Darazeni	50	50	50	50	50
Dandy Sands	66	80	80	100	80/1
Mokotow Glory	100	100	100	100	100
Ive Been Dreaming	150/1	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Barnso

16.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

Harry The Rogue

16.3

OR: 6 Form: 4.6 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

States Evidence

12.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5.2

11/2

Admiral Mae

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

Sobriety Blue

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6

Small Fry

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Ford Island

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Wackerjack

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Liamo

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Suilleabhain

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ateenosix

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Maxwell Smart

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Darazeni

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Dandy Sands

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Mokotow Glory

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Ive Been Dreaming

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
States Evidence	76	82	—
Harry The Rogue	74	87	—
Admiral Mae	68	82	—
Barnso	—	82	—
Sobriety Blue	—	75	—
Wackerjack	—	—	—
Liamo	—	57	—
Ford Island	—	—	—
Suilleabhain	—	73	—
Small Fry	—	81	—
Ateenosix	—	—	—
Maxwell Smart	—	—	—
Darazeni	—	59	29
Dandy Sands	—	47	—
Mokotow Glory	—	42	—
Ive Been Dreaming	—	60	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Admiral Mae	8d ago	Quick return
Darazeni	21d ago	Fit
Harry The Rogue	22d ago	Fit
Ive Been Dreaming	22d ago	Fit
Liamo	25d ago	Fit
Suilleabhain	29d ago	Fit
Sobriety Blue	35d ago	Fit
Barnso	39d ago	Fit
Small Fry	39d ago	Fit
Mokotow Glory	47d ago	Fresh
States Evidence	48d ago	Fresh
Dandy Sands	101d ago	Long break
Wackerjack	—	—
Ford Island	—	—
Ateenosix	—	—
Maxwell Smart	—	—