Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (Div I) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:00

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-10-18

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (7)	Kalamunda Bay J:James Doyle T:Joseph Parr	J:James Doyle T:Joseph Parr	135	—	887431	64	81	57	8d	—	—	-17	32.7	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Easy winner switched to AW last week and bred to be much better than a Class 6 operator
1 (8)	Green Power Bay J:Neil Callan T:John Gallagher	J:Neil Callan T:John Gallagher	140	—	565-51	66	78	64	14d	—	—	-5	7.6	1.25/1	6 17%
Strong finish when winning over C&D two weeks ago (good Topspeed figure); chance up 6lb
5 (6)	Raqraaq Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	136	—	326080	62	78	57	16d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-2	6.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Placed 3 times off a 6lb higher mark; gone quiet more recently and currently 0-15
6 (9)	Moush Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Jack Channon	J:Oisin Murphy T:Jack Channon	135	—	624355	64	73	-	70d	—	—	0	8.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-11 but often placed; dangerous mark if a wind operation has the desired effect
13 (1)	Flying Panther Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	132	htp	716217	61	74	65	20d	—	—	+10	15.9	3.25/1	14 7%
2-5 in these accessories, including C&D; not at best on Tapeta latest; can bounce back
11 (12)	High Court Judge Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Henry Spiller	J:Kevin Stott T:Henry Spiller	134	—	1850P7	63	77	55	21d	—	—	0	4.6	4.75/1	20 5%
C&D winner off 4lb higher in March; sharper for latest run; likely reviver
3 (2)	Hul Ah Bah Loo Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Simon Dow	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Simon Dow	138	—	423508	64	75	70	22d	—	—	+2	6.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Hard to win with but on a good mark & should appreciate this drop in grade; e-w claims
12 (11)	Mr Trick Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	132	p	124038	58	73	62	16d	—	—	+1	6.5	5.25/1	22 5%
Below par at Bath last time but earlier Nottingham 3rd a fair effort; down to a handy mark
2 (14)	Always Fearless Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	139	b	716104	65	72	60	6d	—	—	+8	11.7	6.75/1	28 4%
Two wins this summer but held off this mark twice since the latest, including last week
9 (4)	Evasive Power Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Robyn Brisland	J:Finley Marsh T:Robyn Brisland	134	—	477451	60	73	59	30d	—	—	+10	13.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Conditions fine and comes here on the back of a 7f win; this looks more competitive though
8 (3)	Stopnsearch Bay J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	134	p	-29564	60	74	28	30d	—	—	+2	4.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Out of sorts since back from a summer break; effective over C&D but others appeal more
4 (5)	Pink Jazz Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:John Butler	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:John Butler	136	—	59-610	62	72	62	26d	—	—	+1	3.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Easy C&D win in Feb but hit hard by the handicapper; tailed off over 1m3f in one run since
10 (10)	Fiddlers Green Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Oshea	J:Luke Morris T:John Oshea	134	—	5702-0	60	77	-	89d	—	—	+1	3	19.75/1	80 1%
Interesting on his Irish best; down in class & back up in trip today; worth market check
14 (13)	Forever Proud Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Mark Hoad	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Mark Hoad	130	—	386459	59	73	-	28d	—	—	+2	2.5	37.25/1	150 1%
Tailed off on her stable debut (1m2f, soft); this more suitable but others look safer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kalamunda	8/11	4/5	10/11	8/11	4/5
Green Power	6	6	6	5	6
Raqraaq	9	8	8	8	9
Moush	9	17/2	17/2	15/2	17/2
Flying Panther	14	14	14	14	14
High Court Judge	20	14	14	14	16
Hul Ah Bah Loo	22	18	16	18	20
Mr Trick	22	18	16	16	18
Always Fearless	25	28	25	28	28
Evasive Power	33	28	22	25	28
Stopnsearch	50	33	28	33	33
Pink Jazz	50	40	33	40	40
Fiddlers Green	80	50	40	50	66
Forever Proud	100	150	125	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kalamunda

32.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 17.1

10/11

2nd

Flying Panther

15.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Evasive Power

13.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

Always Fearless

11.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1

Moush

8.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Green Power

7.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Hul Ah Bah Loo

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.2

Mr Trick

6.5

OR: 2 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.4

Raqraaq

6.4

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.4

High Court Judge

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Stopnsearch

4.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.7

Pink Jazz

3.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Fiddlers Green

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Forever Proud

2.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Green Power	66	78	64
Always Fearless	65	72	60
Kalamunda	64	81	57
Moush	64	73	—
Hul Ah Bah Loo	64	75	70
High Court Judge	63	77	55
Raqraaq	62	78	57
Pink Jazz	62	72	62
Flying Panther	61	74	65
Evasive Power	60	73	59
Stopnsearch	60	74	28
Fiddlers Green	60	77	—
Forever Proud	59	73	—
Mr Trick	58	73	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Always Fearless	6d ago	Quick return
Kalamunda	8d ago	Quick return
Green Power	14d ago	Fit
Raqraaq	16d ago	Fit
Mr Trick	16d ago	Fit
Flying Panther	20d ago	Fit
High Court Judge	21d ago	Fit
Hul Ah Bah Loo	22d ago	Fit
Pink Jazz	26d ago	Fit
Forever Proud	28d ago	Fit
Evasive Power	30d ago	Fit
Stopnsearch	30d ago	Fit
Moush	70d ago	Fresh
Fiddlers Green	89d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.