Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Maiden

Navan

14:45

Date 2023-10-18

Distance 5f

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (4)	Greek Flower Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:John James Feane	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:John James Feane	129	p	302662	70	91	64	23d	—	—	-16	24.8	0.28/1	11/10 48%
70-rated filly, placed in six of her 12 races, well exposed but has plenty going for her
4 (15)	First Gentleman Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	134	p	323378	73	88	77	25d	—	—	-1	13.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Clear prospects on his best form but there are several negatives attached to his profile
9 (17)	Nouvel Espoir Bay J:Colin Keane T:James M Barcoe	J:Colin Keane T:James M Barcoe	134	—	3	-	66	45	25d	—	—	-5	6.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Outran his odds when third on debut over 6f at the Curragh, Never Cry Never sixth then
11 (16)	Cholita Bay J:Ben Coen T:Sarah Lynam	J:Ben Coen T:Sarah Lynam	129	tp	-80538	52	69	56	46d	—	—	-4	5.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Reasonable form in sprint handicaps but has a tough task given her current rating of 52
8 (12)	Never Cry Never Chestnut J:Andrew Slattery T:J A Stack	J:Andrew Slattery T:J A Stack	134	—	6	-	53	28	25d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.25/1	6 17%
Lack of experience was a factor at the Curragh but concerning that he got outpaced over 6f
12 (9)	Ferrari Desert Bay J:Chris Hayes T:E J Oneill	J:Chris Hayes T:E J Oneill	129	p	-38509	57	79	57	12d	—	—	-1	3.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Shaped well with C&D third on soft ground here in May, not as effective since on good
NR (3)	Bear Cub Bay J:TBC T:Edward Lynam	J: T:Edward Lynam	129	h	6	-	-	-	21d	—	—	-8	3.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Faded to finish last of six behind well-fancied stablemate Keke on debut at Bellewstown
1 (6)	Beaumadier Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:M C Grassick	J:Robbie Colgan T:M C Grassick	134	tb	426660	59	77	67	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	4.3	5.25/1	22 5%
Best display when runner-up in a 5f maiden at Cork in April, not at that level since;
2 (11)	Billboa Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:W P Browne	J:Seamie Heffernan T:W P Browne	134	—	359	62	79	42	181d	—	—	+1	5.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Promise over 6f on debut at Dundalk in March, two lesser turf runs dent confidence
NR (7)	Wayside Lady Chestnut J:TBC T:C W J Farrell	J: T:C W J Farrell	129	t	6760	64	85	41	124d	—	—	+1	4.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Best of her four runs was over 1m at Naas in May, stable debut, tongue-tie for first time
14 (5)	Mimosa Park Bay J:W J Lee T:M C Grassick	J:W J Lee T:M C Grassick	129	tb	03767	59	72	67	4d	—	—	+1	4.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Third in a 7f Leopardstown maiden in May, below that form in three subsequent starts
17 (2)	Wild Eyed Girl Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Brian Nolan	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Brian Nolan	129	b	9-0750	49	71	47	72d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Modest form since showing some ability as a juvenile, rating down 18lb from a high of 67
7 (14)	Haalim Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Anthony Mccann	J:Ronan Whelan T:Anthony Mccann	134	t	7	-	61	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Slowly away and never involved on debut over 7f at Down Royal, shorter trip hardly ideal
3 (13)	Ceres Ring Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	134	—	000490	42	58	30	6d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.00/1	125 1%
No apparent change in a maiden judging by his basement handicap rating
15 (1)	Second Fiddle Bay J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:C P Donoghue	J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:C P Donoghue	129	t	-00075	51	71	47	23d	—	—	-1	0.8	19.75/1	80 1%
Showed some promise when 250-1 chance over C&D in May on the last of six maiden runs
6 (8)	Go Til Its Over Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Philip M Byrne	J:Gavin Ryan T:Philip M Byrne	134	—	8000	-	52	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Has finished last on all four starts, drop in trip is unlikely to make a big difference.
5 (10)	Ginnos Port Bay J:J M Sheridan T:James Coyle	J:J M Sheridan T:James Coyle	134	—	00	-	27	-	46d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Towards the rear first time out at Dundalk, tailed off last at Navan, new stable now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Greek Flower	11/10	11/10	1	11/10	11/10
First Gentleman	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Nouvel Espoir	7	7	7	7	6
Cholita	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Never Cry Never	6	6	6	6	6
Ferrari Desert	18	16	14	16	18
Bear Cub	25	25	25	25	25
Beaumadier	22	20	20	20	22
Billboa	20	18	20	20	16
Wayside Lady	25	33	28	33	33
Mimosa Park	28	25	20	25	28
Wild Eyed Girl	80	100	80	80	80
Haalim	100	80	80	80	66
Ceres Ring	125	125	125	125	125
Second Fiddle	80	80	80	80	80
Go Til Its Over	200	200	200	200	200
Ginnos Port	200	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Greek Flower

24.8

OR: 5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

First Gentleman

13.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Nouvel Espoir

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

Billboa

5.7

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

Cholita

5.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Wayside Lady

4.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Beaumadier

4.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1

Mimosa Park

4.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1

Ferrari Desert

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

Never Cry Never

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Bear Cub

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Second Fiddle

0.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Wild Eyed Girl

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Haalim

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ceres Ring

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Go Til Its Over

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ginnos Port

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
First Gentleman	73	88	77
Greek Flower	70	91	64
Wayside Lady	64	85	41
Billboa	62	79	42
Beaumadier	59	77	67
Mimosa Park	59	72	67
Ferrari Desert	57	79	57
Cholita	52	69	56
Second Fiddle	51	71	47
Wild Eyed Girl	49	71	47
Ceres Ring	42	58	30
Nouvel Espoir	—	66	45
Never Cry Never	—	53	28
Bear Cub	—	—	—
Haalim	—	61	—
Go Til Its Over	—	52	—
Ginnos Port	—	27	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mimosa Park	4d ago	Quick return
Ceres Ring	6d ago	Quick return
Ferrari Desert	12d ago	Quick return
Go Til Its Over	12d ago	Quick return
Bear Cub	21d ago	Fit
Beaumadier	22d ago	Fit
Greek Flower	23d ago	Fit
Haalim	23d ago	Fit
Second Fiddle	23d ago	Fit
First Gentleman	25d ago	Fit
Nouvel Espoir	25d ago	Fit
Never Cry Never	25d ago	Fit
Cholita	46d ago	Fresh
Ginnos Port	46d ago	Fresh
Wild Eyed Girl	72d ago	Fresh
Wayside Lady	124d ago	Long break
Billboa	181d ago	Long break