Pimlico Racing Happy Retirement Zoffany Bay Handicap (Div I)

Navan

16:30

Date 2023-10-18

Distance 1m6f

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (25)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (15)	Oakley Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Anthony Mullins	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Anthony Mullins	141	—	313-22	63	72	62	49d	—	—	-11	9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Near miss on stable debut at Cork; 3lb higher for this but still lightly raced
22 (1)	Spinning Web Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Ms Margaret Mullins	J:Chris Hayes T:Ms Margaret Mullins	119	p	000-82	48	67	63	—	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Running well under both codes this year and appeals as the one better options
NR (14)	Elzaamsan Bay J:TBC T:M Halford & T Collins	J: T:M Halford & T Collins	138	tb	390705	60	72	31	26d	—	—	-12	8.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has become disappointing and seems to save his best for the AW
10 (16)	Molly Hall Grey J:Rory Cleary T:Barry J Fitzgerald	J:Rory Cleary T:Barry J Fitzgerald	130	—	09-901	52	68	34	41d	—	—	-6	3.2	2.00/1	9 11%
Prominent and won with a bit in hand over 2m at Clonmel, for which a 5lb rise is fair
20 (21)	Marvel Fan Bay J:Colin Keane T:A J Martin	J:Colin Keane T:A J Martin	125	t	97/40-	47	65	51	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Didn't run badly over fences 17 days ago but jumping is more her thing
NR (5)	Deluca Chop Chestnut J:TBC T:S M Duffy	J: T:S M Duffy	129	p	955363	51	71	57	26d	—	—	-6	9.3	3.75/1	16 6%
Three Flat wins in France; AW winner and ran another good race last time at Dundalk
2 (20)	Rain Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:James M Barcoe	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:James M Barcoe	141	—	840350	63	70	50	27d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Bits of promise for this yard but was well beaten at Listowel last time
16 (19)	Lady Christa Chestnut J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	126	—	608902	55	75	59	46d	—	—	+1	8.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Unlucky over 1m2f here latest but she's into unknown territory trip-wise
NR (2)	Clifftop Bay J:TBC T:H Rogers	J: T:H Rogers	127	t	8051-0	49	70	59	—	—	—	-11	4.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Capable handicapper but not sure that the forecast rain is welcomed
15 (7)	Jazzy Rock Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Francis Casey	J:Declan McDonogh T:Francis Casey	126	p	09-005	48	69	44	48d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-6 but some sign of improvement when a keeping-on fifth over C&D in August
9 (17)	Bigz Belief Bay J:Ben Coen T:Matthew J Smith	J:Ben Coen T:Matthew J Smith	131	tb	265306	53	75	63	23d	—	—	-1	3.3	5.25/1	22 5%
1m2f perhaps on the sharp side when a respectable sixth at Down Royal latest
R23 (18)	Kings Prince Bay J:W J Lee T:Eamonn Oconnell	J:W J Lee T:Eamonn Oconnell	143	—	077226	65	68	54	13d	—	—	+7	11	5.25/1	22 5%
Returned from a break with two seconds (1m7f/1m4f) before fairing less well at Thurles
NR (12)	Ballyvohane Bay J:TBC T:Mrs John Harrington	J: T:Mrs John Harrington	122	—	0-8000	51	73	46	2d	—	—	-11	4.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Third reserve; another quiet run in a handicap when down the field at Gowran on Monday
17 (23)	Loudest Whisper Bay J:Kyle Faulkner(10) T:E D Delany	J:Kyle Faulkner(10) T:E D Delany	126	—	2550-3	48	68	36	—	—	—	0	4.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Hasn't raced since May but goes on testing ground and on a dangerous mark
5 (3)	Viceregent Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:C Byrnes	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:C Byrnes	140	p	3/2052	62	66	58	27d	—	—	-5	9.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Worrying strike-rate of 1-35 but raced wide when second at Listowel
4 (6)	Meritorious Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C Mcconnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C Mcconnell	140	—	004-06	62	66	24	—	—	—	0	4.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Regressive for this yard but his mark is falling and he could come good
21 (13)	Gardone Brown J:N G McCullagh T:Charles Weld	J:N G McCullagh T:Charles Weld	121	—	8-800	50	67	34	64d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Lightly raced; finished tenth of 13 on handicap debut over 1m2f at Dundalk
3 (25)	Global Export Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	140	h	360609	62	73	50	27d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Has placed form on the Flat but will need to run better than he has the last twice
13 (24)	Honketonk Angel Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Luke Comer	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Luke Comer	128	p	998070	50	69	44	19d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Probably has a race in her having been beaten about 6l in last two handicaps
7 (9)	Final Endeavour Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:H Rogers	J:Gavin Ryan T:H Rogers	135	p	1D0-070	57	64	34	14d	—	—	+1	2.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Won three races but he's been cold as ice since returning from a layoff
18 (11)	Gains Of War Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	125	b	0-90	47	62	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.00/1	125 1%
Tailed off in his three maidens (1m4f-2m); risky proposition now in blinkers
8 (8)	The Riastrad Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Donal Kinsella	J:Robbie Colgan T:Donal Kinsella	135	h	/97-89	57	69	10	—	—	—	+1	2	31.00/1	125 1%
An 11-race maiden who has yet to trouble the judge
12 (22)	Baron Wild Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Denis W Cullen	J:Leigh Roche T:Denis W Cullen	128	t	9/9800	50	71	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Regressive 5yo who has been very quiet thus far for this yard
19 (10)	Hague Convention Bay J:Aileen O'Sullivan(10) T:S Michael Millar	J:Aileen O'Sullivan(10) T:S Michael Millar	125	t	/0/0-0	47	69	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Lightly raced 9yo; has finished tailed off this year on the Flat and hurdling
R24 (4)	Sioux Grit Bay J:Killian Leonard T:R P Burns	J:Killian Leonard T:R P Burns	125	—	0/0-00	47	52	-	64d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Second reserve; no places in 12 starts and this longer trip is a shot in the dark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Oakley	4	7/2	4	3	4
Spinning Web	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Elzaamsan	7/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	SP
Molly Hall	7	8	15/2	8	9
Marvel Fan	9	9	9	8	9
Deluca Chop	12	14	11	14	16
Rain	11	11	10	11	11
Lady Christa	11	10	10	11	11
Clifftop	20	18	18	18	20
Jazzy Rock	8	8	17/2	8	9
Bigz Belief	20	18	20	20	22
Kings Prince	22	18	16	18	20
Ballyvohane	SP	25	25	25	28
Loudest Whisper	25	20	22	22	22
Viceregent	7	6	5	11/2	15/2
Meritorious	33	20	18	16	22
Gardone	20	18	18	18	20
Global Export	10	10	9	10	10
Honketonk Angel	66	66	33	66	66
Final Endeavour	100	80	80	66	80
Gains Of War	125	80	50	80	80
The Riastrad	125	100	100	100	100
Baron Wild	150	125	80	66	125
Hague Convention	200	200	125	200	200
Sioux Grit	200	125	80	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kings Prince

OR: 3.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.2

2nd

Deluca Chop

9.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.5

3rd

Viceregent

9.1

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

15/2

Oakley

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Elzaamsan

8.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6

11/2

Lady Christa

8.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

Rain

7.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

Global Export

5.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Spinning Web

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Ballyvohane

4.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.6

Clifftop

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.6

Loudest Whisper

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Meritorious

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Bigz Belief

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

Molly Hall

3.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Jazzy Rock

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Marvel Fan

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Final Endeavour

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

The Riastrad

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125

Gardone

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Honketonk Angel

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Gains Of War

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Baron Wild

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Hague Convention

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Sioux Grit

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kings Prince	65	68	54
Oakley	63	72	62
Rain	63	70	50
Viceregent	62	66	58
Meritorious	62	66	24
Global Export	62	73	50
Elzaamsan	60	72	31
Final Endeavour	57	64	34
The Riastrad	57	69	10
Lady Christa	55	75	59
Bigz Belief	53	75	63
Molly Hall	52	68	34
Deluca Chop	51	71	57
Ballyvohane	51	73	46
Gardone	50	67	34
Honketonk Angel	50	69	44
Baron Wild	50	71	—
Clifftop	49	70	59
Spinning Web	48	67	63
Jazzy Rock	48	69	44
Loudest Whisper	48	68	36
Marvel Fan	47	65	51
Gains Of War	47	62	—
Hague Convention	47	69	—
Sioux Grit	47	52	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ballyvohane	2d ago	Quick return
Kings Prince	13d ago	Quick return
Gains Of War	13d ago	Quick return
Final Endeavour	14d ago	Fit
Honketonk Angel	19d ago	Fit
Baron Wild	20d ago	Fit
Bigz Belief	23d ago	Fit
Elzaamsan	26d ago	Fit
Deluca Chop	26d ago	Fit
Rain	27d ago	Fit
Viceregent	27d ago	Fit
Global Export	27d ago	Fit
Molly Hall	41d ago	Fit
Lady Christa	46d ago	Fresh
Jazzy Rock	48d ago	Fresh
Oakley	49d ago	Fresh
Gardone	64d ago	Fresh
Sioux Grit	64d ago	Fresh
Spinning Web	—	—
Marvel Fan	—	—
Clifftop	—	—
Loudest Whisper	—	—
Meritorious	—	—
The Riastrad	—	—
Hague Convention	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Spinning Web	Prominent
Molly Hall	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 25 runners classified.