Download The At The Races App Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

16:30

Download The At The Races App Handicap

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 7f216y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Magic Memories Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	137	t	49324	77	82	75	63d	—	—	-7	19.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Probably needs improvement but he's a lightly raced 3yo so it can't be ruled out
NR (11)	Shoot To Kill Bay J:TBC T:Robyn Brisland	J: T:Robyn Brisland	140	—	714513	77	82	68	1d	—	—	+8	23.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
40-1 C&D win in August and another narrow win at Lingfield last month; third yesterday
10 (7)	Optiva Star Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	133	h	432111	73	82	62	46d	—	—	+19	34.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won on good ground here on last three starts (two 7f, then one 1m); has to make appeal
3 (6)	Macs Dilemma Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:John Oshea	J:Hollie Doyle T:John Oshea	138	b	120447	75	85	58	21d	—	—	-4	11.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Close at Chepstow on first attempt at 1m; fair 7th at Newmarket latest on his third 1m run
7 (2)	Zabbie Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	135	—	551545	75	83	71	29d	—	—	0	12.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Fair efforts in her only three attempts over this far and those don't look good enough
12 (4)	Yellow Lion Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	127	—	265149	67	85	77	23d	—	—	+2	12.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Salisbury win (1m, good) in August; well beaten on AW latest; possibilities back on turf
11 (1)	Marsh Benham Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	132	—	114845	69	82	72	9d	—	—	0	9.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Ran fairly well last time; has to be considered given his pretty solid record at Brighton
NR (8)	Tribute Bay J:TBC T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J: T:Simon & Ed Crisford	135	b	730746	75	80	53	81d	—	—	-42	26.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Two efforts have been a great deal better than the other four; different headgear
8 (12)	Poetic Force Chestnut J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	134	—	630126	71	82	65	36d	—	—	+10	16.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won by a nose over C&D in August; in similar form since; rarely seen on softer than good
NR (10)	Night Arc Bay J:TBC T:Richard Hannon	J: T:Richard Hannon	139	—	221779	76	83	69	10d	—	—	+6	12.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Won at Sandown (1m) in July; however, not nearly so competitive in his three starts since
NR (5)	Renesmee Bay J:TBC T:Martin Dunne	J: T:Martin Dunne	133	hp	266418	73	84	71	23d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+7	14.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Signed off for Kevin Philippart De Foy with a narrow Yarmouth win; well held on AW latest
NR (9)	Mamillius Bay J:TBC T:George Baker	J: T:George Baker	136	—	155208	73	81	58	23d	—	—	+4	9.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Only third go at 1m; best 2023 efforts over 6f, including a second here three starts back

Horse	bet365	Coral
Magic Memories	9/4	9/4
Shoot To Kill	9/2	4
Optiva Star	9/2	4
Macs Dilemma	4	9/2
Zabbie	11/2	11/2
Yellow Lion	15/2	7
Marsh Benham	17/2	8/1
Tribute	11	12
Poetic Force	12	12/1
Night Arc	22	25
Renesmee	28	SP
Mamillius	25	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Optiva Star

34.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 24.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Tribute

26.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 20

3rd

Shoot To Kill

23.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Magic Memories

19.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 8

9/4

Poetic Force

16.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Renesmee

14.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

Zabbie

12.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Yellow Lion

12.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Night Arc

12.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.6

Macs Dilemma

11.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Mamillius

9.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.5

Marsh Benham

9.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 2 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Magic Memories	77	82	75
Shoot To Kill	77	82	68
Night Arc	76	83	69
Macs Dilemma	75	85	58
Zabbie	75	83	71
Tribute	75	80	53
Optiva Star	73	82	62
Renesmee	73	84	71
Mamillius	73	81	58
Poetic Force	71	82	65
Marsh Benham	69	82	72
Yellow Lion	67	85	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shoot To Kill	1d ago	Quick return
Marsh Benham	9d ago	Quick return
Night Arc	10d ago	Quick return
Macs Dilemma	21d ago	Fit
Yellow Lion	23d ago	Fit
Renesmee	23d ago	Fit
Mamillius	23d ago	Fit
Zabbie	29d ago	Fit
Poetic Force	36d ago	Fit
Optiva Star	46d ago	Fresh
Magic Memories	63d ago	Fresh
Tribute	81d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Macs Dilemma	Prominent
Tribute	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.