Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

13:35

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 5f215y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Gherkin Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Stuart Kittow	J:Hollie Doyle T:Stuart Kittow	133	b	552306	52	70	53	15d	—	—	-10	9.2	0.50/1	3 33%
On a handy mark; helps to give connections, who also run Notre Maison, a good hand
9 (3)	Silver Diva Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:John Gallagher	J:Trevor Whelan T:John Gallagher	130	h	633378	49	65	44	9d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.50/1	7 14%
Chance of belated win largely depends on how well she takes to first-time hood
5 (14)	Voodoo Ray Chestnut J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	132	b	134143	51	68	59	19d	—	—	0	12.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Return to Brighton is a plus but this big field looks a negative; front-runner
8 (11)	Heers Sadie Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Julia Feilden	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Julia Feilden	131	—	112732	50	68	46	31d	—	—	+1	14.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has respectable 7f form here this term; likely player if proving as effective back at 6f
3 (9)	Notre Maison Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	134	b	113222	53	66	56	31d	—	—	+7	17.7	1.50/1	7 14%
Solid record over 5.3f here of late; likely player if proving as good back at 6f
2 (2)	Brilliant Blue Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	135	tp	486340	54	67	44	28d	—	—	-6	5.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Drop to sprinting presents a question mark for this maiden
NR (13)	Giddy Aunt Grey J:TBC T:Jonathan Portman	J: T:Jonathan Portman	138	p	742031	58	66	52	1d	—	—	-1	22.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Took well to first-time cheekpieces at Bath yesterday; may build on that win
1 (5)	Firenze Rosa Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	135	p	952153	54	66	57	29d	—	—	+4	13.2	1.75/1	8 13%
Should be thereabouts granted ideal ground (all wins on softer than good)
10 (10)	Neptune Legend Bay J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	130	t	667946	49	62	39	57d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Far from consistent for current stable; blew the start last time
14 (7)	Moorgate Bay J:J F Egan T:Pat Murphy	J:J F Egan T:Pat Murphy	126	—	682450	45	68	61	22d	—	—	-2	2.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Maiden whose form claims aren't particularly solid
13 (4)	Moveonup Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	127	v	955072	46	69	31	19d	—	—	+2	6.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Close second on AW last time but isn't certain to back up that effort
12 (1)	Global Acclamation Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Patrick Chamings	J:Rob Hornby T:Patrick Chamings	127	b	436-59	46	65	56	15d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Has a poor strike-rate; beaten about 6l in this race last year
16 (15)	Urban Jungle Chestnut J:Charlie Bennett T:Michael Blake	J:Charlie Bennett T:Michael Blake	125	—	577999	45	62	42	57d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Holds poor claims on balance of form
7 (12)	Lucky Mascot Bay J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	131	—	026670	50	67	39	8d	—	—	0	1.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Remains a maiden and sprinting is unknown territory
NR (8)	Malham Tarn Cove Roan J:TBC T:Steph Hollinshead	J: T:Steph Hollinshead	129	tp	333274	48	66	57	33d	—	—	-3	6.8	2.75/1	12 8%
Maiden who has proved largely consistent this season; not without a chance
NR (16)	Beanie Blue Bay J:TBC T:Steph Hollinshead	J: T:Steph Hollinshead	125	—	0090	45	57	31	24d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Needs to improve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gherkin	3	3	3	3	3
Silver Diva	7	6	6	6	6
Voodoo Ray	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	6
Heers Sadie	7	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Notre Maison	7	7	7	7	7
Brilliant Blue	17/2	15/2	15/2	8	7/1
Giddy Aunt	5	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Firenze Rosa	8	8	8	8	8
Neptune Legend	16	16/1	12	16	16
Moorgate	20	18	16	18	20
Moveonup	18	18	16/1	16	20/1
Global Acclamation	33	33	25	33	33
Urban Jungle	50	50	50	50	50
Lucky Mascot	80	66	50	66	66
Malham Tarn Cove	SP	12	11	12	12
Beanie Blue	66	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Giddy Aunt

22.6

OR: 2 Form: 13.6 Odds: 7

13/2

2nd

Notre Maison

17.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 13.9 Odds: 3.1

3rd

Heers Sadie

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Firenze Rosa

13.2

OR: 1 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.7

Voodoo Ray

12.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Gherkin

9.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

Malham Tarn Cove

6.8

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 2.8

Silver Diva

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

Moveonup

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Brilliant Blue

5.8

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Moorgate

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Neptune Legend

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Lucky Mascot

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0.4

Global Acclamation

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Urban Jungle

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Beanie Blue

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Giddy Aunt	58	66	52
Brilliant Blue	54	67	44
Firenze Rosa	54	66	57
Notre Maison	53	66	56
Gherkin	52	70	53
Voodoo Ray	51	68	59
Heers Sadie	50	68	46
Lucky Mascot	50	67	39
Silver Diva	49	65	44
Neptune Legend	49	62	39
Malham Tarn Cove	48	66	57
Moveonup	46	69	31
Global Acclamation	46	65	56
Moorgate	45	68	61
Urban Jungle	45	62	42
Beanie Blue	45	57	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Giddy Aunt	1d ago	Quick return
Lucky Mascot	8d ago	Quick return
Silver Diva	9d ago	Quick return
Gherkin	15d ago	Fit
Global Acclamation	15d ago	Fit
Voodoo Ray	19d ago	Fit
Moveonup	19d ago	Fit
Moorgate	22d ago	Fit
Beanie Blue	24d ago	Fit
Brilliant Blue	28d ago	Fit
Firenze Rosa	29d ago	Fit
Heers Sadie	31d ago	Fit
Notre Maison	31d ago	Fit
Malham Tarn Cove	33d ago	Fit
Neptune Legend	57d ago	Fresh
Urban Jungle	57d ago	Fresh