Follow Rhino.Bet On Instagram Handicap Hurdle – Carlisle

Carlisle

16:10

Follow Rhino.Bet On Instagram Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 2m1f33y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Kilbrainy Brown J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	163	—	34-241	100	115	96	11d	—	—	-14	25	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Escapes a penalty (due an 8lb rise) for a recent smooth Kelso win; rock-solid credentials.
5	Royal Rhythm Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	165	—	64164-	102	102	52	186d	—	—	+9	21.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won twice over hurdles in Ireland for P. Rothwell; stays well; first run for J J O'Neill.
13	Burrows Hall Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Sue Smith	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Sue Smith	158	—	8341P-	95	104	103	178d	—	—	+8	21.3	1.25/1	6 17%
Won here (inner track) in April; valid excuse (bled) next time; chance if back on song.
10	Enemy At The Gate Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Donald Whillans	J:Henry Brooke T:Donald Whillans	161	—	/7823-	98	107	84	187d	—	—	+11	21.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Went close at Newcastle (2m4f; first-time tongue-tie) in March; less competitive next time
NR	Prince Nino Chestnut J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lizzie Quinlan	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lizzie Quinlan	158	tv	-31816	95	104	75	22d	—	—	+16	24	2.50/1	11 9%
Dual Perth winner (2m4f) for this yard; heavy ground reason for latest poor run; visor on
NR	Ring Of Beara Bay J:TBC T:Tim Easterby	J: T:Tim Easterby	165	—	25324-	103	103	90	—	—	—	+6	24.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Competitive over hurdles at Doncaster & Musselburgh earlier in year; busy on Flat since.
1	Vocal Duke Bay J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	168	p	-05676	105	115	82	22d	—	—	+8	16	2.25/1	10 10%
Easing in the weights and drops in grade sporting first-time cheekpieces; needs a revival.
14	Serious Ego Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	156	—	3963-4	93	107	100	159d	—	—	+5	12.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Twice shaped well (here & Hexham) from a much reduced mark earlier in the year; a possible
6	Liberty Flame Brown J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	165	h	35-763	102	94	82	55d	—	—	+8	14.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Ex-Irish; placed in a 2m maiden hurdle at Kilbeggan; stable debut; market check advised.
2	Caldwell Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	167	tp	/PP/P5	104	106	49	—	—	—	+9	15.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Out of form when last seen over hurdles; stable is going well, and easing in the weights.
4	Cancan Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	165	h	12228/	102	108	-	573d	—	—	+19	23.9	5.25/1	22 5%
Won mares' novice at Ayr (2m) in late 2021; reliable thereafter; first run for 573 days.
11	Milajess Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	160	tp	P-27P4	97	108	97	13d	—	—	+9	12.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Lost her way in Ireland for Michael Griffin; tailed off on stable debut at Hexham (2m4f).
9	Mutadaawel Bay J:Carl Millar(7) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	163	p	93/906	100	104	77	33d	—	—	+10	13.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Three Flat wins (all 1m); has shown some ability over hurdles; fair fifth at Navan latest.
7	No Recollection Brown J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	164	t	140U90	101	104	63	16d	—	—	+11	13.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Both wins have come on good (Worcester); well beaten at Sedgefield (2m1f) a fortnight ago.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kilbrainy	6/4	5/4	11/8	5/4	6/4
Royal Rhythm	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	7
Burrows Hall	6	6	6	6	6
Enemy At The Gate	17/2	15/2	8	8	8
Prince Nino	10	11	11	11	11
Ring Of Beara	10	12	11	12	12
Vocal Duke	10	9	9	9	10
Serious Ego	12	11	11	11	12
Liberty Flame	12	14	12	14	14
Caldwell	14	12	12	12	12
Cancan	22	16	16	18	18
Milajess	22	22	22	20	25
Mutadaawel	33	28	25	28	28
No Recollection	50	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kilbrainy

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

6/4

2nd

Ring Of Beara

24.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 6 Odds: 5.6

3rd

Prince Nino

OR: 11.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.1

Cancan

23.9

OR: 13 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.4

Royal Rhythm

21.6

OR: 13 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Enemy At The Gate

21.4

OR: 12 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Burrows Hall

21.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 6.4 Odds: 3.6

Vocal Duke

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Caldwell

15.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Liberty Flame

14.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Mutadaawel

13.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

No Recollection

13.3

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Serious Ego

12.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Milajess

12.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vocal Duke	105	115	82
Caldwell	104	106	49
Ring Of Beara	103	103	90
Royal Rhythm	102	102	52
Liberty Flame	102	94	82
Cancan	102	108	—
No Recollection	101	104	63
Kilbrainy	100	115	96
Mutadaawel	100	104	77
Enemy At The Gate	98	107	84
Milajess	97	108	97
Burrows Hall	95	104	103
Prince Nino	95	104	75
Serious Ego	93	107	100

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kilbrainy	11d ago	Quick return
Milajess	13d ago	Quick return
No Recollection	16d ago	Fit
Prince Nino	22d ago	Fit
Vocal Duke	22d ago	Fit
Mutadaawel	33d ago	Fit
Liberty Flame	55d ago	Fresh
Serious Ego	159d ago	Long break
Burrows Hall	178d ago	Long break
Royal Rhythm	186d ago	Long break
Enemy At The Gate	187d ago	Long break
Cancan	573d ago	Long break
Ring Of Beara	—	—
Caldwell	—	—