Fireworks Spectacular Here 5th November Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

17:30

Fireworks Spectacular Here 5th November Handicap

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Bluebells Boy Bay J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	134	tb	425452	54	72	62	7d	—	—	-14	16.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Found a bit of consistency over 6f/7f in recent starts, albeit for minor honours at best
NR (3)	Nemorum Bay J:TBC T:T J Kent	J: T:T J Kent	126	—	7-9844	46	64	51	7d	—	—	-14	6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
20-race maiden but two of his best results when fourth over C&D on last two outings
5 (4)	Last Date Brown J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ivan Furtado	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ivan Furtado	132	v	9-7583	52	67	50	19d	—	—	-9	4.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Very solid record at this track but last of his three wins (30 races) was in April 2021
7 (10)	Golden Moon Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	128	v	787548	50	66	46	19d	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-9; easily his closest finish coming when fourth of 13 over C&D on penultimate start
3 (6)	Navy Drums b/br J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	135	—	112767	55	70	62	28d	—	—	-3	7.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Last three runs since were disappointing, all at 7-1 or shorter; perhaps excused latest
9 (2)	My Sand Boy Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	126	—	0-9507	46	62	39	28d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Closer lately; met trouble in running last time; considered in this unconvincing field
1 (8)	Star Map Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Dunlop	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Dunlop	135	v	62800	57	69	34	52d	—	—	-2	5.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Doncaster 2nd (6f, soft) in May stands out a mile from her other four runs; headgear now
10 (5)	Blue Curacao Bay J:David Egan T:Pat Phelan	J:David Egan T:Pat Phelan	124	—	873656	46	69	39	45d	—	—	-4	2.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Three below-form efforts in a row and she's switched to AW for first time since January
2 (11)	Higher Law Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Kevin Frost	J:Liam Keniry T:Kevin Frost	135	—	685709	57	69	10	23d	—	—	-2	3.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Possible excuses for last three starts; others look more solid, all the same
6 (1)	Grey Daze Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	130	—	50040	52	66	47	15d	—	—	-3	1.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Relatively early days and no headgear today but others have much more solid claims
11 (9)	Dresden Green Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	124	p	096005	46	64	51	14d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
17-race maiden; blinkered last four starts and now sports cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bluebells Boy	15/8	2/1	15/8	15/8	15/8
Nemorum	11/2	13/2	6	6	13/2
Last Date	6	11/2	6	6/1	6
Golden Moon	13/2	11/2	6	6	6
Navy Drums	15/2	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
My Sand Boy	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Star Map	12	11/1	11	11/1	11/1
Blue Curacao	12	14/1	12	12	12/1
Higher Law	18	16	14	16	16
Grey Daze	16	16/1	18	18/1	18/1
Dresden Green	25	22/1	22	22/1	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bluebells Boy

16.4

OR: 1 Form: 6 Odds: 9.4

2/1

2nd

Navy Drums

7.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Nemorum

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6

13/2

Star Map

5.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

Last Date

4.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Golden Moon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Higher Law

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

My Sand Boy

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Blue Curacao

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Grey Daze

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Dresden Green

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Star Map	57	69	34
Higher Law	57	69	10
Navy Drums	55	70	62
Bluebells Boy	54	72	62
Last Date	52	67	50
Grey Daze	52	66	47
Golden Moon	50	66	46
Nemorum	46	64	51
My Sand Boy	46	62	39
Blue Curacao	46	69	39
Dresden Green	46	64	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bluebells Boy	7d ago	Quick return
Nemorum	7d ago	Quick return
Dresden Green	14d ago	Fit
Grey Daze	15d ago	Fit
Last Date	19d ago	Fit
Golden Moon	19d ago	Fit
Higher Law	23d ago	Fit
Navy Drums	28d ago	Fit
My Sand Boy	28d ago	Fit
Blue Curacao	45d ago	Fit
Star Map	52d ago	Fresh