Bet MGM: It's Showtime Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:30

Bet MGM: It's Showtime Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-10-24

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (10)	Gogo Yubari Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Amy Murphy	J:NON-RUNNER T:Amy Murphy	130	t	747	65	-	-	27d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-46	23.8	—	—
Non-runner
1 (2)	Miss Anya Bay J:Neil Callan T:Richard Hughes	J:Neil Callan T:Richard Hughes	135	—	52244	70	75	56	3d	—	—	-12	18.4	0.53/1	17/8 32%
Has run well in all five starts but not sure dropping to 5f on nursery debut is ideal
10 (3)	Elliott Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Billy Loughnane T:Rebecca Menzies	122	—	65633	57	78	60	4d	—	—	-9	13.5	0.50/1	3 33%
Only beaten a head and a neck into third at Newcastle on Friday; high on the list
11 (6)	Lady Bouquet Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Philip Kirby	J:Hollie Doyle T:Philip Kirby	121	—	973312	56	79	60	10d	—	—	+5	20.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won easily over C&D earlier this month and ran well next time; unlikely to be far away
8 (7)	Renovate Bay J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	130	—	085	65	76	19	11d	—	—	-6	7.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Unplaced in three starts; open to improvement on nursery debut, but it will be needed
4 (1)	Rogue Rosie Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Tom Clover	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Tom Clover	132	—	422234	67	78	61	17d	—	—	+5	13.9	2.25/1	10 10%
In the frame in all six starts, the last two over C&D; 3lb lower and should go well again
5 (9)	South Parade Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	132	—	763	67	74	-	34d	—	—	+3	8.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Open to further progress on nursery debut, but she isn't drawn to advantage
NR (11)	Nasneen Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	130	—	296	65	74	26	15d	—	—	+2	7.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Well held in two starts on Tapeta since a promising turf debut; drawn widest
2 (5)	Meccas Duchess Grey J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	133	—	046527	68	76	58	27d	—	—	+4	9.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Modest at Redcar last time, but creditable efforts before that; chance if bouncing back
3 (8)	Miss Woo Woo Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Robert Cowell	J:James Sullivan T:Robert Cowell	132	p	337145	67	74	26	17d	—	—	+7	10.9	5.25/1	22 5%
Twice held since winning at Brighton (stiff task latest); something to prove
6 (4)	Desert Master Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	—	723653	66	75	50	48d	—	—	+7	9.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Placed in five of his eight starts for James Tate; needs a bit more on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gogo Yubari	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Miss Anya	15/8	2	17/8	15/8	2
Elliott	3	3	3	3	3
Lady Bouquet	5	9/2	9/2	4	9/2
Renovate	15/2	15/2	15/2	13/2	15/2
Rogue Rosie	10	9	17/2	15/2	9
South Parade	14	14	14	14	16
Nasneen	16	14	14	14	14
Meccas Duchess	16	16	16	14	16
Miss Woo Woo	22	22	22	22	22
Desert Master	33	33	33	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gogo Yubari

23.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Lady Bouquet

20.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 14.4 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Miss Anya

18.4

OR: 5 Form: 4 Odds: 9.4

17/8

Rogue Rosie

13.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.5

Elliott

13.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 6.7

Miss Woo Woo

10.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.1

Desert Master

9.6

OR: 4 Form: 4.9 Odds: 0.7

Meccas Duchess

9.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

South Parade

8.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Nasneen

7.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

Renovate

7.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miss Anya	70	75	56
Meccas Duchess	68	76	58
Rogue Rosie	67	78	61
South Parade	67	74	—
Miss Woo Woo	67	74	26
Desert Master	66	75	50
Gogo Yubari	65	—	—
Renovate	65	76	19
Nasneen	65	74	26
Elliott	57	78	60
Lady Bouquet	56	79	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Anya	3d ago	Quick return
Elliott	4d ago	Quick return
Lady Bouquet	10d ago	Quick return
Renovate	11d ago	Quick return
Nasneen	15d ago	Fit
Rogue Rosie	17d ago	Fit
Miss Woo Woo	17d ago	Fit
Gogo Yubari	27d ago	Fit
Meccas Duchess	27d ago	Fit
South Parade	34d ago	Fit
Desert Master	48d ago	Fresh