Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-10-24

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (9)	Alyara Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:John Flint	J:NON-RUNNER T:John Flint	137	p	593335	54	-	-	3d	—	—	-45	25.5	—	—
Four decent efforts from four this September/October, poorly placed Saturday; non-runner
9 (5)	Lynwood Lad Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	128	p	867638	47	67	47	33d	—	—	-18	11	0.47/1	15/8 35%
C&D third two runs ago reads well and was trapped wide when only eighth last time
5 (3)	Outreach Grey J:David Probert T:Mark Usher	J:David Probert T:Mark Usher	132	—	470456	51	66	39	13d	—	—	-12	5.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Yet to really trouble the judge in handicap company, starting 14-1 or bigger
3 (2)	Cheese The One Grey J:Harry Davies T:Stella Barclay	J:Harry Davies T:Stella Barclay	132	b	750143	49	63	54	45d	—	—	-3	12.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Player on recent form and holds place claims if getting the breaks
4 (7)	Hannahs Return Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Gary Brown	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Gary Brown	132	—	955170	49	66	61	166d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Fairly handicapped and market could guide back from 166 days off
2 (6)	Kenstone Grey J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	134	p	143257	51	65	28	19d	—	—	-3	6.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Tick for conditions but hasn't shown enough the last twice to make the shortlist
7 (1)	Reversion Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Charlie Wallis	J:Cam Hardie T:Charlie Wallis	129	v	566773	46	68	51	17d	—	—	-2	4.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Slow starter is drawn on the inside; probably flattered over C&D last time
8 (8)	Broomy Law Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	129	b	948890	46	58	44	29d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Best two performances of 2023 came when beaten about 5l (second time by Cheese The One)
10 (4)	Gracious Grace Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	127	p	-B9888	46	25	-	20d	—	—	-3	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Eighth the best she's managed in six completed starts, with cheekpieces no help of late
6 (10)	Wood Farm Wag Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	129	—	606740	48	58	28	15d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Tenth of 12 when 100-1 for C&D handicap 15 days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Alyara	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Lynwood Lad	7/4	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Outreach	9/2	4	9/2	4	4
Cheese The One	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Hannahs Return	11/2	11/2	9/2	5	5
Kenstone	8	15/2	8	15/2	8
Reversion	10	11	10	11	12
Broomy Law	20	20	22	18	20
Gracious Grace	33	25	28	22	33
Wood Farm Wag	80	80	100	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alyara

25.5

OR: 1 Form: 4.5 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Cheese The One

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Lynwood Lad

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8.9

15/8

Hannahs Return

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Kenstone

6.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Outreach

5.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Reversion

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Broomy Law

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Gracious Grace

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Wood Farm Wag

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alyara	54	—	—
Outreach	51	66	39
Kenstone	51	65	28
Cheese The One	49	63	54
Hannahs Return	49	66	61
Wood Farm Wag	48	58	28
Lynwood Lad	47	67	47
Reversion	46	68	51
Broomy Law	46	58	44
Gracious Grace	46	25	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alyara	3d ago	Quick return
Outreach	13d ago	Quick return
Wood Farm Wag	15d ago	Fit
Reversion	17d ago	Fit
Kenstone	19d ago	Fit
Gracious Grace	20d ago	Fit
Broomy Law	29d ago	Fit
Lynwood Lad	33d ago	Fit
Cheese The One	45d ago	Fit
Hannahs Return	166d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Outreach	Front Runner
Alyara	Hold Up
Cheese The One	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 10 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.