Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Div II) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-10-24

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (10)	Intoxicata Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	129	v	587624	48	66	56	22d	—	—	-12	10.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Widest draw not ideal but obvious claims if able to adopt good early position back in trip
1 (1)	Flavius Titus Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Danny Brooke	J:Neil Callan T:Danny Brooke	135	b	012425	52	64	52	14d	—	—	-6	13.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
7f should give him more time to catch up but will need the breaks from stall 1
7 (4)	Van Zant Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	—	0-3060	46	64	47	7d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
16-race maiden who has largely disappointed in handicaps
4 (2)	Aviary Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Adrian Wintle	132	h	-80696	49	63	36	15d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Goes well over track and trip; latest effort suggests she could be poised to strike
5 (3)	Stoney Lane Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	131	p	518302	48	62	45	18d	—	—	-1	12.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Lewis Edmunds gets on well with him and they hold place claims
9 (6)	Ebury Chestnut J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Scott Dixon	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Scott Dixon	129	—	866499	46	58	48	29d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
No win since 2019 and hasn't even troubled the judge for a while; hard to fancy
3 (7)	Available Angel Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:John Mackie	J:Hollie Doyle T:John Mackie	132	p	-96625	49	47	-	69d	—	—	-2	5.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Good run then bad run at Yarmouth when last seen; 0-12 on AW
2 (9)	Rebel Redemption Grey J:Dougie Costello T:Scott Dixon	J:Dougie Costello T:Scott Dixon	133	p	375066	50	59	66	31d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
On very handy mark but vulnerable late over 7f, particularly if trying to lead from box 9
NR (8)	Ourdefence Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:John Flint	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:John Flint	127	p	674074	46	48	-	1d	—	—	-9	3.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Bit better in first-time headgear for new yard at Windsor on Monday but more is needed
8 (5)	Queen Sarabi Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	129	—	304779	46	51	-	50d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Often takes a good hold; out of form and wind surgery hasn't helped the last twice

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Intoxicata	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2	11/4
Flavius Titus	7/2	7/2	3	7/2	7/2
Van Zant	5	11/2	6	5	11/2
Aviary	13/2	5	4	9/2	5/1
Stoney Lane	7	7	11/2	13/2	7/1
Ebury	9	17/2	15/2	8	17/2
Available Angel	11	11	11	11	11/1
Rebel Redemption	20	20	18	18/1	20
Ourdefence	50	50	SP	50	50
Queen Sarabi	40	40	40	28	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flavius Titus

13.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Stoney Lane

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Intoxicata

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Available Angel

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Van Zant

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Aviary

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

13/2

Ourdefence

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.5

Ebury

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Rebel Redemption

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Queen Sarabi

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flavius Titus	52	64	52
Rebel Redemption	50	59	66
Aviary	49	63	36
Available Angel	49	47	—
Intoxicata	48	66	56
Stoney Lane	48	62	45
Van Zant	46	64	47
Ebury	46	58	48
Ourdefence	46	48	—
Queen Sarabi	46	51	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ourdefence	1d ago	Quick return
Van Zant	7d ago	Quick return
Flavius Titus	14d ago	Fit
Aviary	15d ago	Fit
Stoney Lane	18d ago	Fit
Intoxicata	22d ago	Fit
Ebury	29d ago	Fit
Rebel Redemption	31d ago	Fit
Queen Sarabi	50d ago	Fresh
Available Angel	69d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.